Roy Morgan Findings: Unemployment | Holidays | Rudd

Tuesday, 4 December 2012, 11:07 am
Press Release: Roy Morgan Research

1. NOVEMBER UNEMPLOYMENT (10.0%, UP 0.3%) RISES TO 1.229 MILLION (UP 66,000). HIGHEST SINCE JANUARY 2012. RECORD NUMBER OF AUSTRALIANS EITHER UNEMPLOYED OR UNDER-EMPLOYED (2.222 MILLION, UP 84,000)http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2012/4848

2. KEVIN RUDD STILL PREFERRED ALP LEADER (34%, UNCHANGED) OVER PM JULIA GILLARD (22%, UNCHANGED) & MALCOLM TURNBULL STILL PREFERRED LIBERAL LEADER (50%, UP 8%) OVER TONY ABBOTT (15%, DOWN 4%)http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2012/4845

3. Overseas holiday intention up, Domestic down, for October 2012 Quarterhttp://www.roymorgan.com/news/press-releases/2012/1879

4. Roy Morgan Customer Satisfaction Awards - October Winnershttp://www.roymorgan.com/news/press-releases/2012/1878NOVEMBER UNEMPLOYMENT (10.0%, UP 0.3%) RISES TO 1.229 MILLION (UP 66,000).
HIGHEST SINCE JANUARY 2012. RECORD NUMBER OF AUSTRALIANS
EITHER UNEMPLOYED OR UNDER-EMPLOYED (2.222 MILLION, UP 84,000)http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2012/4848

In November 2012 an estimated 1.229 million Australians (10.0% of the workforce, up 0.3% in a month) were unemployed, and the Australian workforce* was 12,251,000, (up 242,000 in a month, comprising 7,377,000 full-time workers (up 64,000); 3,645,000 part-time workers (up 112,000) and 1,229,000 looking for work (up 66,000) according to Roy Morgan.

A further 993,000 Australians are under-employed - working part-time and looking for more work. This is 18,000 more than a month ago, and represents 8.1% of the workforce* (unchanged this month).

In total 2.222 million Australians were unemployed or under-employed in November, 84,000 more than last month, 18.1% (up 0.3%) of the workforce. This is up a significant 240,000 over the past 12 months since November 2011.

Driving this rise over the past 12 months is the increase in part-time unemployment - 676,000 (up 192,000 since November 2011), while under-employment is up 55,000 to 993,000 and full-time unemployment has barely changed at 553,000 (down 7,000).

The latest Roy Morgan unemployment estimate of 10.0% is now almost double the 5.4% currently quoted by the ABShttp://abs.gov.au/AUSSTATS/abs@.nsf/mf/6202.0?opendocument?utm_id=LN for October 2012.

Roy Morgan Unemployed and 'Under-employed'* Estimate
Unemployed or 'Under-employed'*

Roy Morgan Findings on Employment and Underemployment pdf

Gary Morgan says:

"Today's Roy Morgan November employment estimates show Australian unemployment rising to 1,229,000 (up 66,000 in a month) - the highest unemployment since January 2012 (1,278,000). In addition, the rise in Australia's under-employment to 993,000 (up 18,000) means a total of 2,222,000 (up 84,000) Australians (18.1%, up 0.3%) are either unemployed or under-employed - a new record high.

"This record high number of Australians either looking for work or looking for more work makes it imperative that the RBA cuts Australian interest rates (currently amongst the highest in the developed world at 3.25%) at its last board meeting for the year tomorrow.

"The RBA must also consider the prospects of Australian retailers as they head into their most important time of the year - the Christmas sales period. Harvey Norman boss Gerry Harvey has already warned that many retailers are set to close their doors in the New Year due to the tough retailing conditions, and an interest rate cut tomorrow is crucial to 'saving Christmas' for many retailers currently 'on the edge'."

Full Details & Tables: http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2012/4848

[cid:image001.jpg@01CDD176.955CB780]http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2012/4848

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KEVIN RUDD STILL PREFERRED ALP LEADER (34%, UNCHANGED) OVER PM JULIA GILLARD (22%, UNCHANGED) & MALCOLM TURNBULL STILL PREFERRED LIBERAL LEADER (50%, UP 8%) OVER TONY ABBOTT (15%, DOWN 4%)http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2012/4845

Former Prime Minister Kevin Rudd is still the preferred ALP Leader (34%, unchanged since September 17-20, 2012) over Prime Minister Julia Gillard (22%, unchanged). Other candidates are well behind with Defence Minister Stephen Smith (10%, up 1%), Treasurer and Deputy Prime Minister Wayne Swan (6%, down 1%), Bill Shorten (6%, up 2%) and Greg Combet (4%, unchanged) the only candidates with at least 4% support.

Amongst ALP voters Julia Gillard is more strongly preferred with 41%, (down 2%) of ALP voters preferring Gillard as ALP Leader ahead of Kevin Rudd (33%, down 5%). Of other contenders, only Wayne Swan (5%, unchanged) has more than 4% support.

Former Opposition Leader Malcolm Turnbull is now even more strongly preferred as Liberal Party Leader (50%, up 8%) ahead of Shadow Treasurer Joe Hockey (18%, unchanged) and current Opposition Leader Tony Abbott (15%, down 4%). All three candidates are well ahead of Deputy Opposition Leader Julie Bishop (5%, down 2%).

Amongst Liberal Party voters Opposition Leader Tony Abbott (28%, down 5%) is now trailing Malcolm Turnbull (40%, up 8%) but is still preferred to Joe Hockey (22%, up 1%). All three are well ahead of Deputy Opposition Leader Julie Bishop (5%, down 2%).

If Prime Minister Julia Gillard were to resign for any reason, former PM Kevin Rudd is still clearly preferred as ALP Leader (40%, up 2%) ahead of Stephen Smith (12%, unchanged) and Wayne Swan (11%, down 1%).

If Mr Abbott were to resign as Opposition Leader tomorrow, Mr Turnbull (56%, up 8%) is clearly preferred to Joe Hockey (22%, down 2%) and both are clearly ahead of current Deputy Opposition Leader Julie Bishop (8%, down 2%).

Gary Morgan says:

"Kevin Rudd (34%, unchanged since September 2012) has maintained his clear lead as preferred leader of the ALP ahead of current Prime Minister Julia Gillard (22%, unchanged). However, despite a drop Gillard has again increased her lead over Rudd amongst ALP voters (41%, down 2%) cf. Rudd (33%, down 5%).

"Former Liberal Party Leader Malcolm Turnbull (50%, up 8%) is once again clearly preferred to both Shadow Treasurer Joe Hockey (18%, unchanged) and current Leader Tony Abbott (15%, down 4%) as preferred Liberal Leader. Even more worryingly for Abbott, Turnbull (40%, up 8%) has now pulled ahead of Abbott (28%, down 5%) for the first time since July 2009 (Turnbull (35%) cf. Abbott (16%)) amongst Liberal Party voters."

Full Details & Tables: http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2012/4845Overseas holiday intention up, Domestic down, for October 2012 Quarterhttp://www.roymorgan.com/news/press-releases/2012/1879

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The percentage of Australians intending to go overseas for their next holiday is at 10% for the October 2012 quarter, up from 8% at the same time last year, according to the Roy Morgan Research Holiday Tracking Survey.

In contrast, domestic holiday intention has declined for the October 2012 quarter, with 55% of Australians intending to stay in Australia for their next holiday, down from 57% this time last year.

Overall holiday intention has remained steady for the October 2012 quarter, with 69% of Australians intending to take a holiday in the next 12 months (13.1 million).

Intend to take a holiday in the next 12 months

http://www.roymorgan.com/news/press-releases/2012/1879

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Jane Ianniello, International Director of Tourism, Travel & Leisure, Roy Morgan Research, says:

"With the Australian dollar at a high level, an increasing percentage of Australians are taking advantage and planning an overseas holiday. This trend is strongest amongst Australians under 35 years of age, with 12% intending to go overseas for their next holiday, up from 9% one year ago. Their favourite overseas destinations are Bali, United States, England and France. On the other hand, Australians in the AB quintile* are still looking to holiday at home, with 67% intending to travel in Australia for their next holiday compared to 55% of the general population.

"Melbourne is one of the few domestic destinations to enjoy a strong growth in holiday intention amongst younger people, with 10% of those under 35 intending to go there on their next holiday, up from 8% a year ago. Young people go to Melbourne to shop, dine at restaurants, go to night clubs, and generally socialise. They also attend sporting events, and visit museums, historical sites, and art galleries.

"It is critical for domestic marketers to understand the demographics, attitudes and behavioural profile of their target market, so as to tailor appropriate messages that persuade them to choose their destination when planning a holiday."

Full Release: http://www.roymorgan.com/news/press-releases/2012/1879

ROY MORGAN ONLINE STORE
To purchase the latest detailed Roy Morgan Holiday Travel Intention Leading Indicators Report - visit the Roy Morgan Online Storehttp://www.roymorganonlinestore.com/Browse/Australia/Tourism/Leading-Indicator-Report/Roy-Morgan-Leading-Indicator-Report-Holiday-Travel.aspx.Roy Morgan Customer Satisfaction Awards - October Winnershttp://www.customersatisfactionawards.com/

Roy Morgan Research has announced the monthly Customer Satisfaction Award winners. The October results show new leaders in Private Health Insurers, Business Superannuation Managers, Retail Superannuation, Clothing Stores, Supermarkets, Auto Stores and Mobile Phone Service Providers.

Winners of each category are listed below. Full details of all winners and runners up are available at CustomerSatisfactionAwards.comhttp://www.customersatisfactionawards.com/.

October 2012 Award Winners:

Finance
http://www.customersatisfactionawards.com/

Bank of the Month

Victoria Teachers Mutual Bank

Major Bank of the Month

NAB

Credit Union of the Month

Police & Nurses WA

Building Society of the Month

IMB

General Insurer of the Month

Defence Service Homes

Private Health Insurer of the Month

HIF

Risk & Life Insurer of the Month

Real Insurance

Business Bank of the Month

Bendigo Bank

Major Business Bank of the Month

Westpac

Business Insurer of the Month

WFI

Business Super Manager of the Month

HESTA

Retail Super Fund of the Month

Suncorp

Industry Super Fund of the Month

ESS SuperTravel & Tourism

Domestic Airline of the Month

Virgin Australia

International Airline of the Month

Singapore Airlines

Hotel & Resort of the Month

Crowne PlazaRetail

Coffee Shop of the Month

Michel's Patisserie

Clothing Store of the Month

Bras N Things

Department Store of the Month

Best & Less

Furniture/ Electrical Store of the Month

The Good Guys

Hardware Store of the Month

Home Hardware

Music/ Book Store of the Month

Dymocks

Chemist/ Pharmacy of the Month

Guardian

Quick Service Restaurant of the Month

Subway

Shoe Store of the Month

Williams

Sports Store of the Month

Rebel Sport

Supermarket of the Month

Foodland

Auto Store of the Month

AutobarnTelecommunications
Home Phone Provider of the Month

iiNet (incl. AAPT)

Internet Service Provider of the Month

Internode

Mobile Handset Provider of the Month

Apple iPhone

Mobile Service Provider of the Month

TPGUtilities

Electricity Provider of the Month

ActewAGL

Gas Provider of the Month

ActewAGLAutomotive

Car Manufacturer of the Month (September 2012)

Subaru

The Customer Satisfaction Awards are based on data from Roy Morgan's Consumer Single Source survey (over 50,000 consumers annually), as well as Roy Morgan's Business Single Source survey (over 20,000 business decision makers annually). These two large, nationwide studies provide a thorough and accurate way to identify and recognise Australia's top businesses in Customer Satisfaction.

To visit the Roy Morgan Customer Satisfaction Awards website, click herehttp://www.customersatisfactionawards.com/. The website monitors the ongoing movements in Customer Satisfaction for many businesses across different industries.

Full Details: customersatisfactionawards.comhttp://www.customersatisfactionawards.com/

ENDS

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A full service research organisation specialising in omnibus and syndicated data, Roy Morgan Research has over 70 years' experience in collecting objective, independent information on consumers. Roy Morgan Research was set up in New Zealand in the 1990s and has been collecting information across a wide range of industries in New Zealand ever since. Roy Morgan currently has over 10 years of trended data on a geographically and demographically representative sample of over 12,000 New Zealanders aged 14+.

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