Video | Agriculture | Confidence | Economy | Energy | Employment | Finance | Media | Property | RBNZ | Science | SOEs | Tax | Technology | Telecoms | Tourism | Transport | Search

 


Market nerves to be tested today

09.36 AEDT, Tuesday 26 February 2013

Market nerves to be tested today
By Ric Spooner (Chief Market Analyst, CMC Markets)

At this stage, the first of this week’s major risk events looks like a clear negative for investors. The rally in share markets in recent months has been mainly about investor preparedness to pay more for stocks given perceptions of a lower global risk environment. While it’s unlikely that the Italian election result will lead to any immediate change in economic policy, it will lead to uncertainty and reduced confidence.

The Italian election results demonstrate that politicians don’t have a clear mandate for economic reform. While there is no immediate prospect of change to the pro Euro policies of the Monti government, this lack of mandate will increase the medium term political risk both for Italy and the Eurozone in the eyes of international investors. In the shorter term, the uncertainty created by the possibility of an interim government and further elections is a potential negative both for markets and for consumer and business confidence within Italy.

While the Australian market will open weaker this morning, it would take a clear move below support at 4950 to provide conclusive technical evidence that the medium term uptrend in the S&P/ASX 200 index is breaking down. Given the medium term nature of the risks from the Italian election and the possibility of positive news both from Mr Bernanke’s testimony and US budget negotiations still to come, investors may be cautious about selling too aggressively at this stage.


http://www.cmcmarkets.com/


© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Business Headlines | Sci-Tech Headlines

 

Housing: Affordability Drops 14%, Driven By Auckland Prices

Housing affordability across New Zealand fell 14 percent in the year ending November 2014, with Auckland’s lack of affordability set to reach levels it hit during the height of the global financial crisis, according to the latest Massey University Home Affordability Report More>>

ALSO:

The Dry: Fonterra Drops Forecast Milk Volumes By 3.3 Percent

Fonterra Cooperative Group, the worlds largest dairy exporter, reduced its milk volume forecast for the 2014-2015 season by 3.3 per cent due to the impact of dry weather on production in recent weeks. More>>

ALSO:

Strike: Lyttelton Port Workers Vote To Escalate Dispute

Members of the Rail and Maritime Transport Union (RMTU) at Lyttelton Port today voted to escalate their industrial action. Around 200 RMTU members have been operating an overtime ban since 17 December and today they endorsed a series of full withdrawals of labour at the port. More>>

ALSO:

Scoop Business: NZ Dollar Falls To 3-Year Low As Investors Favour Greenback

The New Zealand dollar fell to its lowest in more than three years as investors sold euro and bought US dollars, weakening other currencies against the greenback. More>>

ALSO:

Scoop Business: NZ Govt Operating Deficit Smaller Than Expected

The New Zealand’s government’s operating deficit was smaller than expected in the first five months of the financial year as a clampdown on expenditure managed to offset a shortfall in the tax-take from last month’s forecast. More>>

ALSO:

0.8 Percent Annually:
NZ Inflation Falls Below RBNZ's Target

New Zealand's annual pace of inflation slowed to below the Reserve Bank's target band in the final three months of the year, giving governor Graeme Wheeler more room to keep the benchmark interest rate lower for longer.More>>

ALSO:

Get More From Scoop

 
 
Standards New Zealand

Standards New Zealand
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Business
Search Scoop  
 
 
Powered by Vodafone
NZ independent news