Video | Agriculture | Confidence | Economy | Energy | Employment | Finance | Media | Property | RBNZ | Science | SOEs | Tax | Technology | Telecoms | Tourism | Transport | Search

 


IG Markets - Afternoon thoughts


Good afternoon

Across Asia, regional markets are mixed despite heavy losses being witnessed in the US overnight. The Hang Seng and the Shanghai Composite are the weakest performers, both lower by more than 1%, while the Nikkei and the Kospi are marginally in positive territory with gains of 0.4% and 0.1% respectively.

In Australia, the local market is currently 0.6% weaker at 4294 having earlier fallen to a session low of 4274. Losses on the day are broad based, with the heaviest percentage losses being seen across the healthcare, energy and information technology sectors. The materials sector, which has been expected to be amongst the weakest today, has pared some of its earlier losses courtesy of an unexpected Chinese trade surplus of US$5.35 billion versus consensus forecasts of a US$3.15 billion deficit.

That said, the composition of the trade balance number could be seen as slightly worrying for Australia. While export growth was slightly more than expected (8.9% versus 7% consensus), allaying some fears of a complete collapse in European demand, the import growth of 5.3% (versus 9% consensus) suggests a slowing demand for Australian commodities. While not ideal, these trade flows will no doubt have meaningful implications on Australia’s fiscal position. Export revenues resulting from slower Chinese demand and domestic supply constraints could leave a larger-than-expected hole in the national budget, but on a positive note increases the likelihood that the RBA may soon look to cut its cash rate.

As suggested this morning, the ‘will they, won’t they’ debate over the Fed’s QE intentions looks like continuing for a while longer and will be a key factor in determining trading patterns this week across equities, currencies and commodities.


Cameron Peacock
Market Analyst
IG Markets

www.igmarkets.com.au

ENDS

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Business Headlines | Sci-Tech Headlines

 

Budget Building Battle: Bill English Blames Council On Housing

The Nation: Finance Minister blames Auckland Council for housing shortage, saying it is responsible for land, housing and infrastructure supply in the city, while government provides rental subsidies... More>>

ALSO:

Megiaglommeration: NZME And Fairfax Apply For Authorisation To Merge

The Commerce Commission has received an application from Wilson and Horton Limited (trading as NZME) and Fairfax NZ Limited seeking authorisation to merge their media operations in New Zealand. More>>

ALSO:

Brewing: Lion To Buy Cult Upper Hutt Brewer Panhead

Lion - Beer, Spirits and Wine (NZ), New Zealand's biggest beer maker, has agreed to buy Panhead Custom Ales from the family of founder Mike Neilson, its second such purchase of a popular craft brewer after the acquisition of Dunedin-based Emerson's Brewing Co in 2012. More>>

ALSO:

Half Empty: Fonterra's 2017 Opening Forecast Below Expectations

Fonterra Cooperative Group raised its forecast farmgate milk payout for next season by less than expected as the world's largest dairy exporter predicts lower prices will crimp production and supply will pick up. The New Zealand dollar fell. More>>

ALSO:

Pest Control: Mouse Blitz Team Leaves For Antipodes

The Million Dollar Mouse project to rid Antipodes Island of mice is underway with the departure of a rodent eradication team to the remote nature reserve and World Heritage Area. More>>

Get More From Scoop

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Business
Search Scoop  
 
 
Powered by Vodafone
NZ independent news