Video | Agriculture | Confidence | Economy | Energy | Employment | Finance | Media | Property | RBNZ | Science | SOEs | Tax | Technology | Telecoms | Tourism | Transport | Search

 


RBNZ sees stronger kiwi dollar for longer

RBNZ sees stronger kiwi dollar for longer

By Paul McBeth

March 13 (BusinessDesk) - The New Zealand dollar will stay at an elevated level for longer than previously thought as the local economic story finds favour with foreign investors, according to the Reserve Bank.

The trade-weighted index, a measure of the kiwi against a basket of five currencies, averaged 78.18 in the March quarter, ahead of the Reserve Bank’s December projection of 77.4 in the period, as the prospect of rising interest rates and accelerating economic momentum fuel demand for the New Zealand dollar.

The bank now anticipates the currency will remain elevated over its projection through to March 2017, “depreciating only gradually,” according to today’s monetary policy statement. The bank sees the TWI averaging 78.4 in the current March quarter, falling to 78 next year and 76.6 in March 2015. The TWI was at 79.61 following the statement.

“Investors have recognised the positives for New Zealand’s outlook in the forms of the high terms of trade and domestic growth momentum,” the MPS said. “The consequent expectation of rising interest rate differentials has been priced into the yield curve … which is also reflected in the current level of the exchange rate.”

Governor Graeme Wheeler has tried to talk down the currency, calling it a headwind on the tradable sector, and today said the bank doesn’t “believe the current level of the exchange rate is sustainable in the long run.”

Revisions to the way gross domestic product is measured showed higher terms of trade and net export volumes than previously thought, which explains some of the persistent strength in the kiwi dollar, though the “high exchange rate is expected to remain a drag on economic output over the projection,” the bank said.

While the strong currency eats into export earnings, it also keeps down the price of imports, and the bank expects tradable inflation to remain negative for much of its projected period through to March 2017.

(BusinessDesk)


© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Business Headlines | Sci-Tech Headlines

 

Must Sell 20 Petrol Stations: Z Cleared To Buy Caltex Assets

Z Energy is allowed to buy the Caltex and Challenge! petrol station chains but must sell 19 of its retail sites and one truck-stop, the Commerce Commission has ruled in a split decision that acknowledges possible retail price coordination between fuel retailers occurs in some regions. More>>

ALSO:

Huntly: Genesis Extends Life Of Coal-Fuelled Power Station To 2022

Genesis Energy will keep its two coal and gas-fired units at Huntly Power Station operating until 2022, having previously said they'd be closed by 2018, after wringing a high price from other electricity generators who wanted to keep them as back-up. More>>

ALSO:

Dammed If You Do: Ruataniwha Irrigation Scheme Hits Farmer Uptake Targets

Enough Hawke's Bay farmers have signed up for water from the proposed Ruataniwha Water Storage Scheme for it to go ahead as long as a cornerstone institutional capital investor can be found to back it, its regional council promoter announced. More>>

ALSO:

Reserve Bank: OCR Stays At 2.25%

Reserve Bank governor Graeme Wheeler kept the official cash rate at 2.25 percent, in a decision traders had said could go either way, while predicting inflation will pick up as the slump in oil prices washes out of the data and capacity pressures start to build in the economy. More>>

ALSO:

Export Values Down: NZ Posts Biggest Annual Trade Deficit In 7 Years

New Zealand has recorded its biggest annual trade deficit since April 2009, reflecting weaker prices of agricultural commodities such as dairy products, beef and lamb, and increased imports of vehicles and machinery. More>>

ALSO:

Currency Events: NZ's New $5 Note Wins International Banknote Award

New Zealand’s new Brighter Money $5 note has been named Banknote of the Year in a prestigious international competition. The $5 note was awarded the IBNS Banknote of the Year title at the International Bank Note Society’s annual meeting. More>>

ALSO:

Get More From Scoop

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Business
Search Scoop  
 
 
Powered by Vodafone
NZ independent news