Art & Entertainment | Book Reviews | Education | Entertainment Video | Health | Lifestyle | Sport | Sport Video | Search

 


Statistical Analysis Of Round Robins 1 & 2


Statistical Analysis Of Round Robins 1 & 2

AUCKLAND - November 6, 2002 - The second Round Robin of the Louis Vuitton Cup concluded Sunday. Thanks to the exclusive statistics of Team Alinghi, you can learn about the challengers with regard to the figures gleaned from a month of impassioned racing.

The qualifying round for the quarter-finals saw vigorous competition. Alinghi has raced 15 regattas since October 1. Alinghi raced 10 matches in winds higher than 13 knots, four of which took place in breeze exceeding19 knots. This generation of the America's Cup Class has proved to be resilient, since not one incident of major damage was reported. Note, however, the number of ripped sails, broken poles (in particular, on Alinghi and Oracle) and the incidents leading to postponements of the regatta, in particular with Stars & Stripes (4th in the first RR and 7th in the second RR).

Alinghi finished Round Robins 1 and 2 at the top of the leader board, ahead of Oracle, One World, and Prada. It is interesting to note that One World won all their races in the first round robin and lost three in the second. Conversely, Prada won only 4 races in the first round, then made a spectacular comeback in the second round, finishing with 7 victories. As for Oracle, they also progressed from 5 to 7 wins between the first and second rounds. Alinghi earned 7 wins in the first round and 6 in the second. The Swiss team retired from the last race, having secured pole position in the overall rankings.

Let's take a look at Alinghi's track record. The Swiss team won 13 out of 15 regattas. They lost 2 matches in medium wind (classified as between 13 and 18 knots.) Second in the Round Robin rankings is Oracle, who lost 2 races in light wind, 1 race in medium wind, and another in heavy wind. One World lost only in light and medium wind. As for Prada, it seems that they have a certain aversion for the medium wind, as they suffered 4 of their 5 defeats in those conditions (33% success rate in these conditions).

The finish line deltas between the competitors have noticeably narrowed. In the first round robin, there were 12 races that were won by more than 2 minutes, compared to only 5 races in the second round. Alinghi and Oracle BMW hold the record for the largest finishing deltas, thanks to 5 races won with a lead of more than 2 minutes at the finish (compared to 3 wins of over 2 minutes for One World and Prada).

Now let's analyze races in detail. The best starts (NB: this data refers to crossing the line first, not of advantageous positioning) were made by One World and Oracle! These two teams crossed the start line ahead of the opposition 63% of the time. They are ahead of Stars & Stripes (56%), Areva and GBR (50%), while Alinghi won the start 47% of the time. Last but not least, is Prada with 20% success, behind Mascalzone Latino (38%) and Victory (31%).

The percentages linked to the first cross are more interesting, because they take into account the team's positioning in relation to their opponent. One World holds the record, winning the first cross 88% of the time, just ahead of Alinghi (87%) and Oracle (81%). Following these three heavyweights, there is a gap. Victory weighs in with only a 44% success rate, ahead of Stars & Stripes (38%) and Prada (33%). Alinghi is the only boat in the group to maintain a consistent performance, with the number of first crosses paralleling their number of wins.

Who has gained ground on their opponents, whether upwind or downwind? That's the question that architects on all the teams are asking themselves. The numbers confirm Alinghi, One World and Oracle are the fastest upwind boats. They carved out an advantage over their adversary in 88%, 76%, and 70%, respectively, of the cases. In contrast, Prada has gained ground on only 41% of the upwind legs. This is less often than Victory with 50%. The statistics also confirm what Alinghi sailors reported after their match against Victory: the Swedes are a force to be reckoned with on the downwind legs. Örn and Orm made gains on 70% of the spinnaker runs. Prada, One World, Alinghi, and Stars & Stripes have similar percentages with a statistical success rate between 59% and 56%. As for Oracle, the team has allowed their adversaries to catch up on 63% of the downwind runs. These statistics indicate that the percentages, surprisingly, have not varied much between the two Round Robins.

The event takes a turn in the next series of races, because from now on, the teams will face a single adversary. The statistics will become more precise and interesting, as the more matches raced against the same opponent, the more accurate the statistics are. Statistical data will be posted each day on the Team Alinghi site, www.alinghi.com. A detailed analysis will be completed at the conclusion of each series of races.

Bernard Schopfer

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Culture Headlines | Health Headlines | Education Headlines

 

NZ On Air TV Funding: More Comedy Comes Out Of The Shadows

Paranormal Event Response Unit is a series conceived by Jemaine Clement and Taika Waititi as a TV spin-off from their highly acclaimed feature film What We Do In The Shadows. More>>

ALSO:

Mars News: Winners Announced For The 2016 Apra Silver Scroll Awards

Wellington singer-songwriter and internationally acclaimed musician Thomas Oliver has won the 2016 APRA Silver Scroll Award with his captivating love song ‘If I Move To Mars’. More>>

ALSO:

Scoop Review Of Books: Salt River Songs by Sam Hunt

Colin Hogg, a longtime comrade of Sam, writes in his Introduction that, ‘There is a lot of death in this collection of new poems by my friend Sam Hunt. It’s easier to count the poems here that don’t deal with the great destroyer than it is to point to the ones that do.’ More>>

Electronica: Restoring The World’s First Recorded Computer Music

University of Canterbury Distinguished Professor Jack Copeland and UC alumni and composer Jason Long have restored the earliest known recording of computer-generated music, created more than 65 years ago using programming techniques devised by Alan Turing. More>>

ALSO:

Scoop Review Of Books: Almost Getting Away With Murder

The Black Widow by Lee-Anne Cartier: Lee-Anne Cartier is the sister of the Christchurch man found to have been murdered by his wife, Helen Milner, after an initial assumption by police that his death, in 2009, was suicide. More>>

Howard Davis: Triple Echo - The Malevich/Reinhardt/Hotere Nexus

Howard Davis: The current juxtaposition of works by Ralph Hotere and Ad Reinhardt at Te Papa perfectly exemplifies Jean Michel Massing's preoccupation with the transmigration of imagery in a remarkable triple echo effect... More>>

Get More From Scoop

 
 

LATEST HEADLINES

 
 
 
 
Culture
Search Scoop  
 
 
Powered by Vodafone
NZ independent news