Book Reviews | Gordon Campbell | News Flashes | Scoop Features | Scoop Video | Strange & Bizarre | Search

 


Molesworth & Featherston (Weekend) – 10 Sept. 2005

Molesworth & Featherston - Weekend Update edition


Business and Political News
10 September 2005 molesworthandfeatherston.co.nz

In the latest edition:

ECONOMY

Treasury warns oil price hikes could see inflatiom over-shoot the Reserve Bank’s 3% limit.

MEDIA TATTLE

TVNZ tells staff the rumours about Judy Bailey are wrong, and disses a reporter on the rival network.

WEBSITE

We’ve had a few web problems this past week (a few? Sheesh!). So we’re off to a new, boring old .co.nz address. Look for us at

molesworthandfeatherston.co.nz

Election

The last week

Last week we called the election for a Labour-led Government, (“put a fork in it, it's done”) only to be jabbed up the backside by a run of polls showing National comfortably ahead. A five point gap to Labour had evaporated over a week, but since Tuesday Labour has started to sneak ahead again. Polls over the coming weekend will be interesting but will largely pre-date the Exclusive Brethren pamphlet train wreck which Don Brash engineered for himself.

There will be a run of polls through the next week of course, culminating in NBR's Friday poll and probably polls from Fairfax, the NZ Herald and the television stations late in the week, which will give a much better steer - and not just because they are close to the election but because such an important issue on the campaign trail will be fully reflected by week's end. All through the campaign it has been evident it takes a little over a week - e.g. the tax cuts, Labour's student loans policy etc - for news to filter into voter intentions. Our early indications from party polling are that National has taken a serious hit from the ‘now I remember’ comments from Dr Brash, but we will see.

This week we give you progress results through the week in our rolling poll of polls so you can better see the trend. Currently the numbers are (assuming leaders hold their seats):


6 Sept --- 7 Sept --- 9 Sept
-------- per cent ---- seats
Labour 40.94 41.22 41.54 51
National 41.74 41.30 41.08 51
Greens 5.85 5.81 5.74 7
NZ First 5.34 5.27 5.45 7
Maori 1.34 1.49 1.70 2
United Future 1.46 1.49 1.33 2
Progressives 0.43 0.42 0.35 1
Act 1.44 1.57 1.68 0
Destiny 0.89 0.95 0.86 0

Oh so close between the two biggies, but that's 59 seats for a Labour-Progressive-Green Government needing the support of either the Maori Party , with a likely overhang of at least one seat on current polling, although that's not reflected i our numbers above.

On United Future and NZ First's current position; to open talks with the biggest party (illogical as that is ... shouldn't it be the biggest bloc?) they would be elbowing each other aside to talk.

On the other side of the spectrum, National cannot do it even with both NZ First and United Future - even if their first talks with Labour fail. We wonder if that will make National think again over Act and Epsom, but it is getting very late and is a perilous strategy now.

Of course if National sneaks ahead of Labour by a seat and NZ First and United open talks with them first it could all change again - which highlights the fragility of their logic since they would be negotiating to form a National Government even if more people have declared through their vote that they want a Labour-led one.

Surely if they are genuinely "on the fence" over which party is better and want to reflect what most voters want they should start talks with the bigger bloc, because voters for Act, the Greens and the Progressives - and for that matter the Maori Party - know where their parties stand and which sort of a Government they want.

The Weekend Update is a complimentary, condensed edition of the paid-subscription only Governor’s Edition published last Tuesday.

For the inside oil on politics and business in Wellington - and to subscribe to the Governor's edition see…

http://www.molesworthandfeatherston.co.nz Pay for a Governor's Editions subscription HERE

Direct Link To This Week's Lobby Edition: http://molesworthandfeatherston.info/pdf/MandF10Sep05L.pdf

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Top Scoops Headlines

 

Werewolf: Living With Rio’s Olympic Ruins

Mariana Cavalcanti Critics of the Olympic project can point a discernible pattern in the delivery of Olympics-related urban interventions: the belated but rushed inaugurations of faulty and/or unfinished infrastructures... More>>

Live Blog On Now: Open Source//Open Society Conference

The second annual Open Source Open Society Conference is a 2 day event taking place on 22-23 August 2016 at Michael Fowler Centre in Wellington… Scoop is hosting a live blog summarising the key points of this exciting conference. More>>

ALSO:

Buildup:

Gordon Campbell: On The Politicising Of The War On Drugs In Sport

It hasn’t been much fun at all to see how “war on drugs in sport” has become a proxy version of the Cold War, fixated on Russia. This weekend’s banning of the Russian long jumper Darya Klishina took that fixation to fresh extremes. More>>

ALSO:

Binoy Kampmark: Kevin Rudd’s Failed UN Secretary General Bid

Few sights are sadder in international diplomacy than seeing an aging figure desperate for honours. In a desperate effort to net them, he scurries around, cultivating, prodding, wishing to be noted. Finally, such an honour is netted, in all likelihood just to shut that overly keen individual up. More>>

Open Source / Open Society: The Scoop Foundation - An Open Model For NZ Media

Access to accurate, relevant and timely information is a crucial aspect of an open and transparent society. However, in our digital society information is in a state of flux with every aspect of its creation, delivery and consumption undergoing profound redefinition... More>>

Keeping Out The Vote: Gordon Campbell On The US Elections

I’ll focus here on just two ways that dis-enfranchisement is currently occurring in the US: (a) by the rigging of the boundary lines for voter districts and (b) by demanding elaborate photo IDs before people are allowed to cast their vote. More>>

Ramzy Baroud: Being Black Palestinian - Solidarity As A Welcome Pathology

It should come as no surprise that the loudest international solidarity that accompanied the continued spate of the killing of Black Americans comes from Palestine; that books have already been written and published by Palestinians about the plight of their Black brethren. In fact, that solidarity is mutual. More>>

ALSO:


Get More From Scoop

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Top Scoops
Search Scoop  
 
 
Powered by Vodafone
NZ independent news