Gordon Campbell | Parliament TV | Parliament Today | News Video | Crime | Employers | Housing | Immigration | Legal | Local Govt. | Maori | Welfare | Unions | Youth | Search

 


Bean Poll Set To Predict Another Election Winner

October 31 , 2011

Bean Poll Set To Predict Another Election Winner

A consumer poll that involves voters putting coffee beans in plastic holders has advantages over traditional polling methodologies, says a top academic expert.

Dr Andrew Balemi, from the University of Auckland’s Department of Statistics, says the Muffin Break Bean Poll, held by the muffin and coffee chain since 2002, takes into consideration the communal strategy employed by voters, unlike traditional phone polls.

Held a month prior to the last three general elections, the Bean Poll has predicted the winning party every time – even in 2005 when the Labour Party won with a narrow margin over National.

Dr Balemi, whose area of expertise is in polls, surveys, market research and consumer behaviour, says the Muffin Break Bean Poll has advantages over other polling methodologies.

“While there’s been no external validation* of the Bean Poll’s accuracy on scientific principles, it’s certainly fun. It strikes me as a low tech equivalent of election prediction markets which are popular in the United States and have proven to be reasonably accurate in the past,” he says.

“One thing that the Bean Poll does have as opposed to a prediction method such as a telephone poll is that it takes into account the social aspect of the decision-making process whereby voters use the information from other voters to vote tactically.”

The Bean Poll is the largest of its kind in New Zealand. More than 120,000 people cast their vote for their preferred party with a coffee bean in the month leading up to the 2008 general election.

Starting tomorrow and running throughout the four weeks leading up to this year’s November 26 election, customers at Muffin Break’s 36 stores from Whangarei to Dunedin will each be given a coffee bean, which they can use to vote for their preferred party by placing it in the relevant holder in-store.

The results are then tallied to give an overall picture of how Kiwis will vote on election day.

Muffin Break General Manager Garry Croft says the Bean Poll has become more and more popular every election year and 2011 will be no exception.

Additionally, for the first time this election people will also be able to cast their vote online as well as in-store.

“We love having a bit of fun around the election and feedback from our customers every time we have run the Bean Poll shows that they love it too,” says Mr Croft.

“Plus, if it gets people thinking about the election and who they will vote for on November 26, we’ve played a part in the democratic process.”

For more information, or to cast your vote online, visit www.muffinbreak.co.nz.

*This would entail finding out, for example, if people are representative of eligible voters throughout New Zealand which would be very difficult to prove and spoil the spontaneity of the process.

About Muffin Break
Encompassing over 200 sweet and savoury muffin recipes, Muffin Break is renowned for their freshly baked goods prepared daily onsite, providing an irresistible range of baked products as well as Muffin Break’s distinctive blend of espresso coffee.

First launched in 1989, Muffin Break has since grown to 177 stores in Australia, 33 in the United Kingdom, 36 in New Zealand and two in Dubai. Muffin Break operates under the Foodco Group. The Foodco Group is an Australian franchise company which comprises over 300 retail outlets trading through the Muffin Break specialty bakery, Jamaica Blue cafes and Dreamy Donut stores. Foodco currently operates in Australia, New Zealand, USA, Kuwait, Dubai, the UK, China.

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Regional Headlines

Easter: Have A Safe Holiday And/Or Don't Mislead On Surcharges

Commerce Commission: “Businesses that do apply a surcharge must ensure people are alerted to this before they make a decision to purchase. This gives consumers the ability to decide whether they are prepared to pay a surcharge or would rather go elsewhere,” Ms Rawlings said.

“The reason for the surcharge must be accurately described and must not mislead consumers. For example a business must not claim their surcharge on Easter Sunday is because it is a public holiday, as the only public holidays over the Easter weekend are Good Friday and Easter Monday.” More>>

 

PARLIAMENT TODAY:

Law Foundation Report: New Zealand Going Backwards On Human Rights

Greens: A report released today, Fault lines: Human Rights in New Zealand, looked at our commitment to six different international human rights treaties and found New Zealand sorely lacking in our commitment to human rights in practice to the point we’re going backwards. More>>

ALSO:

War Prep: “Gerrymandering” The Iraq Deployment

NZ First: “On Tuesday, it was ‘up to 50 troops’ training in Australia but yesterday that number grew to 100... Given pre-deployment training and now integrated training with the Australian Army, it seems to go beyond the supposed training role our men and women are meant to be tasked with undertaking.” More>>

ALSO:

Gordon Campbell: On The Inadequate Response To Sexual Violence Prevention

On combatting sexual violence, the government has finally begun to undo some of the problems that were of its own making. Early in March, ACC launched the Integrated Services for Sensitive Claims scheme – a package aimed at improving the attitudes of ACC staff towards sexual violence victims, and offering them more substantive support.

Hopefully, this will help to reverse the damage done with the insensitive, punitive ACC policy put in place by the incoming Key government in 2009, which in some parts of New Zealand, saw 90 per cent of sexual violence victims being turned away by ACC. More>>

ALSO:

Child, Youth and Family Review:

"To Help Families Get Ahead": April 1 Changes Kick In

Prime Minister John Key says Paid Parental Leave, the parental tax credit, the minimum wage and Superannuation will increase, while average ACC levies will fall, and more people will be helped in to home ownership... More>>

ALSO:

Climate: Ministers Exclude Emissions From ‘Environment Reporting'

The National Party Government has today revealed that the national environmental report topics for this year will, incredibly, exclude New Zealand’s greenhouse gas emissions, the Green Party said today. More>>

ALSO:

No Retrial: Freedom At Last For Teina Pora

The Māori Party is relieved that the Privy Council has cleared the final legal hurdle for Teina Pora who was wrongfully convicted of murder and sent to prison for 22 years. More>>

ALSO:

Germanwings Crash: Privacy Act Supports Aviation Safeguards In New Zealand

Reports that German privacy laws may have contributed to the Germanwings air crash have prompted New Zealand’s Privacy Commissioner to reassure the public that the Privacy Act is no impediment to medical practitioners notifying appropriate authorities to a pilot’s health concerns. More>>

ALSO:

Treaty: Taranaki Iwi Ngāruahine Settles Treaty Claims For $67.5mln

The settlement includes a $13.5 million payment the government made in June 2013, as well as land in the Taranaki region. The settlement also includes four culturally significant sites, the Waipakari Reserve, Te Kohinga Reserve, Te Ngutu o te Manu and Te Poho o Taranaki. More>>

ALSO:

Get More From Scoop

 

LATEST HEADLINES

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Politics
Search Scoop  
 
 
Powered by Vodafone
NZ independent news