Video | Agriculture | Confidence | Economy | Energy | Employment | Finance | Media | Property | RBNZ | Science | SOEs | Tax | Technology | Telecoms | Tourism | Transport | Search

 


NZ dollar's drop stokes talk of intervention

NZ dollar's sharp decline raises speculation of Reserve Bank intervention

By Tina Morrison

Aug. 25 (BusinessDesk) - The New Zealand dollar dropped sharply in mid morning trade on Monday, shedding half a US cent in about five minutes and prompting speculation of Reserve Bank intervention.

The kiwi fell, from 9:15am when it was trading at 83.96 US cents, to 83.40 US cents at 9:21am. The local currency subsequently touched a six-month low of 83.36 US cents and was recently trading at 83.44 cents.

New Zealand's Reserve Bank has previously said the local currency is too high and raised the possibility it could intervene in the market by selling kiwi in an attempt to push it down.

Traders speculated today's sharp drop could have been caused by the central bank taking advantage of thin liquidity on a Monday morning, following a meeting of central bankers at Jackson Hole in the US at the weekend which strengthened the US dollar. However, the currency's move could also be attributed to a large options or hedging transaction by a trading bank.

"It dropped hard and fast," said Michael Johnston, a senior trader at HiFX. "It certainly had the hallmarks of something the Reserve Bank could do, it ticks a few of their boxes to justify intervention. They want to intervene when they have maximum market impact. I think Monday morning when no one else is in and liquidity is pretty thin, particularly after a Jackson Hole where they are less dovish on the US economy, so that's at the margin good for the US dollar as well so it's pulling the kiwi in the direction that they want it to go to."

However HiFX's Johnston said the rumours circulating in the market about intervention were unconfirmed and the drop could also be the result of a large currency flow as a result of an options structure being hedged by a trading bank.

"It's certainly not gospel," he said. "If not, then somebody is doing them a favour. If you wanted to move the kiwi, Monday morning is certainly a pretty good time. It's quite an opportune time to have maximum bang for your buck."

The Reserve Bank doesn't comment outside of its monthly disclosure on foreign currency assets and liabilities, spokesman Angus Barclay said. On Thursday, the bank is scheduled to publish its data for July.

(BusinessDesk)

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Business Headlines | Sci-Tech Headlines

 

Half Empty: Fonterra's 2017 Opening Forecast Below Expectations

Fonterra Cooperative Group raised its forecast farmgate milk payout for next season by less than expected as the world's largest dairy exporter predicts lower prices will crimp production and supply will pick up. The New Zealand dollar fell. More>>

ALSO:

Pest Control: Mouse Blitz Team Leaves For Antipodes

The Million Dollar Mouse project to rid Antipodes Island of mice is underway with the departure of a rodent eradication team to the remote nature reserve and World Heritage Area. More>>

Gongs Got: Canon Media Awards & NZ Radio Awards Happen

Radio NZ: RNZ website The Wireless, which is co-funded by NZ On Air, was named best website, while Toby Manhire and Toby Morris won the best opinion general writing section for their weekly column on rnz.co.nz and Tess McClure won the best junior feature writer section. More>>

ALSO:

Pre-Budget: Debt Focus Risks Losing Opportunity To Stoke Economy

The Treasury is likely to upgrade its forecasts for economic growth in Budget 2016 next week but Finance Minister Bill English has already signalled that more of his focus is on debt repayment than on fiscal stimulus or tax cuts... More>>

ALSO:

Fulton Hogan's Heroes: Managing Director Nick Miller Resigns

Fulton Hogan managing director Nick Miller will leave the privately owned construction company after seven years in charge. The Dunedin-based company has kicked off a search for a replacement, and Miller will stay on at the helm until March next year, or until a successor has been appointed and a transition period completed. More>>

ALSO:

Gordon Campbell: On Electricity, Executions, And Bob Dylan

The Electricity Authority has unveiled the final version of its pricing plan for electricity transmission. This will change the way transmission prices (which comprise about 10% of the average power bill) are computed, and will add hundreds of dollars a year to power bills for many ordinary consumers. More>>

ALSO:

Half Empty: Fonterra NZ, Australia Milk Collection Drops In Season

Fonterra Cooperative Group says milk collection is down in New Zealand and Australia, its two largest markets, in the first 11 months of the season during a period of weak dairy prices. More>>

ALSO:

Get More From Scoop

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Business
Search Scoop  
 
 
Powered by Vodafone
NZ independent news