Local Govt | National News Video | Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Search

 


NIWA Outlook: October, November, December 2013

NIWA Outlook: October, November, December 2013

Overview

The equatorial Pacific Ocean continues in a neutral state (neither El Niño nor La Niña), with recent cooler-than-normal sea-surface conditions (La Niña-like) in the eastern tropical Pacific having weakened.

International guidance indicates that ENSO-neutral conditions are the most likely outcome for the next three months (October–December).

In the New Zealand region, higher pressures than normal are forecast to south of the country and lower pressures than normal are forecast in the Australian Bight extending eastwards into the central Tasman. This circulation pattern is expected to produce northerly quarter flows over the north of the country, and a slightly enhanced easterly flow over the lower South Island.

After another warm quarter, near or above average temperatures are expected to continue across the country for the coming three months. However, frosts may occur in some areas from time to time. Sea surface temperatures are expected to remain above average overall around New Zealand.

Outlook Summary

Temperatures over the October - December period as a whole are most likely (50% chance) to be above average in the east of the North Island and the north of the South Island. In all other regions, average or above average temperatures have near equal likelihood of occurring. The chances of below normal temperatures across all regions is 10-20%.

Rainfall totals over the October - December period as a whole are equally likely (40% chance) to be normal or above normal in the north of the North Island, and less likely (20 % chance) to be below normal. For all remaining regions of New Zealand, near normal rainfall totals are most likely (45-50% chance).

Soil moisture levels are equally likely (40% chance) to be normal or above normal in the north of the North Island, and most likely to be near normal for all other regions (40-50% chance).

River flows are equally likely (40% chance) to be normal or above normal in the north of the North Island, and most likely to be near normal for all remaining regions (45% chance).

SCO_Oct2013_301913.pdf

ENDS

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Regional Headlines

Gordon Campbell:
On The National Leadership “Contest”

Key’s endorsement of English has turned this “contest” into a race for second place.

This succession was well planned. Lets not forget that English was told by Key in September of his intention to resign, and English was the only member of Cabinet entrusted with that information before it was sprung on everyone else on Monday morning. More>>

ALSO:

 
 

Education: Charter Schools Misleading Pass Rates

Labour: NCEA results for charter schools have been massively overstated... In one case a school reported a 93.3 per cent pass rate when the facts show only 6.7 per cent of leavers achieved NCEA level two. More>>

ALSO:

International Rankings: Student Results 'Show More Resourcing Needed'

NZEI: New Zealand had only held relatively steady in international rankings in some areas because the average achievement for several other OECD countries had lowered the OECD average -- not because our student achievement has improved. More>>

ALSO:

Earlier:

Salvation Army Report: Beyond The Prison Gate Report

A new Salvation Army report says changes must be made to how prisoners re-enter society for New Zealanders to feel safe and secure in their homes and communities. More>>

ALSO:

Surprise Exit: Gordon Campbell On The Key Resignation

The resignation of John Key is one thing. The way that Key and his deputy Bill English have screwed the scrum on the leadership succession vote (due on December 12) is something else again. It remains to be seen whether the party caucus – ie, the ambitious likes of Steven Joyce, Judith Collins, Paula Bennett, and Amy Adams – will simply roll over... More>>

ALSO:

Get More From Scoop

 

LATEST HEADLINES

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Regional
Search Scoop  
 
 
Powered by Vodafone
NZ independent news