Local Govt | National News Video | Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Search

 


US election takeaways


US election takeaways
Thu, Nov 08 2012

First of all, with votes still being counted, I have Obama at 50.2% of the vote … only 0.7% off my prediction. But he’ll climb!

No insight on my part. You just need to know who is the best poll analyst. For future reference, it’s this guy.

So what happened?

1. Romney managed to offend just about every constituency in America with the possible exception of white males, the loony-right and the super-rich … and that doesn’t quite get you over the top. Especially when you see the states where the key racial minorities live.

Here’s a good early analysis of who voted how.

2. That said, Romney will have received about 58 million votes when the counting is done. Two issues here.

First, which votes he won and didn’t win will be deeply analyzed, as the Republican Party prepares for two years of bitter civil war between the loony-right and the center-right for control of the future of that party. Even with Obama saddled with a crap economy and fiscal situation, the loony-right managed to scare off moderates who care about their wallets … but also believe in science (from global warming to evolution) and the right of women to control their own bodies!

Second, 58 million votes is a helluva lot of votes. What ‘mandate’ can Obama claim with his nearly 61 million votes? What Obama really won was a reluctant second chance. See this excellent analysis on that point. Unfortunately, it looks like a recipe for four more years of political paralysis unless Senate Republicans, in particular, come to their senses. Maybe it will help that five more women were elected to the Senate, bringing their number to a record twenty.
3. As for the future, this chart says it all. Obama got 80% of the racial minority vote. And this bloc is getting bigger and bigger.


Click for big version.

If the Republicans don’t walk away from their loony-right haters, they’re dead meat from here on out. A permanent ‘minority’ party in the other sense of the word!

That’s it for US politics … next post will focus closer to home.

Tom Belford

P.S. Don’t forget to take our new BayBuzz Reader survey, now online here. If you read BayBuzz magazine, I hope you can take a few minutes to give us your feedback. Very much appreciated.


Related Stories

US election prediction
In case he gets elected
Local government reorg legislation introduced

More Recent Articles
US election prediction
CHB dam moves to next stage
Why the dam(n) hurry, Tim?
BayBuzz posts Tukituki submissions
Arrogant, petrified or just dumb?

ENDS

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Regional Headlines

 

Law Commission: Review Of Search And Surveillance Act Begins

“For example, the Act was drafted before cloud-based storage of data was commonplace. In the light of these and other developments, the Commission will be examining whether the investigative powers in the Act are sufficient for law enforcement purposes. We will also consider whether the safeguards that surround those processes are adequate.” More>>

ALSO:

Houses, Campers And Cops: LGNZ Media Briefing

At their quarterly media briefing today Local Government New Zealand addressed areas where local authorities are feeling pressure and outlined their approach for the upcoming local body elections in September-October. More>>

ALSO:

17 Year Sentences In Baby Moko Case: Attorney General On Plea Bargain

“The Crown’s decisions in this case, including the decision to accept the manslaughter pleas, were motivated by the need to secure convictions for this horrendous killing and to avoid the significant risk that either of the defendants could escape such a conviction because of evidential issues.” More>>

ALSO:

As Govt Cuts Lobby Anti-Smoking Group Funds: On The Nation - Plain Packaging Debate

Imperial Tobacco leaves open possibility of law suit against New Zealand government if plain packaging is introduced, as planned. Says it’s a “last resort” but “of course we will defend the right to use our brands”. More>>

ALSO:

No Rail For New Harbour Crossing: National Giving Up On Rail In Auckland

The National Government’s decision to scrap two planned rail lines in Auckland shows it is giving up on a city-wide rail network in Auckland, and on thousands of commuters who sit in traffic jams every single day, the Green Party said today. More>>

ALSO:

Gordon Campbell: On The Ombudsman’s Verdict On Paula Rebstock And Ian Rennie

Unfortunately, the brave and damning report by Ombudsman Ron Paterson on the “flawed” and “unfair” inquiry conducted by Dame Paula Rebstock into events at MFAT pulls back the veil on a far wider issue. More>>

ALSO:

Charities' Report: Stressed Families - Overstretched Services

“Like so many of the whānau and families they serve social service organisations are under huge financial stress. The support demanded from desperate people in communities is far outreaching the resources available.” More>>

ALSO:

Detention: Wellingtonians Protest Treatment Of Refugees

Peace Action Wellington (PAW) and around 50 Wellingtonians blockaded the Australian High Commission, creating a symbolic detention centre to protest the Australian Government's policy of mandatory offshore detention for refugees and asylum seekers. More>>

ALSO:

Get More From Scoop

 

LATEST HEADLINES

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Regional
Search Scoop  
 
 
Powered by Vodafone
NZ independent news