Super Computer Weather: Isabel Targets DC & NYC

Image: Hurricane Isabel north of Puerto Rico

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2003/257 - 09/14 at 14 :45 UTC - Satellite: Terra

Two new forecast paths for Hurricane Isabel show the storm crossing directly over either Washington DC or New York City on Thursday. Compared with forecasts run on Saturday 13th NZT, today's forecasts show the Hurricane arriving earlier (moving faster) and the track running further West, now clearly crossing the Eastern Seaboard coast. Please note: Hurricane paths are inherently volatile and so the track of the hurricane could still vary considerably. The National Hurricane Center is now predicting landfall in Chesapeake Bay, but leaves open the possibility of a landfall anywhere from South Carolina to Massachusetts.

The latest NOAA forecasts at the bottom of this page, which show a New York landfall indicate well over 100mm of rain can be expected over a wide area.

Image: The eye of Isabel

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2003/257 - 09/14 at 14 :45 UTC - Satellite: Terra

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Latest National Hurricane Center Forecast Path.

- Directly Over Washington DC

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Latest NOAA MRF Super Computer Forecast Path

- Directly Over New York

NOTE: Each picture shows rainfall and isobars. Each forecast image shows rainfall forecast over a six hour period.

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WIND SPEED MAP

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