Gordon Campbell | Parliament TV | Parliament Today | News Video | Crime | Employers | Housing | Immigration | Legal | Local Govt. | Maori | Welfare | Unions | Youth | Search

 


Consequences dire if fuel use not checked - study

15 January 2013

Consequences dire if fuel use not checked - study

How would New Zealand fare if oil was not available in the future at the rate we use it today, or it was unaffordable?

That is the question posed in a report commissioned by the Palmerston North City Council, which found that cities and towns could still prosper in a post cheap oil world.

Lead author Steve Abley, of specialist transportation engineering and planning firm Abley Transportation Consultants, said that by far the biggest use of oil is petrol and diesel for private travel and freight.

“All towns and cities in New Zealand are oil dependent, but we know very little about how they plan for life when oil becomes much more expensive.

“This study is unique because it takes the oil resource debate from a theoretical position, and applies engineering and economic analytics to forecast what might happen in a post cheap oil environment.”

Abley said the study found that Palmerston North could be well placed to withstand an oil shock if it took steps now to reduce fuel use.

“With the right adaption techniques, Palmerston North has the opportunity to change while also maintaining economic momentum and resident lifestyles. There are other benefits too, such as improved health, community and lifestyle outcomes.

“In contrast, without lessening the demand for oil, Palmerston North would suffer severe economic impacts. Like a lot of cities and towns, it has never had to be energy resilient,” Abley said.

“The dominant conclusion is New Zealand can still be prosperous in a post cheap oil world, but there is increasing risk if the commitment to reduce transport fuel demand is deferred. “

Study co-author Dr Garry McDonald, a director of Market Economics Ltd, said that the number of people employed in Palmerston North could decline sharply if measures were not put in place to respond to a post cheap oil environment.

“Where one of the key inputs for an economy is removed, such as oil, there are effects on the supply of goods, and also on the demand for goods; the result is the economy slows down significantly.”

The report authors, including well know transition engineering advocate and University of Canterbury Associate Professor Dr Susan Krumdieck, believed the research was successful because it demonstrated prosperous ways to developing cities that are more energy efficient, resilient and viable.

The study also has application for other towns and cities in New Zealand and where some suburbs are particularly vulnerable to mortgage, petrol and inflation risks and expenditure increases. As part of the project, the authors undertook a vulnerability assessment of every suburb in New Zealand and ranked the vulnerability of those suburbs to each other. Some suburbsaround Rotorua were particularly vulnerable to price increases while others in Wellington were less susceptible. The results of the suburb vulnerability research are available at www.vampire.org.nz.

The best suburbs (or the least vulnerable) are:

RankArea Unit (suburb)City/District
1stRoseneathWellington City
2ndOriental BayWellington City
3rdOhakeaManawatu District
4thKelburnWellington City
5thThorndon-Tinakori RoadWellington City
6thWhangarei CentralWhangarei District
7thWoburn NorthLower Hutt City
8thTakapuna CentralNorth Shore City
9thHutt CentralLower Hutt City
10thMt Victoria WestWellington City

The worst suburbs (or the most vulnerable) are:

RankArea Unit (suburb)City/District
1739thPukehangi NorthRotorua District
1740thFordlandsRotorua District
1741stOroua BridgeManawatu District
1742ndKingsley-ChathamHastings District
1743rdTakapauCentral Hawke's Bay District
1744thWairakei-AratiatiaTaupo District
1745thOtaneCentral Hawke's Bay District
1746thMamakuRotorua District
1747thHikurangiWhangarei District
1748thAwanuiFar North District

ENDS

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Regional Headlines

 

Labour: Healthy Homes Bill Passes First Reading

Some of New Zealand’s most vulnerable children and families are on their way towards safer living conditions with the passing of the first reading of the Healthy Homes Guarantee Bill in Parliament last night, Leader of the Opposition Andrew Little says. More>>

ALSO:

Werewolf Satire: Home, And A Way

The one thing even more popular than an Auckland house is offering advice on how to afford an Auckland house. So, on the grounds it can’t be worse than some of the stuff that’s out there, here’s my three cents* worth. [*Up 50% since 2013!] More>>

ALSO:

Werewolf: The Defence Pretence

Last year, the world began spending more money on weapons again, for the first time since 2011... New Zealand belongs to a region – Asia and Oceania – where military spending rose sharply in 2015, by 5.4 per cent. More>>

ALSO:

Gordon Campbell: On Not Crying Foul, Argentina

So a couple of guys found to be criminally liable of environmental pollution in Argentina lodge an application with the Overseas Investment Office… in order to buy some prime New Zealand rural land. Seems that their factory back home had carelessly and/or intentionally discharged toxic waste into the Lujan river. Bummer... More>>

ALSO:

Urban & Rural: $303m To Merge And Modernise New Zealand’s Fire Services

Internal Affairs Minister Peter Dunne today announced funding of $303 million over five years to combine urban and rural fire services into one organisation from mid-2017. More>>

ALSO:

High Trust Regime: What Did The PM Tell His Lawyer About Foreign Trusts?

The Government stopped the IRD from reviewing New Zealand foreign trusts shortly after the Prime Minister’s lawyer wrote to the Revenue Minister claiming John Key had promised him the regime would not be changed. More>>

ALSO:

Road Crime: Wicked Campers Vans Classified As Objectionable

The definition of publication includes any "thing that has printed or impressed upon it, or otherwise shown upon it, 1 or more (or a combination of 1 or more) images, representations, signs, statements, or words", The Classification Office has previously classified such 'things' as billboards, t-shirts, and even a drink can. This is the first time the Classification Office has classified a vehicle. More>>

ALSO:

'When New' Repairs: Landmark EQC Settlement

The Earthquake Commission has cut a deal with 98 Canterbury homeowners that affirms the government entity's responsibility to repair earthquake-damaged property to a 'when new' state, as well as covering repairs for undamaged parts of a property and clarifying its position on cash settlement calculations. More>>

ALSO:

Gordon Campbell: On Kiwirail’s Latest Stint In The Dogbox

The denigration of Kiwirail continues. The latest review (based on a 2014 assessment) of the options facing the company have enabled Kiwirail to be hung out to dry once again as a liability and burden on the taxpayer. More>>

ALSO:

Royal Society Report: Good Opportunities To Act Now On Climate Change

There are many actions New Zealand can and should take now to reduce the threat of climate change and transition to a low-carbon economy, a report released today by the Royal Society of New Zealand finds... More>>

ALSO:

Get More From Scoop

 

LATEST HEADLINES

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Politics
Search Scoop  
 
 
Powered by Vodafone
NZ independent news