Video | Agriculture | Confidence | Economy | Energy | Employment | Finance | Media | Property | RBNZ | Science | SOEs | Tax | Technology | Telecoms | Tourism | Transport | Search

 


RBNZ sees stronger kiwi dollar for longer

RBNZ sees stronger kiwi dollar for longer

By Paul McBeth

March 13 (BusinessDesk) - The New Zealand dollar will stay at an elevated level for longer than previously thought as the local economic story finds favour with foreign investors, according to the Reserve Bank.

The trade-weighted index, a measure of the kiwi against a basket of five currencies, averaged 78.18 in the March quarter, ahead of the Reserve Bank’s December projection of 77.4 in the period, as the prospect of rising interest rates and accelerating economic momentum fuel demand for the New Zealand dollar.

The bank now anticipates the currency will remain elevated over its projection through to March 2017, “depreciating only gradually,” according to today’s monetary policy statement. The bank sees the TWI averaging 78.4 in the current March quarter, falling to 78 next year and 76.6 in March 2015. The TWI was at 79.61 following the statement.

“Investors have recognised the positives for New Zealand’s outlook in the forms of the high terms of trade and domestic growth momentum,” the MPS said. “The consequent expectation of rising interest rate differentials has been priced into the yield curve … which is also reflected in the current level of the exchange rate.”

Governor Graeme Wheeler has tried to talk down the currency, calling it a headwind on the tradable sector, and today said the bank doesn’t “believe the current level of the exchange rate is sustainable in the long run.”

Revisions to the way gross domestic product is measured showed higher terms of trade and net export volumes than previously thought, which explains some of the persistent strength in the kiwi dollar, though the “high exchange rate is expected to remain a drag on economic output over the projection,” the bank said.

While the strong currency eats into export earnings, it also keeps down the price of imports, and the bank expects tradable inflation to remain negative for much of its projected period through to March 2017.

(BusinessDesk)


© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Business Headlines | Sci-Tech Headlines

 

Genetics: New Heat Tolerant Cow Developed

Hamilton, New Zealand-based Dairy Solutionz Ltd has led an expert genetics team to develop a new dairy cow breed conditioned to thrive in lower elevation tropical climates and achieve high milk production under heat stress. More>>

Fractals: Thousands More Business Cards Needed To Build Giant Sponge

New Zealand is taking part in a global event this weekend to build a Menger Sponge using 15 million business cards but local organisers say they are thousands of business cards short. More>>

Scoop Business: NZ Net Migration Rises To Annual Record In September

New Zealand’s annual net migration rose to a record in September, beating government forecasts, as the inflow was spurred by student arrivals from India and Kiwis returning home from Australia. More>>

ALSO:

Scoop Business: Fletcher To Close Its Christchurch Insulation Plant, Cut 29 Jobs

Fletcher Building, New Zealand’s largest listed company, will close its Christchurch insulation factory, as it consolidates its Tasman Insulations operations in a “highly competitive market”. More>>

ALSO:

Scoop Business: Novartis Adds Nine New Treatments Under Pharmac Deal

Novartis New Zealand, the local unit of the global pharmaceuticals firm, has added nine new treatments in a far-ranging agreement with government drug buying agency, Pharmac. More>>

ALSO:

Crown Accounts: English Wary On Tax Take, Could Threaten Surplus

Finance Minister Bill English is warning the tax take may come in below forecast in the current financial year, as figures released today confirm it was short by nearly $1 billion in the year to June 30 and English warned of the potential impact of slumping receipts from agricultural exports. More>>

ALSO:

Auckland Outage: Power Mostly Restored Overnight

Vector wishes to advise that all but 324 customers have been restored overnight. These customers are spread throughout the network in small pockets. The main St Johns feeder was restored around midnight allowing most of the customers in all affected areas to have power this morning. More>>

ALSO:

Get More From Scoop

 
 
Standards New Zealand

Standards New Zealand

Mosh Social Media
 
More RSS  RSS
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Business
Search Scoop  
 
 
Powered by Vodafone
NZ independent news