Scoop has an Ethical Paywall
Work smarter with a Pro licence Learn More

Local Govt | National News Video | Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Search

 

NIWA Outlook: January-March 2014

NIWA Outlook: January-March 2014

Overview

The equatorial Pacific Ocean continued in a neutral state (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in December 2013.

International guidance indicates that ENSO-neutral conditions are very likely to persist for the next three months (January – March 2014). These ENSO-neutral conditions are also forecast to continue throughout the autumn and early winter, but El Niño development becomes increasingly likely by mid-year, reaching approximately 50 percent chance along with ENSO-neutral for July-October 2014.

For the coming three months as a whole, lower than normal pressures are forecast in the Tasman Sea, and over and north of New Zealand, while higher than normal pressures conditions are forecast to the southeast of the country. This circulation pattern is expected to be associated with a weak anomalous flow from the north-easterly quarter.

Sea surface temperatures are expected to remain above average around the whole of New Zealand for the coming three months.

Outlook Summary

January-March temperatures are most likely (50% chance) to be above average for North Island regions, and equally likely (40% chance) to be average or above average for South Island regions.

January-March rainfall is forecast to be equally likely (40% chance) to be normal or above normal in the north of the North Island, and normal or below normal in Nelson-Marlborough. In all other regions, the 3-month rainfall totals are most likely (45-50% chance) to be in the near normal category.

Advertisement - scroll to continue reading

Are you getting our free newsletter?

Subscribe to Scoop’s 'The Catch Up' our free weekly newsletter sent to your inbox every Monday with stories from across our network.

Soil moisture levels are most likely (40-45% chance)  to be near normal in all regions, except for Nelson/Marlborough where below normal soil moisture is most likely (45% chance).

River flows for the January-March 2014 period are most likely (45% chance) to be near normal in all regions, except for Nelson/Marlborough where river flows are equally likely (40% chance) to be normal or below normal. 

For full details see attachment.

SCO_Jan2014.docx

ENDS

© Scoop Media

Advertisement - scroll to continue reading
 
 
 
Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Regional Headlines


Gordon Campbell: On The US Opposition To Mortgage Interest Deductibility For Landlords


Should landlords be able to deduct the interest on the loans they take out to bankroll their property speculation? The US Senate Budget Committee and Bloomberg News don't think this is a good idea, for reasons set out below. Regardless, our coalition government has been burning through a ton of political capital by giving landlords a huge $2.9 billion tax break via interest deductibility, while still preaching the need for austerity to the disabled, and to everyone else...
More


 
 

Government: Concerns Conveyed To China Over Cyber Activity
Foreign Minister Winston Peters has confirmed New Zealand’s concerns about cyber activity have been conveyed directly to the Chinese Government. “The Prime Minister and Minister Collins have expressed concerns today about malicious cyber activity... More

ALSO:


Government: GDP Decline Reinforces Government’s Fiscal Plan

Declining GDP for the December quarter reinforces the importance of restoring fiscal discipline to public spending and driving more economic growth, Finance Minister Nicola Willis says... More

ALSO:


Government: Humanitarian Support For Gaza & West Bank

Winston Peters has announced NZ is providing a further $5M to respond to the extreme humanitarian need in Gaza and the West Bank. “The impact of the Israel-Hamas conflict on civilians is absolutely appalling," he said... More


Government: New High Court Judge Appointed

Judith Collins has announced the appointment of Wellington Barrister Jason Scott McHerron as a High Court Judge. Justice McHerron graduated from the University of Otago with a BA in English Literature in 1994 and an LLB in 1996... More

 
 
 
 
 
 

LATEST HEADLINES

  • PARLIAMENT
  • POLITICS
  • REGIONAL
 
 

InfoPages News Channels


 
 
 
 

Join Our Free Newsletter

Subscribe to Scoop’s 'The Catch Up' our free weekly newsletter sent to your inbox every Monday with stories from across our network.