Video | Agriculture | Confidence | Economy | Energy | Employment | Finance | Media | Property | RBNZ | Science | SOEs | Tax | Technology | Telecoms | Tourism | Transport | Search

 


IG - afternoon thoughts and European opening calls 4/12/12

Heading into today‘s session we had been predicting the ASX 200 to open modestly weaker, with the benchmark index called down 7 points or 0.15% at 4524. As things currently stand, the market is 10 points or 0.2% lower at 4521, with most sector indices marginally in the red. While a softer open was always on the cards this morning based on US leads, most of the day’s action was expected to have come this afternoon after the RBA rates decision. However, in cutting rates by 25 basis points as was widely predicted, the market’s reaction has been absolutely minimal, with the ASX 200 remaining essentially unchanged. Based on a string of recent weak data points, such as capex spending, job ads, retail sales and building approvals, a multitude of international uncertainties spanning Europe, China and the US and a stubbornly high AUD, it seemed the RBA felt compelled to act with additional easing measures. Yesterday’s flat October retail sales print (against estimates of 0.4% growth) would appear as confirmation that retailers, despite the string of rate cuts in recent months, are yet to see any material improvement in consumer spending. The Christmas shopping season is a crucial period for all retailers, where some make more than 40% of their annual profits, so a buoyant consumer is critical to their bottom-line performance. Shares of the big department stores as well as the likes of discretionary retailers such as Harvey Norman and JB Hi-Fi are mixed after today’s decision. Turning to the European session, yesterday we saw European equities finish marginally higher and the euro modestly firmer against the dollar, with advances driven by a fall in peripheral European debt yields, brought about by Greece announcing details of its debt buyback program. The debt buyback, by way of a Dutch auction, is a key component in the efforts of lenders to put Greece’s debt levels back on sustainable footing and will enable the indebted nation to receive crucial bailout funding to allow it to stave off bankruptcy. While not a definitive solution, any form of debt forgiveness will ease the burden on Greece’s finances and help to ensure it does not have to keep returning to the international lending community for bailout funding. This positive development was offset by a weaker-than-expected US manufacturing PMI print (49.5 versus 51.3 consensus), ensuring gains across European equities and the euro itself were marginal at best. On today’s economic calendar we have Spanish unemployment, European PPI and UK construction PMI to look forward to; however, as is now the norm, headlines surrounding the fiscal cliff are likely to be the major influences of market sentiment. Ahead of the European open we’re calling the FTSE -14 at 5857, the DAX -23 at 7412 and the CAC -7 at 3559.

ENDS

www.igmarkets.com

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Business Headlines | Sci-Tech Headlines

 

Interest Rates: RBNZ Hikes OCR To 3.5%, ‘Period Of Assessment’ Now Needed

Reserve Bank governor Graeme Wheeler raised the official cash rate as expected, while signalling a pause in rate hikes to assess the impact of moves so far this year. The kiwi dollar sank after Wheeler said its strength was “unjustified” and that the currency could have “a significant fall.” More>>

ALSO:

Fonterra: Canpac Site 'Resize' To Focus More On Paediatrics

Fonterra is looking at realigning its packing operations at Canpac, in the Waikato, to focus more on paediatric nutritionals... The proposed changes could mean around 110 roles may not be required at the site which currently employs 330. More>>

ALSO:

Scoop Business: Postie Plus Brand Gets 2nd Chance With Well-Funded Pepkor

The Postie Plus brand is getting a new lease of life after South Africa’s Pepkor bought the failed retailer’s assets out of administration and said it will use its purchasing power to reduce costs of stock and fatten margins. More>>

ALSO:

Warming: Warming Signs From State Of Climate Report

Climate data from air, land, sea and ice in 2013 'reflect trends of a warming planet' -- says the latest State of the Climate report, launched by U.S. and New Zealand scientists. More>>

ALSO:

Scoop Business: Embrace Falling Home Affordability, Says NZIER

Despair over the inability to afford a house is misplaced and should be embraced as an opportunity to invest in more wealth-creating activity, says the principal economist at the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research, Shamubeel Eaqub. More>>

Productivity Commission: NZ Regulation Not Keeping Pace

New Zealand regulators often have to work with out-of-date legislation, quality checks are under strain, and regulatory workers need better training and development. More>>

ALSO:

Callaghan Innovation: Investment To Help Deepen Innovation Reporting

Callaghan Innovation, the government’s high tech HQ for Kiwi business, is to help deepen New Zealand media coverage of the commercialisation of innovation through an arms-length partnership with independent business news service BusinessDesk. More>>

ALSO:

Tax Credits, Grants: Greens $1Bn R&D Plan

In the Party’s headline economic announcement, the Greens have launched their plan to build a smarter, more innovative economy which has as its centrepiece an additional $1 billion of government investment in research and development (R&D) above current spend, including tax breaks for business. More>>

ALSO:

Get More From Scoop

 
 
Computer Power Plus

Standards New Zealand

Standards New Zealand
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Business
Search Scoop  
 
 
Powered by Vodafone
NZ independent news