Top Scoops

Book Reviews | Gordon Campbell | Scoop News | Wellington Scoop | Community Scoop | Search


The Push For Ministerial Places

Wellington – As National Leader John Key stitches together his Government a lot of his MPs will also be nervously waiting for a phone call to talk about their political futures.

If Key decides no radical Cabinet surgery is required then there will be three or four spots around the Cabinet table, but this not enough to meet the seething ambitions inside caucus.

First there are those Ministers outside Cabinet who want to be inside and then there are the ambitious backbenchers knocking on the door.

Key has already indicated that in many of the major portfolios – such as finance – he has not considered any changes.

Stocks have been launched on many of the issues being considered by Key and Amy Adams is favoured to be the backbencher who will get the call.

This is probably based on her being the chair of the Finance and Expenditure Select Committee, which is one the usual ministerial career pathways. However she had only been in the job a short time after Craig Foss was promoted and then Parliament was dissolved months later.

Another common career path to Cabinet is the position of Chief Whip, and currently Chris Tremain is around a 45 percent of becoming a Cabinet Minister. Though Key might want to keep an experienced incumbent in the job to manage his larger caucus.

Maurice Williamson must also be a contender even though he is currently only rated a 21 percent probability.

Williamson found himself a minister outside of Cabinet in 2008 after he got himself offside with Key for a few unguarded comments during the campaign.

During the last term he kept his head down and won many kudos for painstakingly working through the leaking building issue, however Key may just decide he wants younger blood.

Within Cabinet some changes have been forced on Key with some ministers standing down at the last election. In the case of justice, Judith Collins is heavily favoured to replace Simon Power.


© Scoop Media

Top Scoops Headlines


Resignation Of Metiria Turei: Were Journalists 'just Doing Their Job'?

In our research we examined the role of journalism in animating the Turei controversy and the different perceptions of professional journalists and online commentators sympathetic to Turei’s left politics. ... More>>

Gordon Campbell: On The Extradition Of Julian Assange

It isn’t necessary to like Julian Assange to think that his extradition to the US (on the charge of aiding and abetting Chelsea Manning) would be a major injustice... More>>


Gordon Campbell: Islamic State Meets The Searchers

The histories of the European children forcibly recruited into Native American tribal life during the 19th century do remind us of just how difficult the social re-integration of the children of ISIS is likely to be. More>>

Joseph Cederwall: CJR Analysis Of Post-Christchurch Media Coverage

After the Christchurch massacre, Columbia Journalism Review analysed news sources to see how outlets complied with guidelines from groups that seek to limit the amplification of terrorist acts through media. More>>

News Deserts: The Death March Of Local Journalism

Joseph Cederwall: The corporate media sector seems unable to do anything to halt the raging dumpster fire of consolidation, layoffs and centralisation of content production. All this means we are increasingly seeing ‘news deserts’ appearing in local communities. Illustration by Paul Sahre. More>>