Local Govt | National News Video | Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Search

 


NIWA Outlook: October, November, December 2013

NIWA Outlook: October, November, December 2013

Overview

The equatorial Pacific Ocean continues in a neutral state (neither El Niño nor La Niña), with recent cooler-than-normal sea-surface conditions (La Niña-like) in the eastern tropical Pacific having weakened.

International guidance indicates that ENSO-neutral conditions are the most likely outcome for the next three months (October–December).

In the New Zealand region, higher pressures than normal are forecast to south of the country and lower pressures than normal are forecast in the Australian Bight extending eastwards into the central Tasman. This circulation pattern is expected to produce northerly quarter flows over the north of the country, and a slightly enhanced easterly flow over the lower South Island.

After another warm quarter, near or above average temperatures are expected to continue across the country for the coming three months. However, frosts may occur in some areas from time to time. Sea surface temperatures are expected to remain above average overall around New Zealand.

Outlook Summary

Temperatures over the October - December period as a whole are most likely (50% chance) to be above average in the east of the North Island and the north of the South Island. In all other regions, average or above average temperatures have near equal likelihood of occurring. The chances of below normal temperatures across all regions is 10-20%.

Rainfall totals over the October - December period as a whole are equally likely (40% chance) to be normal or above normal in the north of the North Island, and less likely (20 % chance) to be below normal. For all remaining regions of New Zealand, near normal rainfall totals are most likely (45-50% chance).

Soil moisture levels are equally likely (40% chance) to be normal or above normal in the north of the North Island, and most likely to be near normal for all other regions (40-50% chance).

River flows are equally likely (40% chance) to be normal or above normal in the north of the North Island, and most likely to be near normal for all remaining regions (45% chance).

SCO_Oct2013_301913.pdf

ENDS

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Regional Headlines

 

PARLIAMENT TODAY:

Mt Eden Prison: Serco Inquiry Extended

A two month delay to the Government investigation into prison fight clubs shows the extent of problems within the Serco circus, says Labour’s Corrections spokesperson Kelvin Davis. More>>

ALSO:

Health And Safety: Late Addition Of National Security Provisions A Concern

The New Zealand Law Society has expressed its significant concerns at the last-minute addition to the Health and Safety Reform Bill of provisions for a closed material procedure for court proceedings where national security is involved. More>>

ALSO:

Rugby And Beer: World Cup Alcohol Bill Passes

ACT MP David Seymour’s Sale and Supply of Alcohol (Extended licensing hours during Rugby World Cup) Bill completed its third reading by 99 to 21... More>>

ALSO:

Gordon Campbell: On The Flag Campaign

So far, the public has treated the government’s flag campaign with something between disinterest and disdain. Most New Zealanders have instinctively seen through the marketing hype involved. More>>

Change For 2017: Local Govt To Decide On Easter Sunday Trading

The Government is to enable local communities, through councils, to decide whether retailers can open on Easter Sunday, Workplace Relations and Safety Minister Michael Woodhouse announced. More>>

ALSO:

(And Targets Worse Than Australia's): Foresters Abandoning Emissions Trading Scheme

The Government’s gutting of the Emissions Trading Scheme has caused foresters to leave and emissions to rise, says Labour’s Climate Change spokesperson Megan Woods. More>>

ALSO:

Get More From Scoop

 

LATEST HEADLINES

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Regional
Search Scoop  
 
 
Powered by Vodafone
NZ independent news