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Poll Watch: TV3/NFO Poll – Labour Loses Majority

A TV3 NFO poll tonight was the third poll in recent days to show Labour falling below the level needed to form a government without minor party support.

Party Vote Standings:

Labour Down 2 to 46%
( Previous Polls: Down 3 to 48%, Down 4 to 51% , 56% steady)

National Up 1 to 25%
( Previous Polls: Steady 24%, Steady 24%, 24% down 4)

Greens Up 1.1 to 9%
( Previous Polls: Down 2.9 to 7.9%, Up 1.8 to 10.8%, Up 4.5 to 9%)

ACT Steady 6%
( Previous Polls: Up 1.3 to 6.3%, Up 1.1 to 5%, 3.9%)

NZ First Steady 8%
( Previous Polls: Up 2.2 to 7.9% Up 2.6 to 5.7%, 3.1%)

Alliance Up 0.2 to 1.4%
( Previous Polls: Up 0.1 to 1.2%, Down 0.1 to 1.1% , 1.2%)

Progressive Coalition Down 0.1 to 0.7%
( Previous Polls: Down 0.3 to 0.8% , Up 0.6 to 1.1%, 0.5% )

Christian Heritage Down 0.2 to 1.0%
( Previous Polls: Up 0.4 to 1.2%, Down 0.1 to 0.8%, 0.9% )

United Future NZ Down 0.2 to 0.7%
( Previous Polls: 0.9%, Did not appear. )

( Research Methodology:
- Sample Size 1000 interviews with New Zealanders aged 18+ years
- Sampling Technique Telephone Interviews. Random generation of telephone numbers with quota sampling to ensure representative cross section by age, sex and geography
- Sample Coverage National including rural, secondary urban and main urban areas
- Sample Error Maximum of 3.1% expressed at a 95% confidence level)

LINKS:

TV3’s news link for poll results.
http://www.tv3.co.nz/news/index.cfm?news_category_id=11
(Note… at the time of writing this had not been updated since July 10th…)

The Poll Company NFO also maintains a web page for poll results.
http://www.nfocmresearch.co.nz/index.html?/ins_poll.html

NFO Polling Details in PDF format…
http://www.nfocmresearch.co.nz/PollJul182002.pdf

EARLIER POLL WATCH:

- Poll Watch: Herald DigiPoll - Dunne In Hot Seat [1] - Poll Watch: ONE News – Labour Slips To 46% [2] - Poll Watch: TV3/NFO Poll – NZ First Hits 8% [3] - Poll Watch: Herald DigiPoll, Minor Parties Advance [4] - Poll Watch: Dominion Post/BRC Wellington Central [5] - Poll Watch: TV3/NFO Poll – Labour Slipping [6] - Poll Watch: Herald DigiPoll Greens Closing On 10% [7] - Poll Watch: National Plunges In Herald Poll [8] - Poll Watch: ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll [9] - Poll Watch: Starting Order - UMR May Demographics [10] - Poll Watch: TV3/NFO Poll – Greens On 9% [11] - Poll Watch: Greens Rising Rapidly In NBR/NZ Herald [12]


[1] - http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0207/S00124.htm
[2] - http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0207/S00102.htm
[3] - http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0207/S00086.htm
[4] - http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0207/S00080.htm
[5] - http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0207/S00052.htm
[6] - http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0207/S00037.htm
[7] - http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0207/S00016.htm
[8] - http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0206/S00156.htm
[9] - http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0206/S00097.htm
[10] - http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0206/S00081.htm
[11] - http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0206/S00055.htm
[12] - http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0206/S00050.htm


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