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Positive gains from overseas leads

15.04 AEDT, Tuesday 20 November 2012

Positive gains from overseas leads

By Ben Taylor (Sales Trader, CMC Markets)

Our market has followed on from overseas leads posting positive gains today. The majority of the outperformance has come from the mining and energy sectors which were oversold on fiscal cliff concerns and also buoyed by US housing sentiment overnight.

Greek government funding issues and US fiscal cliff concerns have warranted investors remaining underweight equities and risk overall in the past week. As the risk abates investors reduced their shorts and bid up the market.

The Aussie dollar initially fell on the RBA monetary policy statement which suggested another interest rate cut in the near term is likely. However, the falls were short lived following talk that the IMF will classify the Aussie dollar as an official reserve currency as recognition of it growing importance. Any such move is considered supportive for our currency.

While we have made progress today I would imagine the volatility will drop in the next few days ahead of Thanksgiving.

As the Republicans compromise with the Democrats we could see the deadlock concluded. This outcome will give business investment, employment and tax issues some much needed certainty. Structure and certainty will benefit the market and I believe should lead us higher.

The US housing market sentiment is now at levels not seen since the peak in 2006. This is very encouraging news for the US housing market and proves that the Fed’s low interest rate policy and stimulus measures are providing the much needed boost to growth.

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