Local Govt | National News Video | Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Search

 


Auckland economy starts 2014 on the right foot

29 January 2014

The Auckland economy continued to gain momentum through the final quarter of 2013 and enters 2014 on a solid footing. The housing market remains the key driver of growth, but the latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinions (QSBO) suggests that the outlook for business investment and employment is also strengthening.

“Consumer confidence is riding high, buoyed by housing activity; and following a strong end of year performance, retailers will be hoping that consumers remain optimistic about the prospects for the economy”, said Geoff Cooper, Auckland Council’s chief economist.

Mr Cooper said the sluggish performance of the labour market to date has played a key role in households’ financial caution, but surveyed hiring intentions firmed in the final quarter of 2013.

The Real Estate Institute of New Zealand’s (REINZ) measure of the Auckland median house price moderated to $600,000 in December, following a strong monthly rise in November. Mr Cooper said recent house price movements have been influenced by the Reserve Bank’s LVR limits, which have weighed on sales and listings of lower priced houses.

House price growth has slowed since the introduction of the LVRs. “House price growth lags sales volumes, so the slowdown in activity at the bottom of the market would be expected to increasingly weigh on broader sales and price growth in 2014,” says Mr Cooper. “However rising net migration levels could counteract much of this effect”.

Net monthly migration flows averaged just under 1500 over the five months to November, compared to an average of 420 over the first six months of the year. “The jump in net migration reflects a slowdown in Australian employment growth. This weaker economic performance reflects the start of a downturn in the minerals investment boom which has been the key driver of Australian economic growth over the last decade,” says Mr Cooper. Net migration to Australia from Auckland for the year to November 2013 was 9,652 persons, down from 13,420 over the previous 12 month period.

Mr Cooper adds, “The relative strength of the domestic economy, together with the restrictions on accessing Australian unemployment benefits, could see the recent slowdown in net migration flows sustained if there is a sharp pick up in Australian unemployment.”

Residential building activity was 29 per cent higher in the September quarter of 2013, compared to the same quarter of 2012.

November was a stand-out month for dwelling consent approvals – 779 new dwelling consents were approved, the highest monthly figure since 2006. Consents in the three months to November were 11.5 per cent higher than the three months to August; while annual consents surpassed 6,000 for the first time since 2008. Of the 779 new building consents in November, 278 were for flats and apartments. There were 1156 consents issued for new apartment builds over the 12 months to November, again a figure not achieved since 2008.

“Residential building consent issuance tends to lead building activity by around six months; so the strong growth in consents over the second half of 2013 will translate into higher building activity over the first half of 2014, further stimulating employment and spending,” says Mr Cooper.

To view the latest Auckland Economic Quarterly or archive editions.

ENDS

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Regional Headlines

Gordon Campbell: On Populism And Labour 2017

For many people on the centre-left, populism is a dirty word, and a shorthand for the politics of bigotry. In this country, it has tended to be equated with the angry legions of New Zealand First. Who knew they were not just a reactionary spasm, but the wave of the future?

Certainly, at the end of this week, the next US President will have won office (at least in part) thanks to his proven ability at (a) scapegoating refugees and migrants (b) wooing neo-Nazis and racial supremacists (c) attacking journalists and judges (d) threatening to jail his opponents (e) urging nuclear proliferation and (e) by promising to restrict women’s rights to control their own fertility.

On the face of that campaign record, there wouldn’t seem to be much in common between Donald Trump and say, Spain’s centre-left populist party, Podemos. Yet arguably, the similarities could be instructive for the Labour/Green partnership here. More>>

 
 

Oxfam: 30% Of NZ Owns Less Wealth Than Our Two Richest Men

The research also reveals that the richest one per cent have 20 per cent of the wealth in New Zealand, while 90 per cent of the population owns less than half of the nation’s wealth. The research forms part of a global report released to coincide with this week’s annual meeting of political and business leaders at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. More>>

ALSO:

Hospitals: Resident Doctors Set To Strike Again

Despite discussions between the DHBs and NZRDA over safer hours for resident doctors progressing during the last week, the strike planned for next week appears set to proceed. More>>

ALSO:

Not So Super Fund: More Burning Ethical Questions For Steven Joyce

Greens: Radio New Zealand reported this morning that the New Zealand Superfund has $77 million invested in 47 coal companies that the Norwegian Government’s Pension Fund – the largest sovereign fund in the world – has blacklisted. More>>

Activism: Greenpeace Intercepts World’s Biggest Seismic Oil Ship

Greenpeace crew have made contact with the world’s biggest seismic oil ship after travelling 50 nautical miles on two rigid-hulled inflatables off the coast of Wairarapa... Greenpeace radioed the master of the Amazon Warrior to deliver an open letter of protest signed by over 60,000 New Zealanders. More>>

ALSO:

Gordon Campbell: Why Tax Cuts In 2017 Would Be A (Proven) Bad Idea

Ever since the world fell prey to the mullahs of the free market in the 1980s, no amount of real world evidence has managed dispel one key tenet of their economic faith. Namely, the idea that if you cut income taxes and taxes on small business, a wave of individual enterprise and entrepreneurial energy will thus be unleashed, profits will rise and – hey bingo! – the tax cuts will soon be paying for themselves ... More>>

Liquor Sponsorship: Researchers Call For Ban On Alcohol Sponsorship Of Sport

“Due to alcohol sponsorship of sport, New Zealanders, including children, were exposed to up to 200 ads per hour they watched televised sport, and people watching football and tennis saw alcohol ads for almost half of each game,” says Associate Professor Signal. More>>

ALSO:

Mt Albert: Ardern For Labour, Genter For Greens

At the close of nominations, Jacinda Ardern was the sole nomination received for the position of Labour’s candidate for the Mt Albert by-election, says Labour General Secretary, Andrew Kirton. More>>

ALSO:

Earlier:

Get More From Scoop

 

LATEST HEADLINES

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Regional
Search Scoop  
 
 
Powered by Vodafone
NZ independent news