While You Were Sleeping: Solid US Retail Sales

While you were sleeping: Solid US retail sales

Aug. 16 (BusinessDesk) - A report showing better-than-expected US retail sales underpinned bets the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates at least once more this year, bolstering the greenback.

A Commerce Department report showed US retail sales climbed 0.6 percent in July, the largest increase this year and beating economists' expectations.

"American shoppers flocked to the malls in July, suggesting consumers are well-positioned to propel the economy forward in the second half of the year,” Sal Guatieri, a senior economist at BMO Capital Markets in Toronto, told Reuters. "It should tamp down chatter about the Fed delaying rate hikes until next year.”

Investors will scrutinise Wednesday’s release of the minutes from the Fed’s July meeting for further clues.

Wall Street remained cautious amid political turmoil. In 3pm trading in New York, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.05 percent. However, the Nasdaq Composite Index slipped 0.07 percent. In 2.44pm trading, the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index was steady from the previous close.

"Once you have a good lift in the market like yesterday, it's going to take a little more confidence that it can be sustained, especially at the valuations we're at," Omar Aguilar, chief investment officer for equities at Charles Schwab Investment Management in San Francisco, told Reuters. "We need to have a little more calm down on the political front and geopolitical side.”

Indeed, Bank of America Merrill Lynch's monthly fund manager poll showed 46 percent, or a record high, said equity markets are overvalued.

“Investors’ expectations of corporate profits have taken an ominous turn this year,” Michael Hartnett, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research chief investment strategist, noted, “which is a warning sign for equities over bonds, high yield over investment grade, and cyclical sectors over defensive ones. Further deterioration is likely to cause risk-off trades.”

The Dow rose as gains in shares of American Express and those of Apple, recently up 1.7 percent and 1.1 percent respectively, outweighed slides in shares of Home Depot and those of Nike, recently down 3.1 percent and 2.1 percent respectively.

Wall Street's fear gauge—the CBOE Volatility Index or the VIX—eased 3.2 percent to 11.93.

In Europe, the Stoxx 600 Index finished the day with a 0.1 percent rise from the previous close. Germany’s DAX Index increased 0.1 percent, the UK’s FTSE 100 Index rose 0.4 percent, while France’s CAC 40 Index also added 0.4 percent.

Shares of Danone rose after Bloomberg reported, citing people familiar with the matter, that Corvex Management has built a stake in the French yogurt maker because it views the company as significantly undervalued.

The New York-based activist fund run by Keith Meister owns shares in Danone worth about US$400 million, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the investment hasn't been publicly disclosed, according to Bloomberg.

The stock rose as much as 2.9 percent in early Paris trading, leading gains in France's benchmark CAC 40 Index, before ending the day with an increase of 1 percent from the previous close.

ENDS

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