Video | Agriculture | Confidence | Economy | Energy | Employment | Finance | Media | Property | RBNZ | Science | SOEs | Tax | Technology | Telecoms | Tourism | Transport | Search

 


BNZ Weekly Overview: Migration could be about to boom...

Migration could be about to boom, that means higher house prices, hence a special look at housing in my Youtube video this week..



Welcome to the May 23 Weekly Overview.
A full pdf copy of the Weekly Overview is loaded here.

In my Youtube clip this week I take a special look at housing – hence the longer than usual running time. Here. 7.51 minutes

New subscribers can be added to the emailing list here.

Lead Article – Who You Gonna Hire?
Once the Christchurch rebuild gets going and Auckland house building rises off the floor, NZ’s unemployment rate could go back to the 3.5% of 2007. Do you realise you’ll need to learn how to effectively utilise expats and migrants, and have you considered hiring the many older people who these days have no intention of going into that quiet golf-resplendent night?
1,043 words

Some of the Week’s Economic Data
Oh my oh my. Annualised net migration inflows are running now near 15,000. Previous migration peaks have been 30,000, 42,000 and 23,000. We know what this means for house prices first in Auckland then elsewhere. This is my fifth housing cycle and I’ll take a punt here to say that based on the previous two, Auckland inner city apartments are about to spike. 575 words

Interest Rates
Rates have risen a wee bit further this week on the back of US ten year bond yields rising to a 13 month high above 2%. As speculation about the Fed tapering its asset buying programme grows, rates will tend to rise further. 146 words

NZ Housing Market
Residential construction costs have risen by 3.1% in the past year but house building is still well below average. Imagine what will happen when construction doubles! 220 words.

Offshore
This week I take a very quick look at each of the major parts of the world. 433 words.

Exchange Rates
The NZD has fallen again against the greenback but remains strong on the crosses as the main thing moving out there is a rising USD driven up by speculation of the Fed. soon tapering off its money printing operations. That is a hard thing to pick however so expect high currency volatility.
581 words
Some things are best kept private - introduction to BNZ Private Bank
If you would like to speak with one of our Private Bankers to review your personal situation, feel free to contact us for a discreet obligation free discussion on 0800 477 077 or email us at privatebank@bnz.co.nz. To find out more about BNZ Private Bank, please visit www.bnzprivatebank.co.nz
Tony Alexander produces six regular publications.
The monthly Growing With China issues are here.
The monthly Brain Gain NZ can be located here.
The Weekly Overviews are loaded here.
The monthly BNZ-REINZ Residential Market Surveys are posted here.
The monthly BNZ Confidence Surveys are available here.
The monthly BNZ-Nine Rewards Consumer Trends Survey is here.

Other recent publications include the following.
The Cyprus Haircut
Sources of Western Apprehension About China
Expat Experiences of NZ Hiring
Advice from NZ employers to expats and migrants
19 Reasons Why Auckland House Prices Will Keep Rising. Page 5 of
Massey University Symposium Handout on Housing Affordability
Kiwi Business Locus of Control at a Distance

All the best

Tony Alexander
Chief Economist
www.tonyalexander.co.nz
LinkedIn Profile
TonyLinkedIn


Any views expressed in this publication are the views of Tony Alexander and do not necessarily represent those of BNZ, or its related entities. The information in this publication is provided for general information purposes only, and is a summary based on selective information which may not be complete for your purpose. To the extent that any information or recommendations in this publication constitute financial advice, they do not take into account any person's particular financial situation or goals. Bank of New Zealand recommends that you seek advice specific to your circumstances from your financial adviser. Neither Bank of New Zealand nor any person involved in this publication accepts any liability for any loss or damage whatsoever may directly or indirectly result from any advice, opinion, information, representation or omission, whether negligent or otherwise, contained in this publication.


ENDS

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Business Headlines | Sci-Tech Headlines

 

Prefu Roundup: Forecasts Revised, Surplus Intact

The National government heads into the election with its Budget surplus target broadly intact, delivering a set of economic and fiscal forecasts marginally revised from May to reflect weaker commodity prices and a lower tax take. More>>

ALSO:

Convention Centre: Major New SkyCity Hotel And Laneway For Auckland

Today SKYCITY Entertainment Group Limited revealed plans to build a new hotel and pedestrian laneway of bars, restaurants and boutique shopping on land it owns in the Nelson and Hobson Streets block, expanding the SKYCITY Entertainment Precinct. More>>

ALSO:

Igniting The Spark: Bringing The Digital Enabler To Life

Changing a name is, relatively speaking, the easy part of a re-invention. Changing a culture, getting all the ducks in a row, turning yourself inside-out to become customer-inspired is a much bigger challenge. More>>

ALSO:

Ebola And NZ: Targeted Screening At Airport But Risk Low

The risk of any cases of Ebola in New Zealand remains very low, but health and border authorities are well prepared... anyone arriving in New Zealand who in the last three weeks has visited countries affected will be screened for symptoms of the disease. More>>

ALSO:

Scoop Business: Brewer Seeking Crowd-Funding Cancels Shareholders’ Dividends

Shareholders in Renaissance Brewing company, the first business to seek equity through crowd-funding in New Zealand, have cancelled their claim on $147,000 of accumulated earnings “to make Renaissance a more attractive investment opportunity.” More>>

ALSO:

It's Spark Now:
Why Telecom Wanted To Change

New Zealand led the world when Chorus demerged from Telecom. It gave us a telecommunications industry structure where the network is completely separated from the products and services it delivers. The changes brought about a new market dynamic and it dramatically changed Telecom’s role. More>>

ALSO:

Glass Half Empty: Dairy Prices Fall To Lowest Since 2012

Dairy product prices slumped to the lowest level since October 2012 in the latest GlobalDairyTrade auction, paced by whole milk powder and cheddar. More>>

ALSO:

Get More From Scoop

 
 
Computer Power Plus

Standards New Zealand

Standards New Zealand
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Business
Search Scoop  
 
 
Powered by Vodafone
NZ independent news