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Poll Watch: Herald DigiPoll - Dunne In Hot Seat

Yesterday’s NZ Herald DigiPoll shows the Labour Party, “would win 58 seats - tantalisingly short of a majority in the 120-seat Parliament, even with Jim Anderton's support. …Assuming he retains his Ohariu-Belmont seat United Future leader Peter Dunne could hold the crucial 61st seat and the balance of power if Helen Clark decided to spurn the Greens and NZ First.”


PARTY VOTE STANDINGS:

Labour Down 1.3 to 46.7%
(previous polls: Down 3.2 to 48%, Down 0.9 to 51.2%, Up 2.2 to 52.1%, Down 0.5 49.9%)

National Down 1.4 to 23.1%
(previous polls: Down 0.1 to 24.5%, Down 0.9 to 24.6%, Down 5.5 to 25.7% , Down 2 to 31.2%)

Green Up 1.2 to 11.3 %
(previous polls: Up 0.5 to 10.1%, Up 1.3 to 9.6%, Up 0.6 to 8.3%, Up 2.4 to 7.7%)

NZ First Up 1.9 to 8.3%
(previous polls: Up 2 to 6.4%, Up 0.6 to 4.4%, Up 1.3 to 3.8%, Up 0.6 to 2.5%)

ACT Down 0.3 to 5.5%
(previous polls: Up 0.1 to 5.8%, Up 1.3 to 5.7% , Down 0.3 to 4.4%, 4.7%)

Jim Anderton’s Progressive Coalition Down 0.2 to 1.3%
(previous polls: Up 0.1 to 1.5%, Down 0.1 to 1.4%, 1.5, Debut 0.7%)

Christian Heritage Up 0.1 to 1.3%
(previous polls: Up 0.3 to 1.2%, Down 0.5 to 0.9%, Debut 1.4% - did not appear)

United Future Up 0.4 to 1.1%
(previous polls: Up 0.6 to 0.7%, Down 0.5 to 0.1%, Up 0.5 to 0.6%, 0.1%)

Alliance Steady 0.4%
(previous polls: Steady 0.4%, Down 0.1 to 0.4% , Up 0.1 to 0.5%, 0.4%)

Poll conducted Sample size 912. Margin of error + or – 3.2%

NZ Herald Coverage:

Herald DigiPoll: Gloomy polls ground National's high flyers
17.07.2002

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/storydisplay.cfm?storyID=2098072

Herald DigiPoll: Fitzsimons posts biggest gain in PM preference
17.07.2002

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/storydisplay.cfm?storyID=2098091

Greens, NZ First keep winning voters
17.07.2002
By VERNON SMALL, deputy political editor

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/storydisplay.cfm?storyID=2098084

EARLIER SCOOP POLL WATCH:

- Poll Watch: ONE News – Labour Slips To 46% [1] - Poll Watch: TV3/NFO Poll – NZ First Hits 8% [2] - Poll Watch: Herald DigiPoll, Minor Parties Advance [3] - Poll Watch: Dominion Post/BRC Wellington Central [4] - Poll Watch: TV3/NFO Poll – Labour Slipping [5] - Poll Watch: Herald DigiPoll Greens Closing On 10% [6] - Poll Watch: National Plunges In Herald Poll [7] - Poll Watch: ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll [8] - Poll Watch: Starting Order - UMR May Demographics [9] - Poll Watch: TV3/NFO Poll – Greens On 9% [10] - Poll Watch: Greens Rising Rapidly In NBR/NZ Herald [11]


[1] - http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0207/S00102.htm
[2] - http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0207/S00086.htm
[3] - http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0207/S00080.htm
[4] - http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0207/S00052.htm
[5] - http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0207/S00037.htm
[6] - http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0207/S00016.htm
[7] - http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0206/S00156.htm
[8] - http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0206/S00097.htm
[9] - http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0206/S00081.htm
[10] - http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0206/S00055.htm
[11] - http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0206/S00050.htm

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