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New Zealanders’ Views On Further Tax Cut Options

24 May 2008


SHAPENZ BUDGET 2008 SURVEY REPORT

Interim result

New Zealanders’ Views On Further Tax Cut Options

This ShapeNZ survey was undertaken between 4.15pm Thursday May 22 and 2.38pm Friday May 23, 2008.

The 2872 respondents are weighted by age, gender, income, employment status, ethnicity and party vote 2005 to provide a nationally representative sample. The maximum margin of error is +/- 1.8% on the national sample.

An earlier interim report covering overall reaction to the Budget is at http://www.nzbcsd.org.nz/story.asp?id=909

Compared with three years ago, your household is

A. Much better off
5%
B. Better off
12%
C. About the same
29%
D. Worse off
37%
E. Much worse off
15%
F. Don't know
2%

Generally, do you believe it would be responsible or irresponsible to make further tax cuts than those already proposed for the next three years?

A. Responsible
45%
B. Irresponsible
29%
C. Don't know
20%
D. Other
5%

Do you believe New Zealand can afford to make tax cuts during the next three years which are larger than those proposed in the Budget

A. Yes, New Zealand can afford larger tax cuts than proposed
52%
B. No, New Zealand cannot afford larger tax cuts than those proposed
29%
C. Don't know
17%
D. Other
2%

If further tax cuts were to be made, in addition to those announced in the Budget, how much should they be per week?

A. $10 per week
10%
B. $20 per week
20%
C. $30 per week
12%
D. $40 per week
8%
E. $50 per week
14%
F. $100 per week
5%
G. More than $100 per week
2%
H. No more tax cuts are needed other than those proposed
19%
I. Don't know
9%

If further personal tax cuts meant less was available for social spending (benefits, health, education) would you support or oppose the reductions?

A. Support
27%
B. Oppose
60%
C. Don't know
13%

If further tax cuts were to put up prices and mortgage interest rates, would you support or oppose further tax reductions?

A. Support
13%
B. Oppose
77%
C. Don't know
10%


Cross table results by party vote.
Please use sub sample results with caution.

ShapeNZ Budget 2008 survey
Survey Results Table (Weighted)
Q4. Generally, do you believe it would be responsible or irresponsible to make further tax cuts than those already proposed for the next three years?

Multichoice - Single Answer Only

A. Responsible
B. Irresponsible
C. Don't know
D. Other
A B C D
ALL 2880 45% 29% 20% 5%
(Please note results in first column are for 2005 party vote., Other results for answers by current party vote)
PARTY VOTE
Labour Party 36% 35% 39% 19% 5%
National Party 27% 59% 19% 19% 3%
Don’t know or can't remember 16% 49% 21% 25% 4%
Green Party 4% 18% 55% 13% 12%
Mâori Party 4% 60% 15% 12% 14%
New Zealand First Party 3% 39% 39% 14% 7%
Was not eligible to vote 3% 34% 38% 22% 6%
Chose not to vote 2% 43% 19% 33% 5%
Other (please specify) 2% 54% 16% 27% 3%
ACT New Zealand 1% 70% 9% 12% 9%
Jim Anderton's Progressive Party 1% 25% 61% 15%
United Future New Zealand 1% 45% 25% 27% 3%
Destiny New Zealand 0% 47% 41% 12%
Christian Heritage NZ 0% 46% 38% 15%
Alliance 0% 50% 50%
Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party 0% 67% 33%
99 MP Party 0% 86% 14%
OneNZ Party 0% 100%
Democrats for Social Credit 0% 100%
New Zealand Family Rights Protection Party 0% 100%

Q5. Do you believe New Zealand can afford to make tax cuts during the next three years which are larger than those proposed in the Budget

Multichoice - Single Answer Only

A. Yes, New Zealand can afford larger tax cuts than proposed
B. No, New Zealand cannot afford larger tax cuts than those proposed
C. Don't know
D. Other
A B C D
ALL 2880 51% 29% 16% 2%

PARTY VOTE
Labour Party 36% 40% 38% 19% 3%
National Party 28% 68% 18% 11% 1%
Don’t know or can't remember 16% 52% 24% 21% 2%
Green Party 4% 22% 50% 18% 8%
Mâori Party 4% 55% 22% 22% 2%
New Zealand First Party 3% 52% 34% 9% 6%
Was not eligible to vote 3% 37% 45% 17%
Chose not to vote 2% 57% 14% 29%
Other (please specify) 2% 68% 15% 15% 2%
ACT New Zealand 1% 82% 11% 6% 0%
Jim Anderton's Progressive Party 1% 25% 57% 19%
United Future New Zealand 1% 76% 21% 2%
Destiny New Zealand 0% 54% 41% 5%
Christian Heritage NZ 0% 46% 30% 23%
Alliance 0% 9% 9% 82%
Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party 0% 33% 67%
99 MP Party 0% 86% 14%
OneNZ Party 0% 100%
Democrats for Social Credit 0% 100%
New Zealand Family Rights Protection Party 0% 100%


Q6. If further tax cuts were to be made, in addition to those announced in the Budget, how much should they be per week?
(Please tick the level you think would be appropriate)

Multichoice - Single Answer Only

A. $10 per week
B. $20 per week
C. $30 per week
D. $40 per week
E. $50 per week
F. $100 per week
G. More than $100 per week
H. No more tax cuts are needed other than those proposed
I. Don't know
A B C D E F G H I
ALL 2892 10% 19% 11% 7% 14% 5% 2% 19% 9%

PARTY VOTE
Labour Party 36% 11% 22% 14% 5% 10% 6% 1% 21% 10%
National Party 27% 7% 19% 13% 13% 21% 5% 2% 13% 7%
Don’t know or can't remember 16% 13% 21% 11% 9% 15% 4% 3% 15% 8%
Green Party 4% 8% 7% 5% 3% 6% 5% 1% 52% 10%
Mâori Party 4% 2% 12% 3% 10% 22% 1% 31% 20%
New Zealand First Party 3% 9% 19% 17% 6% 9% 7% 0% 19% 14%
Was not eligible to vote 3% 17% 20% 3% 7% 19% 0% 24% 10%
Chose not to vote 2% 20% 17% 10% 6% 14% 6% 3% 8% 16%
Other (please specify) 2% 9% 17% 9% 3% 4% 18% 18% 11% 10%
ACT New Zealand 1% 14% 24% 9% 8% 7% 9% 14% 9% 7%
Jim Anderton's Progressive Party 1% 1% 30% 18% 1% 49%
United Future New Zealand 1% 18% 26% 9% 7% 14% 20% 6%
Destiny New Zealand 0% 21% 4% 22% 7% 41% 5%
Christian Heritage NZ 0% 9% 14% 23% 30% 23%
Alliance 0% 46% 9% 4% 41%
Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party 0% 15% 18% 67%
99 MP Party 0% 86% 14%
OneNZ Party 0% 100%
Democrats for Social Credit 0% 100%
New Zealand Family Rights Protection Party 0% 100%


Q7. If further personal tax cuts meant less was available for social spending ( benefits, health, education) would you support or oppose the reductions?

Multichoice - Single Answer Only

A. Support
B. Oppose
C. Don't know
A B C
ALL 2879 26% 60% 13%

PARTY VOTE
Labour Party 36% 17% 70% 12%
National Party 28% 41% 45% 13%
Don’t know or can't remember 16% 27% 55% 16%
Green Party 4% 15% 71% 12%
Mâori Party 4% 12% 81% 7%
New Zealand First Party 3% 16% 72% 13%
Was not eligible to vote 3% 26% 61% 12%
Chose not to vote 2% 25% 57% 18%
Other (please specify) 2% 24% 45% 31%
ACT New Zealand 1% 66% 28% 5%
Jim Anderton's Progressive Party 1% 13% 78% 9%
United Future New Zealand 1% 33% 64% 3%
Destiny New Zealand 0% 20% 64% 16%
Christian Heritage NZ 0% 23% 77%
Alliance 0% 59% 41%
Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party 0% 100%
99 MP Party 0% 86% 14%
OneNZ Party 0% 100%
Democrats for Social Credit 0% 100%
New Zealand Family Rights Protection Party 0% 100%


Q8. If further tax cuts were to put up prices and mortgage interest rates, would you support or oppose further tax reductions?

Multichoice - Single Answer Only

A. Support
B. Oppose
C. Don't know
A B C
ALL 2886 12% 77% 10%

PARTY VOTE
Labour Party 36% 10% 81% 8%
National Party 27% 14% 72% 13%
Don’t know or can't remember 16% 11% 76% 12%
Green Party 4% 8% 84% 6%
Mâori Party 4% 5% 88% 7%
New Zealand First Party 3% 11% 83% 4%
Was not eligible to vote 3% 18% 76% 6%
Chose not to vote 2% 12% 68% 20%
Other (please specify) 2% 32% 56% 11%
ACT New Zealand 1% 46% 46% 8%
Jim Anderton's Progressive Party 1% 13% 78% 9%
United Future New Zealand 1% 7% 92% 2%
Destiny New Zealand 0% 16% 68% 16%
Christian Heritage NZ 0% 5% 68% 27%
Alliance 0% 59% 41%
Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party 0% 100%
99 MP Party 0% 86% 14%
OneNZ Party 0% 100%
Democrats for Social Credit 0% 100%
New Zealand Family Rights Protection Party 0% 100%

ShapeNZ methodology

This question and answer report prepared by Tasman Research and Consultation Limited outlines how the Business Council's ShapeNZ online research panel is recruited and its methodology.

The Business Council runs the national online survey panel, ShapeNZ, to allow public input on major issues. The panel is primarily built from purchased lists and weighted results are representative of the population as a whole, compared with the 2006 census. At 8 April 2008 the panel had 9001 members. At 22 May 2008 is had 13,568 members. ShapeNZ members register and provide demographic and previous party vote information to ensure results can be accurately weighted to reflect the New Zealand population. Registration is also available at www.shapenz.org.nz.

This research may be used and published with the prior approval the Business Council.

ends

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