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New Zealand's National-Led Govt's Winning Lead Increases

New Zealand National-Led Govt's Winning Lead Increases

59.5% (UP 4%) CF. LABOUR 40.5% (DOWN 4%)

Finding No. 4705 - This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone with a NZ wide cross-section of 847 electors from September 26 – October 9, 2011. Of all electors surveyed 7% (unchanged) didn’t name a party.: October 18, 2011

The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows support for Prime Minister John Key’s National-led Government has risen to 59.5%. Support for Key’s National Party is 55.5% (up 4.5%), ACT NZ 1.5% (unchanged), the Maori Party 2% (down 0.5%), and United Future 0.5% (unchanged).

Support for Opposition Parties is at 40.5% (down 4%) — Labour Party 28% (down 2.5%), Greens 9.5% (down 2%), New Zealand First 2% (up 1%), Mana Party 0.5% (unchanged) and Others 0.5% (down 0.5%).

If a National Election were held today the National Party would easily be returned to Government.

The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has risen 0.5 points to 137.5 — the highest since November 2010 with 62% (up 0.5%) of New Zealanders saying New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 24.5% (unchanged) that say New Zealand is ‘heading in the wrong direction.’

Gary Morgan says:

“Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows a quick rebound in support for the National-led Government (59.5%, up 4%) after a sharp fall in mid-September. The Opposition Parties are now at 40.5% (down 4%). Prime Minister John Key’s National (55.5%, up 4.5%) has had the biggest gain while both the Labour Party (29%, down 2.5%) and the Greens (9.5%, down 2%) have lost support.

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“Another boost for the Key Government has been the increase in the New Zealand Dollar — which bounced from a low of US 75.2 cents on the first trading day of October and had recovered to be above US 78 cents at the end of the interviewing period. Also holding up despite international economic worries was the ANZ-Roy Morgan New Zealand Consumer Confidence Rating — at 112.2 in October — well in the positive.

“The defeat of the Wallabies in Sunday’s semi-final means the All Blacks are on the verge of winning the Rugby World Cup for only the second time — along with their victory in the inaugural World Cup in 1987. Victory in this week’s final against France would clearly be a boost for New Zealand and the incumbent Government with just over a month before the New Zealand general election.”

Electors were asked: “If a New Zealand Election were held today which party would receive your party vote?”

This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone with a NZ wide cross-section of 847 electors from September 26 — October 9, 2011. Of all electors surveyed 7% (unchanged) didn’t name a party.


For more, Scoop Link: [Roy Morgan Research] Morgan Poll

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