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RadioLive/HorizonPoll: 50% will vote to keep MMP

HorizonPoll: 50% will vote to keep MMP

50% are voting to keep the Mixed Member Proportional (MMP) voting in this weekend’s referendum.

39.8% will vote against it, while 10.1% say they won’t vote on this question in the booths on Saturday, according to a RadioLIVE-HorizonPoll covering 2,701 adults.

Should New Zealand keep the Mixed Member Proportional (MMP) voting system?

A. I will vote to keep the MMP voting system

50.1%

B. I will vote to change to another system

39.8%

C. I will not vote on this question at the election

10.1%

The most favoured alternative to MMP, if New Zealand does vote to change the system is First Past the Post (FPP) with 24.2% followed by Single Transferable Vote (STV) with 20.9%.

11. Which of the following voting systems will you choose?

A. I will choose the First Past the Post system (FFP)

24.2%

B. I will choose the Preferential Voting system (PV)

10%

C. I will choose the Single Transferable Vote system (STV)

20.9%

D. I will choose the Supplementary Member System (SM)

15.6%

E. I will not vote on this question at the election

29.3%

The HorizonPoll firstly allowed voters to say “don’t know” when answering if they wanted to keep MMP or change the voting system.

It found 44.1% support for MMP, 34.3% support for change and that 21.6% said they were undecided.

In a subsequent question, when respondents were asked to imagine they were in the voting booth and there was no option to say “don’t know”, the result firmed to 50% for keeping MMP and 39.8% wanting voting system change.

Results when allowed an undecided option:

Should New Zealand keep the Mixed Member Proportional (MMP) voting system?

A. New Zealand should keep MMP

44.1%

B. New Zealand should change to a different system

34.3%

C. I am undecided

21.6%

The survey was conducted between 7.38am Tuesday 22 November and 8.36am Wednesday 23 November, 2011.Weighted by age, gender, ethnicity, educational qualification, personal income and party vote 2008 to provide a representative sample of the New Zealand population aged 18+, the maximum margin of error at a 95% confidence level is ± 1.9%.

The survey is continuing until electoral law stops polling at midnight Thursday 24 November.

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Gordon Campbell:
On First Time Voting (Centre Right)

For the next two days, I’m turning my column over to two guest columnists who are first time voters. I’ve asked them to explain why they were voting, for whom and what role they thought their parental upbringing had played in shaping their political beliefs ; and at the end, to choose a piece of music.

One guest columnist will be from the centre right, one from the centre left. Today’s column is from the centre right – by James Penn:

As someone who likes to consider himself, in admittedly vainglorious fashion, a considered and rational actor, the act of voting for the first time is a somewhat confusing one. I know that my vote has a close to zero chance of actually influencing the outcome of Parliament. The chance I will cast the marginal vote that adds to National or Act’s number of seats in Parliament is miniscule. The chance, even if I did, that doing so would affect the government makes voting on a strictly practical level even more spurious as a worthwhile exercise.

But somehow I have spent a large amount of time (perhaps detrimentally so, depending on the outcome of my upcoming exams) agonising over how to cast my first vote in a national election. More>>

 

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