Finding No. 4690 - This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone with a NZ wide cross-section of 895 electors from July 11-24, 2011. Of all electors surveyed 8.5% (unchanged) didn’t name a party.: July 28, 2011
The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows support for Prime Minister John Key’s National-led Government is at 57.5% (up 2.5%). Support for Key’s National Party is 52% (up 3%), ACT NZ 2% (down 1%), the Maori Party 3% (up 0.5%), and United Future 0.5% (unchanged).
Support for Opposition Parties is at 42.5% (down 2.5%) — Labour Party 31.5% (down 2%), Greens 7.5% (unchanged), New Zealand First 2.5% (down 0.5%), Mana Party 0.5% and Others 0.5% (down 0.5%).
If a National Election were held today the National Party would easily be returned to Government.
The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has risen 1 point to 127.5 with 56.5% (up 0.5%) of New Zealanders saying New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 29% (down 0.5%) that say New Zealand is ‘heading in the wrong direction.’
Gary Morgan says:
“Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows an increasing lead for Prime Minister John Key’s National-led Government (57.5%, up 2.5%), well ahead of the Opposition Parties (42.5%, down 2.5%). A further good sign for the Key Government is the rise in the New Zealand Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating — up 1pt to 127.5 and now at its highest since mid March.
“Roy Morgan has measured nationwide support for Hone Harawira’s new Mana Party for the first time at 0.5%, level with United Future, after the victory on June 25, 2011 of Harawira in a by-election for his electorate (Te Tai Tokerau) caused by his resignation from the Maori Party.”
Electors were asked: “If a New Zealand Election were held today which party would receive your party vote?”
This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone with a NZ wide cross-section of 895 electors from July 11-24, 2011. Of all electors surveyed 8.5% (unchanged) didn’t name a party.
VOTING INTENTION SUMMARY
The following table compares the latest NZ Morgan Polls on Voting Intention with the result from the November 8, 2008 General Election:
|MORGAN POLL||National||Labour||Green Party||ACT NZ||Maori Party*||United Future||NZ First||Progressive Party||Mana Party||Other|
|[ … ]|
|June 13-26, 2011||54||30.5||5.5||2.5||3||0.5||3.5||^||n/a||0.5|
|June 27 - July 10, 2011||49||33.5||7.5||3||2.5||0.5||3||^||n/a||1|
|July 11-24, 2011||52||31.5||7.5||2||3||0.5||2.5||^||0.5||0.5|
*The Maori Party was launched in July 2004; ^ Result less than 0.5%.
[ … ]
Full report with two-party vote, confidence question, charts and survey details at http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2011/4690/