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SuperComputer Weather: Hurricane Isabel's Landfall

Hurricane Isabel East of the Bahamas

NASA MODIS - Satellite: Terra 2003/258 - 09/15 at 15 :30 UTC

As Hurricane Isabel approaches the Eastern Seaboard computer models are converging on a Cape Hatteras landfall in just under 70 hours time. Massive rainfall in the first six hours can be expected to cause widespread flooding in North Carolina and Virginia.

The Eye Of Isabel

NASA MODIS - Satellite: Terra 2003/258 - 09/15 at 15 :30 UTC

LATEST NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TRACK


SOURCE - National Hurricane Center

LATEST NOAA GFS SUPER COMPUTER MODEL TRACK
Each image shows rainfall in coloured lines…

+69 HOURS


+72 HOURS


Big IMAGE Landfall Rainfall
Big IMAGE Landfall Windspeed

Note: the windspeeds indicated in the graphic linked above are far lower than actual expected winds of over 100 knots. See National Hurricane Center Wind Forecasts…

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 16/0300Z 26.1N 70.2W 105 KT
12HR VT 16/1200Z 26.9N 70.8W 105 KT
24HR VT 17/0000Z 28.4N 71.7W 100 KT
36HR VT 17/1200Z 29.8N 72.5W 100 KT
48HR VT 18/0000Z 31.5N 73.7W 100 KT
72HR VT 19/0000Z 37.2N 77.2W 60 KT...INLAND
96HR VT 20/0000Z 44.5N 79.5W 40 KT...INLAND...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 21/0000Z 54.0N 78.5W 30 KT...INLAND...EXTRATROPICAL

Source - National Hurricane Center

+75 HOURS


+78 HOURS


+81 HOURS


+84 HOURS


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