Gordon Campbell | Parliament TV | Parliament Today | News Video | Crime | Employers | Housing | Immigration | Legal | Local Govt. | Maori | Welfare | Unions | Youth | Search

 


Consequences dire if fuel use not checked - study

15 January 2013

Consequences dire if fuel use not checked - study

How would New Zealand fare if oil was not available in the future at the rate we use it today, or it was unaffordable?

That is the question posed in a report commissioned by the Palmerston North City Council, which found that cities and towns could still prosper in a post cheap oil world.

Lead author Steve Abley, of specialist transportation engineering and planning firm Abley Transportation Consultants, said that by far the biggest use of oil is petrol and diesel for private travel and freight.

“All towns and cities in New Zealand are oil dependent, but we know very little about how they plan for life when oil becomes much more expensive.

“This study is unique because it takes the oil resource debate from a theoretical position, and applies engineering and economic analytics to forecast what might happen in a post cheap oil environment.”

Abley said the study found that Palmerston North could be well placed to withstand an oil shock if it took steps now to reduce fuel use.

“With the right adaption techniques, Palmerston North has the opportunity to change while also maintaining economic momentum and resident lifestyles. There are other benefits too, such as improved health, community and lifestyle outcomes.

“In contrast, without lessening the demand for oil, Palmerston North would suffer severe economic impacts. Like a lot of cities and towns, it has never had to be energy resilient,” Abley said.

“The dominant conclusion is New Zealand can still be prosperous in a post cheap oil world, but there is increasing risk if the commitment to reduce transport fuel demand is deferred. “

Study co-author Dr Garry McDonald, a director of Market Economics Ltd, said that the number of people employed in Palmerston North could decline sharply if measures were not put in place to respond to a post cheap oil environment.

“Where one of the key inputs for an economy is removed, such as oil, there are effects on the supply of goods, and also on the demand for goods; the result is the economy slows down significantly.”

The report authors, including well know transition engineering advocate and University of Canterbury Associate Professor Dr Susan Krumdieck, believed the research was successful because it demonstrated prosperous ways to developing cities that are more energy efficient, resilient and viable.

The study also has application for other towns and cities in New Zealand and where some suburbs are particularly vulnerable to mortgage, petrol and inflation risks and expenditure increases. As part of the project, the authors undertook a vulnerability assessment of every suburb in New Zealand and ranked the vulnerability of those suburbs to each other. Some suburbsaround Rotorua were particularly vulnerable to price increases while others in Wellington were less susceptible. The results of the suburb vulnerability research are available at www.vampire.org.nz.

The best suburbs (or the least vulnerable) are:

RankArea Unit (suburb)City/District
1stRoseneathWellington City
2ndOriental BayWellington City
3rdOhakeaManawatu District
4thKelburnWellington City
5thThorndon-Tinakori RoadWellington City
6thWhangarei CentralWhangarei District
7thWoburn NorthLower Hutt City
8thTakapuna CentralNorth Shore City
9thHutt CentralLower Hutt City
10thMt Victoria WestWellington City

The worst suburbs (or the most vulnerable) are:

RankArea Unit (suburb)City/District
1739thPukehangi NorthRotorua District
1740thFordlandsRotorua District
1741stOroua BridgeManawatu District
1742ndKingsley-ChathamHastings District
1743rdTakapauCentral Hawke's Bay District
1744thWairakei-AratiatiaTaupo District
1745thOtaneCentral Hawke's Bay District
1746thMamakuRotorua District
1747thHikurangiWhangarei District
1748thAwanuiFar North District

ENDS

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Regional Headlines

Bullish On China Shopping: Trade Minister On Premier's Visit

Q+A: Trade Minister Todd McClay – not ruling out a conversation around Chinese workers coming to New Zealand to work on infrastructure projects as part of trade talks:

‘Yeah, well, that’s not something that’s on the table at the moment, but, look, what we’ve agreed as part of the, you know, when we start the upgrade negotiation, both sides can raise issues that are of importance to them. We’ve got a list of things we want to talk about. China may well have.’ More>>

 

Little Heading For Court: Apology Over Donation/Hotel Contract Claims Not Accepted

Today I want to publicly apologise unreservedly to Mr Hagaman for any hurt, embarrassment or adverse reflection on his reputation which may have resulted from my various media statements. I have offered that apology to the Hagamans. More>>

ALSO:

Biscuit Tin Of Democracy: World Heritage Site Protection, Ombudsman and Equal Pay Bills Drawn

On Thursday, 23 March 2017 three places are available on the Order Paper for the first reading of a Member’s bill. The ballot was held, and resulted in the following bills being drawn... More>>

ALSO:

Emissions Plan: NZ Needs More Science, More Trees, Fewer Beasts

A combination of technology breakthroughs, much more plantation forestry, and a big switch away from pastoral, particularly dairy farming, are identified as the key elements of any approach New Zealand takes to reducing its carbon emissions to a net zero level, according to a new report sponsored by the New Zealand chapter of GLOBE, a multi-party, global parliamentary grouping. More>>

ALSO:

"Backed To Win Seats": Labour Māori Seat MPs Won't Stand On List

The Labour Party is backing a request from its Māori seat MPs to stand as electorate MPs only, says Labour Leader Andrew Little. More>>

OutsKey: John Key's Valedictory Speech

I rise to address this House for the very last time. It has been a huge privilege to have served the people of Helensville as their member of Parliament, and, of course, the people of New Zealand as their Prime Minister. More>>

ALSO:

Productivity Commission: New Models Of Tertiary Education Are Coming

The report is a broad-ranging inquiry into how well New Zealand’s tertiary education system is set up to respond to emerging trends in technology and the internationalisation of education, and changes in the structure of the population, and the skills needed in the economy and society... More>>

ALSO:

PM's Press Conference: Water Everywhere

Monday's Post-Cabinet press conference focused on water, with the Prime Minister fielding questions about the possibility pricing water taken for export. Mr English said the government was directing their water allocation technical advisory group to include export water in considerations. More>>

ALSO:

Get More From Scoop

 

LATEST HEADLINES

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Politics
Search Scoop  
 
 
Powered by Vodafone
NZ independent news