Top Scoops

Book Reviews | Gordon Campbell | Scoop News | Wellington Scoop | Community Scoop | Search


Molesworth & Featherston (Weekend) – 5 August 2005

Molesworth & Featherston - Weekend Update edition

Business and Political News
22 July 2005

In the latest edition:

Rolling average poll
Labour brash, National shy

The turnaround in Labour’s fortunes in the rash of polls at the end of last week have shot it back in front in our rolling poll of polls, leaving it with a new-found confidence; and all the options. So the numbers are (assuming sitting leaders are returned in their electorates):

percent seats

Labour 40.60 51
National 38.79 48
NZ First 7.27 9
Greens 5.49 7
Maori 2.15 3
United Future 1.79 2
Progressive 0.26 1
Act 1.29 0
Destiny 0.55 0

As it has been most of the year, National is short of a majority even with the help of both New Zealand First and United Future. On the other side a Labour-Progressives-Green (LPG) Government, favoured by PM Clark because of the certainty of the parties’ allegiances, can scrape together 59 seats.

Alternatively, Labour, New Zealand First and Progressive could just make it, unless there is a big overhang from the Maori Party winning more electorate seats than its party vote entitles it to.

The worry for National now is that polls showing its fortunes sliding were all but completed before Labour's king-hit on student loans. So the lead might increase even more. Meanwhile the Green Party is worried that a chunk of its strong yoof and university vote, which it was trying to bolster with a generous student loan policy, may have decamped to Labour. It is busy trying to refocus student opinion on its own even more generous package, while stressing it will be needed to help Labour deliver. In the meantime we suspect the Greens’ are in real danger of slipping under 5 per cent in the next few polls.


The fresh pace of industrial action is continuing and the Employment Relations Authority issues a long-awaited ruling. [Pages 4 & 5].


One trade more trade partner signed up to the p-4 deal, and a deal with malaysia is racing closer. [Page 3].


Tough luck, we’ve got tons, including the next big moves and the the players’s darkest fears.

The Weekend Update is a complimentary, condensed edition of the paid-subscription only Governor’s Edition published last Tuesday.

For the inside oil on politics and business in Wellington - and to subscribe to the Governor's edition see…
Pay for a Governor's Editions subscription HERE

Direct Link To This Week's Lobby Edition:

© Scoop Media

Top Scoops Headlines


Using Scoop Professionally? Introducing ScoopPro

ScoopPro is a new offering aimed at ensuring professional users get the most out of Scoop and support us to continue improving it so that Scoop continues to exist as a public service for all New Zealanders. More>>


Don Rennie: Is It Time To Take ACC Back To First Principles?

The word “investing” has played a major part in the operations of the ACC since 1998... More>>

27-29 Sept: Social Enterprise World Forum Live Blog

1600+ delegates from more than 45 countries have came together to share wisdom, build networks and discuss how to create a more sustainable future using social enterprise as a vehicle. Attending the Forum were social enterprise practitioners, social entrepreneurs, policy makers, community leaders, investors, activists, academics and more from across the globe... More>>

HiveMind Report: A Universal Basic Income For Aotearoa NZ

Results from this HiveMind suggests that an overwhelming majority of Kiwis believe that due to changing circumstances and inefficiencies in the current system, we need a better system to take care of welfare of struggling members in our society. More>>


Scoop Hivemind: Medical Cannabis - Co-Creating A Policy For Aotearoa

Welcome to the fourth and final HiveMind for Scoop’s Opening the Election campaign for 2017. This HiveMind explores the question: what would a fair, humane and safe Medical Cannabis policy look like for Aotearoa, NZ in 2018? More>>