Gordon Campbell | Parliament TV | Parliament Today | News Video | Crime | Employers | Housing | Immigration | Legal | Local Govt. | Maori | Welfare | Unions | Youth | Search

 


Consequences dire if fuel use not checked - study

15 January 2013

Consequences dire if fuel use not checked - study

How would New Zealand fare if oil was not available in the future at the rate we use it today, or it was unaffordable?

That is the question posed in a report commissioned by the Palmerston North City Council, which found that cities and towns could still prosper in a post cheap oil world.

Lead author Steve Abley, of specialist transportation engineering and planning firm Abley Transportation Consultants, said that by far the biggest use of oil is petrol and diesel for private travel and freight.

“All towns and cities in New Zealand are oil dependent, but we know very little about how they plan for life when oil becomes much more expensive.

“This study is unique because it takes the oil resource debate from a theoretical position, and applies engineering and economic analytics to forecast what might happen in a post cheap oil environment.”

Abley said the study found that Palmerston North could be well placed to withstand an oil shock if it took steps now to reduce fuel use.

“With the right adaption techniques, Palmerston North has the opportunity to change while also maintaining economic momentum and resident lifestyles. There are other benefits too, such as improved health, community and lifestyle outcomes.

“In contrast, without lessening the demand for oil, Palmerston North would suffer severe economic impacts. Like a lot of cities and towns, it has never had to be energy resilient,” Abley said.

“The dominant conclusion is New Zealand can still be prosperous in a post cheap oil world, but there is increasing risk if the commitment to reduce transport fuel demand is deferred. “

Study co-author Dr Garry McDonald, a director of Market Economics Ltd, said that the number of people employed in Palmerston North could decline sharply if measures were not put in place to respond to a post cheap oil environment.

“Where one of the key inputs for an economy is removed, such as oil, there are effects on the supply of goods, and also on the demand for goods; the result is the economy slows down significantly.”

The report authors, including well know transition engineering advocate and University of Canterbury Associate Professor Dr Susan Krumdieck, believed the research was successful because it demonstrated prosperous ways to developing cities that are more energy efficient, resilient and viable.

The study also has application for other towns and cities in New Zealand and where some suburbs are particularly vulnerable to mortgage, petrol and inflation risks and expenditure increases. As part of the project, the authors undertook a vulnerability assessment of every suburb in New Zealand and ranked the vulnerability of those suburbs to each other. Some suburbsaround Rotorua were particularly vulnerable to price increases while others in Wellington were less susceptible. The results of the suburb vulnerability research are available at www.vampire.org.nz.

The best suburbs (or the least vulnerable) are:

RankArea Unit (suburb)City/District
1stRoseneathWellington City
2ndOriental BayWellington City
3rdOhakeaManawatu District
4thKelburnWellington City
5thThorndon-Tinakori RoadWellington City
6thWhangarei CentralWhangarei District
7thWoburn NorthLower Hutt City
8thTakapuna CentralNorth Shore City
9thHutt CentralLower Hutt City
10thMt Victoria WestWellington City

The worst suburbs (or the most vulnerable) are:

RankArea Unit (suburb)City/District
1739thPukehangi NorthRotorua District
1740thFordlandsRotorua District
1741stOroua BridgeManawatu District
1742ndKingsley-ChathamHastings District
1743rdTakapauCentral Hawke's Bay District
1744thWairakei-AratiatiaTaupo District
1745thOtaneCentral Hawke's Bay District
1746thMamakuRotorua District
1747thHikurangiWhangarei District
1748thAwanuiFar North District

ENDS

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Regional Headlines

 

Gordon Campbell: On The Challenges Of Keytruda Funding

All year, the availability of the new generation of anti-cancer drugs in New Zealand has been driven by political decisions, as much as by medical ones... More>>

ALSO:

Land Swap: Setback For Ruataniwha Scheme As Forest & Bird Wins Appeal

The Royal Forest & Bird Protection Society has won an appeal against a proposed land swap by the Department of Conservation which would have allowed 22 hectares of Ruahine Forest Park be flooded as part of the Ruataniwha Water Storage Scheme that will provide irrigation for farmers. More>>

ALSO:

Up: Official July Crime Stats Released

Official crime statistics for July 2016 show that Police recorded 11,171 more victimisations than the same period last year, which equates to a 2.3 per cent increase. More than three quarters of this increase can be attributed to burglaries. More>>

ALSO:

Gordon Campbell: On The Judith Collins Charm Offensive

Suddenly, Judith Collins is everyone’s new best friend. It isn’t an election year, but the Corrections/Police Minister is treating 2016 as an opportunity for a political makeover… Feel that the Police don’t attend burglaries often enough, or assiduously enough? She’s the peoples’ champ on that one. More>>

PM's Press Conference: Crime And Diplomacy

The Prime Minister's press conference today was dominated by foreign affairs and an open letter from the PM to the Chinese community on crime. More>>

ACC: Govt Caught In Unethical Cluster Bomb Investments

The ACC Fund admitted that it had $1.4 million invested in cluster munitions and nuclear weapons manufacturer Lockheed Martin. Before responding to the Green Party’s request for information,however, ACC sold its Lockheed investment and updated its ethical investment policy. More>>

ALSO:

Local Governments To Decide: Easter Trading Bill Passes

The union representing working people in the retail industry is condemning the Government for whipping its MPs to pass the controversial Shop Trading Hours Amendment Bill. More>>

ALSO:

Departure Speech: Governor-General’s State Farewell Luncheon

"...Unfortunately I was unable to get to the Antarctic, the Chatham Islands and the Kermadecs. A dicky heart thwarted our travel to the Antarctic; and even though I volunteered to parachute into the Kermadecs to join the Young Blake expedition, time, commitments and officials frustrated my plans to visit the Kermadecs and Chathams." More>>

ALSO:

New Research: Most Homeless People Working Or Studying

“The cost of housing has been rising without corresponding increases in income, whilst the number of state houses per capita has been in decline. Many low-income people are missing out on housing, whether we recognise them as ‘homeless’ or not. More>>

ALSO:

Get More From Scoop

 

LATEST HEADLINES

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Politics
Search Scoop  
 
 
Powered by Vodafone
NZ independent news