Gordon Campbell | Parliament TV | Parliament Today | News Video | Crime | Employers | Housing | Immigration | Legal | Local Govt. | Maori | Welfare | Unions | Youth | Search

 


Large majorities of NZ First voters would prefer Labour deal

2 September 2014
Horizon Research
Media release

Large majorities of NZ First voters would prefer coalition deal with Labour

67% of those who voted for New Zealand First at the 2011 general election would prefer Labour to lead a coalition government if one is needed after September 20’s general election.

The majority preference for a change of Government among the party’s voters underscores the “difficult” decision making party leader Winston Peters says he will face.

A new HorizonPoll, surveying 1,676 eligible voters between Friday August 29 and Tuesday September 2, also finds 71.1% of those currently intending to cast a party vote for New Zealand First would prefer a Labour-led government. 28.9% would prefer National.

Among New Zealand First’s 2011 voters 67.0% would prefer Labour, 33.0% National.

The result for all respondents reflects the potentially tight electoral race:

48.7% would prefer a National-led government, 51.3% a Labour led one. Given the survey’s margin of error the result is too close to call.

The survey is of members of Horizon Research’s national online panel, representing the adult population at the last census. Results are weighted by age, gender, personal income, educational qualifications and party voted for at the 2011 general election to ensure a representative population sample. At a 95% confidence level, the maximum margin of error is +/- 2.4%.

The maximum margin of error on the New Zealand First voter sub sample is +/- 7.1%. A preference for a Labour-led government would still be found if the maximum margin of error were applied.

Coalition leadership preferences by intended 2014 party vote and 2011 general election party vote

If a New Zealand general election were held tomorrow, for which party would you cast your party vote?
If there is a coalition government after the next general election, which main party would you prefer to lead it?ALLACT New ZealandConserv-ativeGreen PartyLabour PartyManaPartyMaori PartyNational PartyNew Zealand First PartyUnited FutureOther partyWould choose not to voteNot eligible to voteDon't know
Labour51.3%13.8%20.9%88.0%86.2%99.3%58.2%1.4%71.1%3.3%88.0%66.9%N/A71.9%
National48.7%86.2%79.1%11.9%13.8%0.7%41.8%98.6%28.9%96.7%12.1%33.1%N/A28.1%
N1,531259831253419115831939920268
PARTY VOTE 2011
If there is a coalition government after the next general election, which main party would you prefer to lead it?ALLACT New ZealandConservativeGreen PartyLabour PartyManaPartyMaori PartyNational PartyNew Zealand First PartyUnited FutureOther partyChose not to voteWas not eligible to voteDon't know or can't remember
Labour47.6%0.0%32.7%93.9%93.2%100.0%55.7%8.7%67.0%28.5%80.0%71.3%51.0%52.4%
National45.4%100.0%67.3%6.1%6.8%0.0%44.3%91.3%33.0%71.5%20.0%28.7%49.0%47.6%
N1,53217422503621114520114104431032

Horizon’s July-August nationwide survey results on coalition leadership preferences are here
https://www.horizonpoll.co.nz/page/378/59-of-intend

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Regional Headlines

 

NZEI Survey Report: Special Needs Students Missing Out

The survey revealed that around 16 percent of students were on schools’ special needs registers, but nearly 90 percent of schools’ special needs coordinators did not believe there was adequate support for students and their learning... More>>

ALSO:

Interim Report: Waitangi Tribunal On Ture Whenua Legislation

Labour on Proposed changes to Maori land rules: “To have Treaty Negotiations Minister Chris Finlayson dismiss findings as ‘bizarre’ is totally disingenuous and disrespectful. What’s bizarre is Maori Development Minister Te Ururoa Flavell stubbornly pushing through this Bill before the Waitangi Tribunal has even completed its report..." More>>

ALSO:

Spy Update: Appointment Of GCSB Acting Director

GCSB Chief Legal Advisor Lisa Fong will become the Acting Director of the Government Communications Security Bureau (GCSB) from 15 February 2016, Minister Responsible for the GCSB Christopher Finlayson announced today. More>>

Protests Close Roads: TPP Signed In Auckland

“TPP was signed by Australia, Brunei Darussalam, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, the United States and Viet Nam.” More>>

ALSO:

Emails Behind 'Diplomatic Immunity' Case: Whitehead Report Released

“As previously indicated the conclusions reached by Mr Whitehead’s investigation are not unexpected but they are very disappointing,” Mr Mccully says. “At the heart of the matter is a single email, along with procedural shortcomings, which gave Malaysian officials the impression it would be acceptable for Mr Rizalman to return to Malaysia." More>>

ALSO:

Gordon Campbell: On The Treaty/TPP Overlap, And Iowa

The fears about the ISDS provisions in the Trans Pacific Partnership deal are well-founded. The reality is that there is a sharp uptick in the occurrence of ISDS litigation in developed countries, and even the right wing likes of The Economist have been souring on the process for some time. More>>

ALSO:

Christchurch Red Zone Offers: Fresh High Court Proceedings

Grant Cameron, Solicitor for the Quake Outcasts said “the action seeks judicial review of the Crown’s recent decision to make a fresh offer to purchase properties from uninsured property owners in red zones. More>>

ALSO:

PM's Post-Cabinet Press Conference: Waitangi And TPP

Prime Minister John Key on Tuesday said his office has received an invitation for him to visit the Lower Marae on Waitangi Day, but was waiting for a meeting of the Te Tii Marae Trustees. More>>

ALSO:

Flagged: 'Wrong Colour' Bridge Flag To Change

NZ First: Only 13 days after National trumpeted its legally questionable flag on Auckland Harbour Bridge, it is now coming down because it is the wrong colour... “Mr Key’s latest flag fiasco is another waste of taxpayers' money. Given it is coming down, down is exactly the location where it should remain. More>>

ALSO:

School's In: Children Head Back To School

“Across the whole of this year we expect 61,820 five year olds will begin their primary schooling for the first time,” says the Ministry of Education head of sector enablement and support Katrina Casey. More>>

ALSO:

Dog & Lemon: FBI Disagrees With NZ Government Over Police Chases

Multiple studies, quoted by the FBI, show that once suspects realise they're no longer being chased; they tend to slow down to normal driving speeds and therefore become far less of a risk. The FBI report also categorically rejected the argument that abandoning police chases meant ‘giving in’ to offenders. More>>

ALSO:

Get More From Scoop

 

LATEST HEADLINES

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Politics
Search Scoop  
 
 
Powered by Vodafone
NZ independent news