Gordon Campbell | Parliament TV | Parliament Today | News Video | Crime | Employers | Housing | Immigration | Legal | Local Govt. | Maori | Welfare | Unions | Youth | Search

 

Opinion Poll Shows Nothing Between Major Parties


Media Release
20th June 2005

New Opinion Poll Shows Nothing Between Major Parties

A major new opinion poll by Fairfax New Zealand and ACNielsen shows Labour and National neck and neck in the lead-up to the forthcoming General Election with tax set to be a defining issue for voters.

The first in what will be a series of comprehensive nationwide polls by ACNielsen for newspaper owner Fairfax reveals several key points which signal a closely contested election and also give an insight into the issues likely to influence voters in the coming months.

The poll is a group initiative driven by the editors of Fairfax New Zealand's daily newspapers and will be produced every month in the run-up to the election and also in the days immediately preceding it.

The group recognised the need for an authoritative poll that not only asked key political questions but shed light on other topical issues.

“The public is getting an important insight into the mood of voters through this poll,“ said Fairfax New Zealand group editor, John Crowley.

“The details of each poll will reach over 1,000,000 of our readers through nine daily papers.” (And what about Stuff?)

ACNielsen is a global leader in market research and analysis, with long experience in political polling around the world. Last year it accurately predicted the final result of Australia's federal and state elections to within one percentage point.

The sample of over 1,100 respondents for each poll is large enough to give an accurate snapshot of how the voting population is thinking and drill down into trends by regional, political and gender groupings. The size means the margin of error is reduced to 2.9%.

The first poll asked respondents key political questions about party support and preferred prime minister as well as questions on the current issues of income tax, immigration laws, drinking age and the rural economy.

The poll showed Labour leading the party vote with 40 per cent support to National's 38% and New Zealand First in a strong position to hold the balance of power with 9% support. The Greens are the only other party to breach the 5% threshold,

Prime Minister Helen Clark retains her clear lead as preferred Prime Minister on 39% with Don Brash sitting on 24%. Winston Peters is the preferred leader of 9% of voters.

The poll also showed the large majority of voters (68%) believe political parties should state their coalition preferences before an election.

Respondents were also asked their views on income tax, immigration, the drinking age and the rural economy.

The poll revealed strong support (75%) for immediate income tax cuts. More worrying for the Government was the finding that 68% of Labour voters wanted tax cuts now. Support for tax cuts dropped slightly to 64% if they meant a cut in government spending.

Just over half of respondents (52%) thought New Zealand immigration laws were ``not tough enough``, although that figure jumped to 78% of New Zealand First voters.

Almost three-quarters of voters thought the legal drinking age should be raised back to 20 years old. Not surprisingly, those aged 18-24 were more likely to oppose raising the age (40%).

Respondents also displayed optimism about the rural economy with 57% believing it would ``stay the same`` over the next six months and 24% expecting it to grow.

The next poll will be carried out in July and will repeat the baseline political questions while adding further questions on outside issues.

- - ENDS - -

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Regional Headlines

Gordon Campbell: On The Politics Of Scaring Voters Back Into Line

Fear has always been a useful mobilising tool in politics… yet in 2017, bogeymen of all shapes and sizes seem to have fallen on hard times. For years, the National party had painted itself as being the only reliable defensive bastion against the terrifying prospect of a centre-left government…

In fact, the polls suggest that the public seems to quite like the new government, its Prime Minister, and its proposed plan of action. Somehow, even though a Labour/Greens/NZ First government is in power, the sun is still rising and setting, on time. More>>

 

Gordon Campbell: On Drinking Water As A Failure Of Political Leadership

It is almost possible to feel sorry for the Health Ministry in their terrible, no good, very bad week... More>>

ALSO:


Gordon Campbell: On Saying ‘Work For The Dole,’ Nicely

As New Zealand First learned the hard way from its two previous periods in government, small parties in MMP coalitions get blamed for the unpopular stuff done by their senior partner in power, but no one remembers the good stuff the junior player brought to the table... More>>

ALSO:

Seismic Blasting: Greenpeace Launches Legal Challenge Against Amazon Warrior

A legal challenge against the world’s largest seismic oil exploration ship was launched at a public rally on Parliament Lawn. More>>

ALSO:

Tertiary: 80,000 People Eligible For Fees Free

The Government has today made good on its 100-day promise of delivering the first year of fees-free post school training and education and industry training from 1 January next year, says Education Minister Chris Hipkins. More>>

ALSO:

PM's Presser: Rebuilding Cathedrals, Felling Trees

Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern attended the press conference today with Minister for Greater Christchurch Regeneration Dr Megan Woods to announce urgent legislation this week for the rebuilding of the Christ Church Cathedral. More>>

ALSO:

 
 
 
 
 

LATEST HEADLINES

  • PARLIAMENT
  • POLITICS
  • REGIONAL
 
 

Featured InfoPages