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TNS Poll – Te Tai Tokerau Electorate

6 September 2005

Mâori Television TNS Poll – Te Tai Tokerau Electorate

Mâori Television is currently conducting a second election opinion poll of the Mâori electorates. Today Mâori Television is releasing the results of its poll of the Te Tai Tokerau electorate. This electorate poll was conducted from 29 August to 5 September 2005 by TNS Research Ltd.

Tomorrow (7 September 2005) Mâori Television will release the results for the Te Tai Hauauru electorate, followed by the results for Waiariki and Te Tai Tonga next week.

Results of polls for Tamaki Makaurau, Tainui and Ikaroa Rawhiti were announced last week. All poll results are being announced on Mâori Television’s news programme, Te Kâea (7.30pm, repeated at 11pm), and via embargoed media release.

Results for the Te Tai Tokerau electorate follow:

Preferred Party

If an election was held yesterday, which political party would you have voted for?

Te Tai Tokerau

% (of those who stated a preference)
Labour Party 41
Mâori Party 33
New Zealand First 10
National Party 5
Green Party 5
Destiny New Zealand 3
United Future 0
Other 3
Base 312
Don’t know/ none 11
Base 350


Preferred Electorate Candidate

If an election was held yesterday, which of the following Mâori electorate candidates would you have voted for?

Te Tai Tokerau
% (of those who stated a preference)
Dover Samuels (Labour Party) 30
Hone Harawira (Mâori Party) 49
Ernest Morton (Destiny New Zealand) 5
Mere Mangu (Independent) 7
Judy Daniels (Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party) 2
Hana Maxwell (Independent) 2
Other 5
Base 318
Don’t know/none 9
Base 350

Changed Vote?

In the last four weeks, have you changed your mind about the way you will vote?

Te Tai Tokerau**
Yes 28
No 70
Don’t know 2
Base 350
Main Reason for Changing Vote in Last Four Weeks

What is the MAIN reason you have changed your vote in the last 4 weeks?

Main reason for changing vote Te Tai Tokerau ***
Policies or issues (general) 15
Tax policy 7
Student loans 1
The new Mâori Party 4
Was previously undecided 5
Campaign advertising 0
Watching/listening to the debate 2
Mâori issues 3
Labour Party policies 3
Do not want National Party 10
Other 32
Don’t want to waste vote 5
Don’t know 10
Base (have decided to change vote in last 4 weeks) 97

Preferred Prime Minister

Of all political leaders in New Zealand, who would you most prefer to be Prime Minister?

Te Tai Tokerau *****
Helen Clark (Labour Party) 52
Winston Peters (New Zealand First Party) 19
Tariana Turia (Mâori Party) 8
Pita Sharples (Mâori Party) 3
Don Brash (National Party) 3
Richard Lewis (Destiny New Zealand) 1
Jim Anderton (Jim Anderton’s Progressive) 1
Jeanette Fitzsimons (Green Party) 1
Hone Harawira (Mâori Party) 2
Other 2
None 3
Don’t Know 5
Base 350

Research Methodology

Date poll was conducted

Interviews were conducted over the period 29 August to 5 September 2005

Sample Size in each electorate
350 voter eligible Mâori aged 18+ (enrolled on the Mâori Electoral Roll)

Sampling Technique
Telephone Interviews. Random selection of telephone numbers (tele-matched from Mâori Electoral Roll) with quota sampling to ensure representative cross section by age and sex within each electorate.

Sample Coverage
Te Tai Tokerau

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