Gordon Campbell | Parliament TV | Parliament Today | News Video | Crime | Employers | Housing | Immigration | Legal | Local Govt. | Maori | Welfare | Unions | Youth | Search

 


Large majorities of NZ First voters would prefer Labour deal

2 September 2014
Horizon Research
Media release

Large majorities of NZ First voters would prefer coalition deal with Labour

67% of those who voted for New Zealand First at the 2011 general election would prefer Labour to lead a coalition government if one is needed after September 20’s general election.

The majority preference for a change of Government among the party’s voters underscores the “difficult” decision making party leader Winston Peters says he will face.

A new HorizonPoll, surveying 1,676 eligible voters between Friday August 29 and Tuesday September 2, also finds 71.1% of those currently intending to cast a party vote for New Zealand First would prefer a Labour-led government. 28.9% would prefer National.

Among New Zealand First’s 2011 voters 67.0% would prefer Labour, 33.0% National.

The result for all respondents reflects the potentially tight electoral race:

48.7% would prefer a National-led government, 51.3% a Labour led one. Given the survey’s margin of error the result is too close to call.

The survey is of members of Horizon Research’s national online panel, representing the adult population at the last census. Results are weighted by age, gender, personal income, educational qualifications and party voted for at the 2011 general election to ensure a representative population sample. At a 95% confidence level, the maximum margin of error is +/- 2.4%.

The maximum margin of error on the New Zealand First voter sub sample is +/- 7.1%. A preference for a Labour-led government would still be found if the maximum margin of error were applied.

Coalition leadership preferences by intended 2014 party vote and 2011 general election party vote

If a New Zealand general election were held tomorrow, for which party would you cast your party vote?
If there is a coalition government after the next general election, which main party would you prefer to lead it?ALLACT New ZealandConserv-ativeGreen PartyLabour PartyManaPartyMaori PartyNational PartyNew Zealand First PartyUnited FutureOther partyWould choose not to voteNot eligible to voteDon't know
Labour51.3%13.8%20.9%88.0%86.2%99.3%58.2%1.4%71.1%3.3%88.0%66.9%N/A71.9%
National48.7%86.2%79.1%11.9%13.8%0.7%41.8%98.6%28.9%96.7%12.1%33.1%N/A28.1%
N1,531259831253419115831939920268
PARTY VOTE 2011
If there is a coalition government after the next general election, which main party would you prefer to lead it?ALLACT New ZealandConservativeGreen PartyLabour PartyManaPartyMaori PartyNational PartyNew Zealand First PartyUnited FutureOther partyChose not to voteWas not eligible to voteDon't know or can't remember
Labour47.6%0.0%32.7%93.9%93.2%100.0%55.7%8.7%67.0%28.5%80.0%71.3%51.0%52.4%
National45.4%100.0%67.3%6.1%6.8%0.0%44.3%91.3%33.0%71.5%20.0%28.7%49.0%47.6%
N1,53217422503621114520114104431032

Horizon’s July-August nationwide survey results on coalition leadership preferences are here
https://www.horizonpoll.co.nz/page/378/59-of-intend

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Regional Headlines

Patience: Drive Safe

Be patient before passing is the AA's message for drivers this Labour weekend.

"People taking crazy risks to get past other vehicles is one of the most dangerous things on the road,” says AA spokesperson Dylan Thomsen.

“The weather is looking good for the long weekend so the roads will be busy. Unfortunately, that also increases the chances of people getting frustrated and trying a risky passing manoeuvre. When they get past, there will probably be more traffic up ahead anyway so it won’t get people there faster.” More>>

 
 

Parliament Today:

Employment Relations Bill: Govt Strains To Get Tea Break Law Through

The Government has been left with egg on its face - failing to get its much-vaunted, but hugely unpopular, meal break law passed in the first week of its new term, Labour spokesperson on Labour Issues Andrew Little says. More>>

ALSO:

Guns: Police Association Call To Arm Police Full Time

"The new minister gave his view, that Police do not need to be armed, while standing on the forecourt of parliament. The dark irony was that the interview followed immediately after breaking news of a gunman running amok in the Canadian parliament in Ottawa..." More>>

ALSO:

Gordon Campbell: On The Tokenism Of New Zealand's Role Against Islamic State

Our contribution against IS will be to send SAS forces to train the Iraqis? That’s like offering trainers to General Custer just as the 7th cavalry reached the Little Big Horn. More>>

ALSO:

Scoop Business: Shell And Todd Caught Drilling Without Approval

Multi-national oil company Shell’s New Zealand arm and local energy giant Todd Energy have breached the new law governing New Zealand’s Exclusive Economic Zone, the Environmental Protection Authority says in an Oct. 10 document released by the Green Party. More>>

ALSO:

Gordon Campbell: On Pharmac, Gough Whitlam And Sleater-Kinney

We’re not at the outset of these negotiations. The outset was six years ago, and negotiators were hoping to have some sort of ‘framework’ deal finished in time for the APEC meeting in a few weeks’ time. These ‘extreme’ positions are what we’ve reached near the intended end of the negotiations… More>>

ALSO:

PM Of Many Hats: Questions, No Answers On Whale Oil

Dr RUSSEL NORMAN (Co-Leader – Green) to the Prime Minister: How many times since November 2008 has he spoken with blogger Cameron Slater on the phone and how many times, if any, has he texted him?
Rt Hon JOHN KEY (Prime Minister): None in my capacity as Prime Minister. More>>

ALSO:

Aussie Investigation Dropped: Call On Minister McCully To Pursue The Case Of Balibo Five

West Papua Action is deeply concerned at the lack of any clear outcome from the Australian Federal Police inquiry into the 1975 deaths of the ‘Balibo Five’ including NZ journalist Gary Cunningham. More>>

ALSO:

'Feed The Kids' Bill: Metiria Turei To Lead Fight On Feeding Hungry Children

Green Party Co-leader Metiria Turei is urging all political parties to support the Feed the Kids Bill which she inherited today from Mana leader Hone Harawira. More>>

ALSO:

Parliament Today: State Opening Of Parliament

The House sat at 10.30am on Tuesday before MPs were summoned to hear the Speech from the Throne in the Legislative Council Chamber. More>>

ALSO:

Get More From Scoop

 

LATEST HEADLINES

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Politics
Search Scoop  
 
 
Powered by Vodafone
NZ independent news