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RadioLive/HorizonPoll: 50% will vote to keep MMP

HorizonPoll: 50% will vote to keep MMP

50% are voting to keep the Mixed Member Proportional (MMP) voting in this weekend’s referendum.

39.8% will vote against it, while 10.1% say they won’t vote on this question in the booths on Saturday, according to a RadioLIVE-HorizonPoll covering 2,701 adults.

Should New Zealand keep the Mixed Member Proportional (MMP) voting system?

A. I will vote to keep the MMP voting system

50.1%

B. I will vote to change to another system

39.8%

C. I will not vote on this question at the election

10.1%

The most favoured alternative to MMP, if New Zealand does vote to change the system is First Past the Post (FPP) with 24.2% followed by Single Transferable Vote (STV) with 20.9%.

11. Which of the following voting systems will you choose?

A. I will choose the First Past the Post system (FFP)

24.2%

B. I will choose the Preferential Voting system (PV)

10%

C. I will choose the Single Transferable Vote system (STV)

20.9%

D. I will choose the Supplementary Member System (SM)

15.6%

E. I will not vote on this question at the election

29.3%

The HorizonPoll firstly allowed voters to say “don’t know” when answering if they wanted to keep MMP or change the voting system.

It found 44.1% support for MMP, 34.3% support for change and that 21.6% said they were undecided.

In a subsequent question, when respondents were asked to imagine they were in the voting booth and there was no option to say “don’t know”, the result firmed to 50% for keeping MMP and 39.8% wanting voting system change.

Results when allowed an undecided option:

Should New Zealand keep the Mixed Member Proportional (MMP) voting system?

A. New Zealand should keep MMP

44.1%

B. New Zealand should change to a different system

34.3%

C. I am undecided

21.6%

The survey was conducted between 7.38am Tuesday 22 November and 8.36am Wednesday 23 November, 2011.Weighted by age, gender, ethnicity, educational qualification, personal income and party vote 2008 to provide a representative sample of the New Zealand population aged 18+, the maximum margin of error at a 95% confidence level is ± 1.9%.

The survey is continuing until electoral law stops polling at midnight Thursday 24 November.

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