Book Reviews | Gordon Campbell | News Flashes | Scoop Features | Scoop Video | Strange & Bizarre | Search

 


Sludge Report #45 – The Next President

In this edition: Why Colin Powell Will Be President

NOTE: Authors of this report will be anonymous and wide ranging. Indeed you are invited to contribute: The format is as a reporters notebook. It will be published as and when material is available. C.D. Sludge can be contacted at sludge@scoop.co.nz. The Sludge Report is available as a free email service..Click HERE - http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/myscoop/ to subscribe...


http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0012/S000011.htm
CARTOON: Dubya Meets Lady Liberty

Sludge Report #45

The Next US President

In the spirit of irrational optimism that C.D. Sludge is so fond of, the following relatively painless resolution is offered as an effective manner to resolve Indecision 2000 in time for Christmas.

The Heart Attack

According to Sludge’s sources Democratic activists in Washington DC have been having bad dreams lately about the introduction by George W. Bush of the General Colin Powell factor to the Indecision 2000 equation.

On reflection Sludge reckons these nocturnal anxieties could be well founded.

These are, that Dick Cheney’s recent heart attack was a case of the groundwork being set for Cheney to step aside to allow Powell into the vice-presidential slot – thereby undermining the Gore public support base in an extremely effective manner.

After a few more days of pressure, as the court battles deepen and no sign of any willingness by Gore to crumble emerges, the Bush camp will be anxious to complete this maneuver. The main obstacle, presuming Cheney is keen on the idea, looks likely to be getting the General to agree.

But now we have an Iraqi crisis (thanks to Iraq turning off its oil supply Thursday) even Powell may decide - reluctantly - to be called. (Sludge hopes his motivations in this case might be to avoid a repeat of the campaign he so decisively fought in 1991 - hence the description of this as an optimistic scenario.)

Courts Cannot Provide Finality

Meanwhile it is increasingly apparent that the Supreme Courts cannot resolve Indecision 2000.

Even if the courts wanted to have the ballots counted – and it may yet take a week or so more for them to decide - it is not apparent that counting them would resolve the question of who wins Florida and its electoral votes in any event.

In the end Florida’s Legislature may decide to appoint the electors, at which point the media caravan will head straight back to Court in Washington. The Justices will then defer to the Congress. The senate will be deadlocked and the Supreme Court might get it back for round three.

Meanwhile January 20th is looking a little too close for any of this to be particularly politically feasible, for anyone – especially now we have another genuine foreign affairs crisis on our hands.

Therefore we have a situation in which there can only be a political solution.

History records this has happened twice before. In 1824 and 1876 deals were done. A deal will be done again.

What Will The Deal Be?

Which of course leads to the question what will be the deal?

It is clear the voting public are not of a mind to accept either Bush or Gore as President. David Letterman has hit public opinion on the nail with his “Bush is not the President. Gore is not the President. Lets leave it that way,” line.

And in practice given the level of political and public angst it would most probably be too much of a slap in the face to both camps if either Gore or Bush now became president. Fast escalating evidence of OJ Simpson like public opinion polarisation is now unmistakable.

Which leaves us logically with Leiberman vs Powell (Cheney) – as only two feasible alternatives (Hence the importance of the heart attack theory.)

Fortunately since we can rely on the US desire for the instant poll to resolve most important decisions it will not be particularly difficult to find out who stands the best chance.

Ask yourself. If a Gallup or Washington Post snap poll was held tomorrow asking which of Lieberman, Powell or Cheney the public would prefer as President. Who would win? As you answer remember that republicans think General Powell is a war hero, while Democrats think he is black and not Dick Cheney.

Additional factors making this deal likely:

1. Logically it has to be a Republican candidate because the Republicans control the House of Congress, the only part of the election in which the result was clear. In addition they hold the best hand (at present) before the courts.

2. Powell might just be acceptable to Al Gore as President. Being remembered as Al Gore, the candidate who put a black man into the Whitehouse might even be a legacy that Gore would be happy with leaving.

3. Ultimately any deal will be Gore’s to write as he will be the one that will need to make the concession for it to be written. In addition it is his casting vote that is needed to warrant it through the Senate – giving him some moral authority on the question.

4. While Bush is unlikely to willingly concede after trying so hard to get back into his daddy’s old office, he is, like all good conservatives, likely to do as he is told.

5. Both the Democratic and Republican machinery have every incentive to resolve this with some finality before Christmas.

And so there it is. The future according to Sludge. With any luck a deal like this could be done and sealed before Christmas. And then we will all be able to go back to prepare for the 2000th Christmas.

Anti©opyright Sludge 2000

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Top Scoops Headlines

 

Werewolf: Living With Rio’s Olympic Ruins

Mariana Cavalcanti Critics of the Olympic project can point a discernible pattern in the delivery of Olympics-related urban interventions: the belated but rushed inaugurations of faulty and/or unfinished infrastructures... More>>

Live Blog On Now: Open Source//Open Society Conference

The second annual Open Source Open Society Conference is a 2 day event taking place on 22-23 August 2016 at Michael Fowler Centre in Wellington… Scoop is hosting a live blog summarising the key points of this exciting conference. More>>

ALSO:

Buildup:

Gordon Campbell: On The Politicising Of The War On Drugs In Sport

It hasn’t been much fun at all to see how “war on drugs in sport” has become a proxy version of the Cold War, fixated on Russia. This weekend’s banning of the Russian long jumper Darya Klishina took that fixation to fresh extremes. More>>

ALSO:

Binoy Kampmark: Kevin Rudd’s Failed UN Secretary General Bid

Few sights are sadder in international diplomacy than seeing an aging figure desperate for honours. In a desperate effort to net them, he scurries around, cultivating, prodding, wishing to be noted. Finally, such an honour is netted, in all likelihood just to shut that overly keen individual up. More>>

Open Source / Open Society: The Scoop Foundation - An Open Model For NZ Media

Access to accurate, relevant and timely information is a crucial aspect of an open and transparent society. However, in our digital society information is in a state of flux with every aspect of its creation, delivery and consumption undergoing profound redefinition... More>>

Keeping Out The Vote: Gordon Campbell On The US Elections

I’ll focus here on just two ways that dis-enfranchisement is currently occurring in the US: (a) by the rigging of the boundary lines for voter districts and (b) by demanding elaborate photo IDs before people are allowed to cast their vote. More>>

Ramzy Baroud: Being Black Palestinian - Solidarity As A Welcome Pathology

It should come as no surprise that the loudest international solidarity that accompanied the continued spate of the killing of Black Americans comes from Palestine; that books have already been written and published by Palestinians about the plight of their Black brethren. In fact, that solidarity is mutual. More>>

ALSO:


Get More From Scoop

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Top Scoops
Search Scoop  
 
 
Powered by Vodafone
NZ independent news