Local Govt | National News Video | Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Search

 


US election takeaways


US election takeaways
Thu, Nov 08 2012

First of all, with votes still being counted, I have Obama at 50.2% of the vote … only 0.7% off my prediction. But he’ll climb!

No insight on my part. You just need to know who is the best poll analyst. For future reference, it’s this guy.

So what happened?

1. Romney managed to offend just about every constituency in America with the possible exception of white males, the loony-right and the super-rich … and that doesn’t quite get you over the top. Especially when you see the states where the key racial minorities live.

Here’s a good early analysis of who voted how.

2. That said, Romney will have received about 58 million votes when the counting is done. Two issues here.

First, which votes he won and didn’t win will be deeply analyzed, as the Republican Party prepares for two years of bitter civil war between the loony-right and the center-right for control of the future of that party. Even with Obama saddled with a crap economy and fiscal situation, the loony-right managed to scare off moderates who care about their wallets … but also believe in science (from global warming to evolution) and the right of women to control their own bodies!

Second, 58 million votes is a helluva lot of votes. What ‘mandate’ can Obama claim with his nearly 61 million votes? What Obama really won was a reluctant second chance. See this excellent analysis on that point. Unfortunately, it looks like a recipe for four more years of political paralysis unless Senate Republicans, in particular, come to their senses. Maybe it will help that five more women were elected to the Senate, bringing their number to a record twenty.
3. As for the future, this chart says it all. Obama got 80% of the racial minority vote. And this bloc is getting bigger and bigger.


Click for big version.

If the Republicans don’t walk away from their loony-right haters, they’re dead meat from here on out. A permanent ‘minority’ party in the other sense of the word!

That’s it for US politics … next post will focus closer to home.

Tom Belford

P.S. Don’t forget to take our new BayBuzz Reader survey, now online here. If you read BayBuzz magazine, I hope you can take a few minutes to give us your feedback. Very much appreciated.


Related Stories

US election prediction
In case he gets elected
Local government reorg legislation introduced

More Recent Articles
US election prediction
CHB dam moves to next stage
Why the dam(n) hurry, Tim?
BayBuzz posts Tukituki submissions
Arrogant, petrified or just dumb?

ENDS

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Regional Headlines

Gordon Campbell: On The Tokenism Of New Zealand's Role Against Islamic State

To date, the Opposition has continued to occupy itself with the marginalia of the issue. E.g. whether Key did or didn’t know whether Barack Obama would be present at the US briefing last week on IS, or whether New Zealand’s military involvement is or isn’t already a fait accompli.

It might be better to tackle the issue, head on. Our contribution against IS will be to send SAS forces to train the Iraqis? That’s like offering trainers to General Custer just as the 7th cavalry reached the Little Big Horn.
More>>

 

Parliament Today:

Scoop Business: Shell And Todd Caught Drilling Without Approval

Multi-national oil company Shell’s New Zealand arm and local energy giant Todd Energy have breached the new law governing New Zealand’s Exclusive Economic Zone, the Environmental Protection Authority says in an Oct. 10 document released by the Green Party. More>>

ALSO:

Labour: Tea Breaks 'Gone By Lunch Time'

“How cynical that on the eve of Labour weekend, the National government is pushing through legislation that takes away the statutory right to tea and meal breaks along with collective bargaining protections, and makes vulnerable workers jobs even less secure." More>>

ALSO:

Gordon Campbell: On Pharmac, Gough Whitlam And Sleater-Kinney

We’re not at the outset of these negotiations. The outset was six years ago, and negotiators were hoping to have some sort of ‘framework’ deal finished in time for the APEC meeting in a few weeks’ time. These ‘extreme’ positions are what we’ve reached near the intended end of the negotiations… More>>

ALSO:

PM Of Many Hats: Questions, No Answers On Whale Oil

Dr RUSSEL NORMAN (Co-Leader – Green) to the Prime Minister: How many times since November 2008 has he spoken with blogger Cameron Slater on the phone and how many times, if any, has he texted him?
Rt Hon JOHN KEY (Prime Minister): None in my capacity as Prime Minister. More>>

ALSO:

Aussie Investigation Dropped: Call On Minister McCully To Pursue The Case Of Balibo Five

West Papua Action is deeply concerned at the lack of any clear outcome from the Australian Federal Police inquiry into the 1975 deaths of the ‘Balibo Five’ including NZ journalist Gary Cunningham. More>>

ALSO:

'Feed The Kids' Bill: Metiria Turei To Lead Fight On Feeding Hungry Children

Green Party Co-leader Metiria Turei is urging all political parties to support the Feed the Kids Bill which she inherited today from Mana leader Hone Harawira. More>>

ALSO:

Parliament Today: State Opening Of Parliament

The House sat at 10.30am on Tuesday before MPs were summoned to hear the Speech from the Throne in the Legislative Council Chamber. More>>

ALSO:

Tertiary Education: Students Doing It Tough As Fees Rise Again

The Government is making it increasingly difficult for Kiwis to gain tertiary education as fees continue to rise and access to student support becomes even more restricted, Labour’s Tertiary Education spokesperson Chris Hipkins says. More>>

ALSO:

Housing, Iraq: PM Press Conference – 20 October 2014

Prime Minister John Key met with press today to discuss:
• Housing prices and redevelopment in Auckland
• Discussions with Tony Abbott on the governmental response to ISIS, and New Zealand’s election to the UN Security Council More>>

ALSO:

Get More From Scoop

 

LATEST HEADLINES

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Regional
Search Scoop  
 
 
Powered by Vodafone
NZ independent news