Video | Agriculture | Confidence | Economy | Energy | Employment | Finance | Media | Property | RBNZ | Science | SOEs | Tax | Technology | Telecoms | Tourism | Transport | Search

 


NZ terms of trade edges closer to all-time high

NZ terms of trade edges closer to all-time high

By Jonathan Underhill

June 3 (BusinessDesk) - New Zealand’s terms of trade edged closer to an all-time high in the first quarter as dairy products led a gain in export prices and petroleum products led import prices lower.

Terms of trade, which measures the quantity of imports the country can buy with a set amount of exports, gained 1.8 percent in the fourth quarter to the highest level since September 1973, according to Statistics New Zealand. It is now just 1.7 percent below its all-time high in the June 1973 quarter. The quarterly gain matched expectations in a Reuters survey.

The terms of trade may be close to peaking, as prices of dairy products have tumbled 23 percent on the GlobalDairyTrade platform in the past four months. Dairy prices rose 2.3 percent in the first quarter and have gained 42 percent in the year to be within 4.7 percent of a record level reached in the fourth quarter of 2008, today's figures showed. Dairy led a 4 percent drop in the ANZ Commodity Price Index in April, to an eight-month low, and data for May, due out tomorrow, is expected to show prices fell further.

"There will be some correction" in the terms of trade, said Robin Clements, senior economist at UBS New Zealand. "They will still remain very high compared to historical trends" but "the momentum of growth, the contribution to nominal GDP, will be down."

Export prices overall rose 0.8 percent in the first quarter. Among other gainers, meat advanced 2.1 percent and was up 6.6 percent in the year, to be 9.7 percent below its June 2011 peak. Forestry prices gained 1.6 percent in the quarter and 10 percent in the year.

Import prices declined 1 percent, led by a 3.5 percent drop in petroleum products, which were also down 3.5 percent in the year. Electrical machinery import prices fell 1.8 percent in the quarter and 12 percent in the year. Prices of fertiliser jumped 17 percent in the first quarter to be down 14 percent in the year.

Export volumes rose 1.6 percent in the first quarter, led by meat while import volumes gained 2.3 percent.

The trade-weighted index was recently at 78.98, down from 79.19 immediately before the data was released. The TWI rose 1.8 percent in the first quarter, which has a downward influence on both export and import prices.

(BusinessDesk)

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Business Headlines | Sci-Tech Headlines

 

What Winter? Temperature Records Set For June 20-22

The days around the winter soltice produced a number of notably warm tempertaures. More>>

Conservation Deal: New Kākāpō Recovery Partnership Welcomed

Conservation Minister Maggie Barry says the new kakapo recovery partnership between DOC and Meridian Energy is great news for efforts to save one of New Zealand’s most beloved birds. More>>

ALSO:

Tech Sector Report: Joyce Warns Asian Tech Investors View NZ As Hobbits And Food

Speaking in Wellington at the launch of a report showcasing the value of the technology sector to the New Zealand economy, Joyce said more had to be done to tell the country's technology stories overseas. More>>

ALSO:

Mediaglommeration: APN Gets OIO Approval For Demerger Plan

APN News & Media has received Overseas Investment Office approval for its plan to split out its NZME unit ahead of a potential merger with rival Fairfax Media's New Zealand operations. More>>

New Paper: Ninety-Day Trial Period Has No Impact On Firms' Hiring

The introduction of a 90-day trial period has had no impact on hiring by New Zealand companies although they are now in widespread use, according to researchers at Motu Economic and Public Policy Research. More>>

ALSO:

Corrections: Serco Exits Equity Stake, Remains As Operator

Serco has sold its equity stake in the company that holds the contract to design, build and run Wiri Prison in South Auckland but continues as sub-contractor to operate the facility. More>>

GDP: NZ Economy Grows Faster-Than-Forecast 0.7%

New Zealand's economy grew at a faster pace than expected in the first quarter of 2016 as construction expanded at the quickest rate in two years. The kiwi dollar jumped after the data was released. More>>

ALSO:

Get More From Scoop

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Business
Search Scoop  
 
 
Powered by Vodafone
NZ independent news