Video | Agriculture | Confidence | Economy | Energy | Employment | Finance | Media | Property | RBNZ | Science | SOEs | Tax | Technology | Telecoms | Tourism | Transport | Search

 


Australia: Banks stocks supported by housing finance growth

Australian market holds the line as bank stocks are supported by growth in housing finance

By Ric Spooner (Chief Market Analyst, CMC Markets)
12.55 AEDT, 12 November 2012

China’s October export performance and Australia’s housing finance growth both serve to remind investors that there are plenty of “green shoots” for world economies at present and that the US “Fiscal Cliff” represents a risk in both directions. Improved consumer sentiment, signs of life in housing markets and a levelling out in China’s economy all potentially form a decent base for improved markets in 2013 if US politicians are able to negotiate a confidence building solution to the fiscal problem.

The Australian stock market has outperformed the US markets since the Presidential election and this may continue under present conditions. While a major fiscal drag on the US economy would reverberate through all world economies, the recent decline in US markets also reflects positioning for the risk to US investors posed by the potential for removal of tax concessions on dividends and capital gains as part of any US fiscal agreement.

Today’s housing finance figures are encouraging for those investors seeking refuge in bank dividend yields in recent months. Loan growth follows an uptick in building approvals over the past couple of months and increases the probability that bank stocks can continue to provide investors with an attractive yield while at the same time achieving moderate earnings growth.

The August peak at 4403 remains a key support level for the S&P/ASX 200 index. While the market remains above this level, the chances are that the current correction will be relatively shallow and the impact of fiscal cliff nerves relatively contained. A break below that level would indicate more serious investor pessimism and a correction of the whole rally from the June low at 3985. That could see a test the 200 day moving average at around 4280.

ENDS

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Business Headlines | Sci-Tech Headlines

 

Housing Policy: Auckland Densification As Popular As Ebola, English Says

Finance Minister Bill English said calls by the Reserve Bank Governor for more densification in Auckland’s housing were “about as popular in parts of Auckland as Ebola” would be. More>>

ALSO:

Crown Accounts: NZ Government Deficit Smaller Than Expected In First Half

The New Zealand government's operating deficit was smaller than expected in the first six months of the financial year, as the consumption and corporate tax take rose ahead of forecast in December, having lagged estimates in previous months. More>>

ALSO:

Fruit & Veg Crackdown: Auckland Fruit Fly Find Under Investigation

The Ministry for Primary Industries (MPI) is investigating a find of a single male Queensland fruit fly in a surveillance trap in the Auckland suburb of Grey Lynn... MPI has placed legal controls on the movement of fruit and some vegetables outside of a defined circular area which extends 1.5km from where the fly was trapped in Grey Lynn. More>>

ALSO:

Scoop Business: Westpac NZ Reaches $2.97M Swaps Settlement

Westpac Banking Corp’s New Zealand unit has agreed to pay $2.97 million in a settlement with the Commerce Commission over the way the bank sold interest rate swaps to farmers between 2005 and 2012. More>>

ALSO:

Going Dutch: Fonterra Kicks Off $144M Partnership With Dutch Cheese Maker

Fonterra Co-operative Group, the world’s largest dairy exporter, has commissioned a new dairy ingredients plant in Heerenveen, in the north of the Netherlands, its first wholly-owned and operated ingredients plant in Europe. More>>

ALSO:

Scoop Business: NZ Retail Sales Beat Estimates

New Zealand retail sales rose more than expected in the fourth quarter, led by vehicle-related transactions, food and beverages, adding to evidence that cheap credit and a growing jobs market are encouraging consumers to spend. More>>

ALSO:

Delivery Cuts Go Ahead: 'Government Money Grab' From NZ Post

"It's a money grab by the Government as the shareholder of New Zealand Post" says Postal Workers Union advocate Graeme Clarke about the changes announced by NZ Post. More>>

ALSO:

Get More From Scoop

 
 
Standards New Zealand

Standards New Zealand
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Business
Search Scoop  
 
 
Powered by Vodafone
NZ independent news