Local Govt | National News Video | Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Search

 


US election takeaways


US election takeaways
Thu, Nov 08 2012

First of all, with votes still being counted, I have Obama at 50.2% of the vote … only 0.7% off my prediction. But he’ll climb!

No insight on my part. You just need to know who is the best poll analyst. For future reference, it’s this guy.

So what happened?

1. Romney managed to offend just about every constituency in America with the possible exception of white males, the loony-right and the super-rich … and that doesn’t quite get you over the top. Especially when you see the states where the key racial minorities live.

Here’s a good early analysis of who voted how.

2. That said, Romney will have received about 58 million votes when the counting is done. Two issues here.

First, which votes he won and didn’t win will be deeply analyzed, as the Republican Party prepares for two years of bitter civil war between the loony-right and the center-right for control of the future of that party. Even with Obama saddled with a crap economy and fiscal situation, the loony-right managed to scare off moderates who care about their wallets … but also believe in science (from global warming to evolution) and the right of women to control their own bodies!

Second, 58 million votes is a helluva lot of votes. What ‘mandate’ can Obama claim with his nearly 61 million votes? What Obama really won was a reluctant second chance. See this excellent analysis on that point. Unfortunately, it looks like a recipe for four more years of political paralysis unless Senate Republicans, in particular, come to their senses. Maybe it will help that five more women were elected to the Senate, bringing their number to a record twenty.
3. As for the future, this chart says it all. Obama got 80% of the racial minority vote. And this bloc is getting bigger and bigger.


Click for big version.

If the Republicans don’t walk away from their loony-right haters, they’re dead meat from here on out. A permanent ‘minority’ party in the other sense of the word!

That’s it for US politics … next post will focus closer to home.

Tom Belford

P.S. Don’t forget to take our new BayBuzz Reader survey, now online here. If you read BayBuzz magazine, I hope you can take a few minutes to give us your feedback. Very much appreciated.


Related Stories

US election prediction
In case he gets elected
Local government reorg legislation introduced

More Recent Articles
US election prediction
CHB dam moves to next stage
Why the dam(n) hurry, Tim?
BayBuzz posts Tukituki submissions
Arrogant, petrified or just dumb?

ENDS

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Regional Headlines

 

Land Swap: Setback For Ruataniwha Scheme As Forest & Bird Wins Appeal

The Royal Forest & Bird Protection Society has won an appeal against a proposed land swap by the Department of Conservation which would have allowed 22 hectares of Ruahine Forest Park be flooded as part of the Ruataniwha Water Storage Scheme that will provide irrigation for farmers. More>>

ALSO:

Up: Official July Crime Stats Released

Official crime statistics for July 2016 show that Police recorded 11,171 more victimisations than the same period last year, which equates to a 2.3 per cent increase. More than three quarters of this increase can be attributed to burglaries. More>>

ALSO:

Gordon Campbell: On The Judith Collins Charm Offensive

Suddenly, Judith Collins is everyone’s new best friend. It isn’t an election year, but the Corrections/Police Minister is treating 2016 as an opportunity for a political makeover… Feel that the Police don’t attend burglaries often enough, or assiduously enough? She’s the peoples’ champ on that one. More>>

PM's Press Conference: Crime And Diplomacy

The Prime Minister's press conference today was dominated by foreign affairs and an open letter from the PM to the Chinese community on crime. More>>

ACC: Govt Caught In Unethical Cluster Bomb Investments

The ACC Fund admitted that it had $1.4 million invested in cluster munitions and nuclear weapons manufacturer Lockheed Martin. Before responding to the Green Party’s request for information,however, ACC sold its Lockheed investment and updated its ethical investment policy. More>>

ALSO:

Local Governments To Decide: Easter Trading Bill Passes

The union representing working people in the retail industry is condemning the Government for whipping its MPs to pass the controversial Shop Trading Hours Amendment Bill. More>>

ALSO:

Departure Speech: Governor-General’s State Farewell Luncheon

"...Unfortunately I was unable to get to the Antarctic, the Chatham Islands and the Kermadecs. A dicky heart thwarted our travel to the Antarctic; and even though I volunteered to parachute into the Kermadecs to join the Young Blake expedition, time, commitments and officials frustrated my plans to visit the Kermadecs and Chathams." More>>

ALSO:

New Research: Most Homeless People Working Or Studying

“The cost of housing has been rising without corresponding increases in income, whilst the number of state houses per capita has been in decline. Many low-income people are missing out on housing, whether we recognise them as ‘homeless’ or not. More>>

ALSO:

Post-Traynor: New Offender Info Sharing Plan

“This Bill delivers on that step-change by moving away from name-based records held by individual agencies to a shared, anchor identity based on unalterable information, such as fingerprints and facial recognition. It also gives agencies access to the drivers’ licence photo database and birth, death and marriages information." More>>

  • NZ Law Foundation - New $2M fund for research on information challenges
  • Get More From Scoop

     

    LATEST HEADLINES

     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
    Regional
    Search Scoop  
     
     
    Powered by Vodafone
    NZ independent news