Video | Agriculture | Confidence | Economy | Energy | Employment | Finance | Media | Property | RBNZ | Science | SOEs | Tax | Technology | Telecoms | Tourism | Transport | Search

 


Warehouse shares touch 18-month low as stock downgraded

Warehouse shares touch 18-month low as stock downgraded to 'hold' at Craigs

By Tina Morrison

June 24 (BusinessDesk) - Shares in Warehouse Group touched an 18-month low as the stock was downgraded to 'hold' from 'buy' by brokerage Craigs Investment Partners after the retailer cut its full-year earnings forecast, saying it was having to discount winter clothing and homewares because of warmer weather.

Craigs analyst Chris Byrne cut his forecast for the retailer's 2014 profit by 12 percent, the 2015 forecast by 6 percent and the 2016 estimate by 5 percent after Warehouse on Friday said its profit would decline from the year earlier and be lower than previously forecast as it cut profit margins at its 'red sheds' stores to move stock. Apparel makes up about a quarter of 'red shed' sales and normally generates higher margins, Byrne said.

Warehouse, New Zealand's largest listed retailer, is in the process of rejuvenating its 91 'red shed' stores. To expand group earnings, the company aims to grow the 'non-red' side of its business to be as large as the red sheds, having bought 11 businesses in 18 months, adding technology and appliance retailer Noel Leeming, outdoor sports chain R&R Sports and online sporting goods retailer Torpedo7.

"While New Zealand is having one of the warmest starts to winter on record and the 'red sheds' remain exposed to seasonal product lines, the timing is unfortunate given a lack of visibility over the outcome of Warehouse's reinvestment and acquisition strategy and the impact of online retail," Byrne said.

Warehouse shares touched $2.99 today, the lowest level since December 2012. The stock has declined 9.6 percent since Thursday's closing price, ahead of the profit warning on Friday. It was recently trading down 0.3 percent at $3.02, taking the stock's decline so far this year to 19 percent and making it the third-worst performer on the NZX 50 benchmark index this year.

While "recent share price weakness may, in time, prove a buying opportunity, we require evidence of earnings growth to get more positive," Byrne said.

The company's 'red shed' operating margins may have reached record lows, he said.

Warehouse may not be able to sustain its dividend level if it can't generate operating leverage in 2015 and beyond, Byrne said.

In March, Auckland-based Warehouse committed to a minimum dividend of 19 cents per share over the next two years as it moves to a lower payout ratio of between 75-85 percent of adjusted profit, from a previous policy of 90 percent of adjusted profit.

(BusinessDesk)

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Business Headlines | Sci-Tech Headlines

 

Scoop Business: PayPal Stops Processing Mega Payments; NZX Listing Still On

PayPal has ceased processing payments for Mega, the file storage and encryption firm looking to join the New Zealand stock market via a reverse listing of TRS Investments, amid claims it is not a legitimate cloud storage service. More>>

ALSO:

Housing Policy: Auckland Densification As Popular As Ebola, English Says

Finance Minister Bill English said calls by the Reserve Bank Governor for more densification in Auckland’s housing were “about as popular in parts of Auckland as Ebola” would be. More>>

ALSO:

Crown Accounts: NZ Government Deficit Smaller Than Expected In First Half

The New Zealand government's operating deficit was smaller than expected in the first six months of the financial year, as the consumption and corporate tax take rose ahead of forecast in December, having lagged estimates in previous months. More>>

ALSO:

Fruit & Veg Crackdown: Auckland Fruit Fly Find Under Investigation

The Ministry for Primary Industries (MPI) is investigating a find of a single male Queensland fruit fly in a surveillance trap in the Auckland suburb of Grey Lynn... MPI has placed legal controls on the movement of fruit and some vegetables outside of a defined circular area which extends 1.5km from where the fly was trapped in Grey Lynn. More>>

ALSO:

Scoop Business: Westpac NZ Reaches $2.97M Swaps Settlement

Westpac Banking Corp’s New Zealand unit has agreed to pay $2.97 million in a settlement with the Commerce Commission over the way the bank sold interest rate swaps to farmers between 2005 and 2012. More>>

ALSO:

Get More From Scoop

 
 
Standards New Zealand

Standards New Zealand
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Business
Search Scoop  
 
 
Powered by Vodafone
NZ independent news