Gordon Campbell | Parliament TV | Parliament Today | News Video | Crime | Employers | Housing | Immigration | Legal | Local Govt. | Maori | Welfare | Unions | Youth | Search

 

Net migration figures measure up well

Net migration figures measure up well – Media release

19 May 2017

Annual net migration figures based on arrival and departure cards lined up well with what migrants actually did, Stats NZ said today.

A new data series about migrant arrivals and departures, for January 2001 to March 2015, and a related report detail a new measure for estimating the contribution international migration makes to changes in New Zealand’s resident population.

“The new ‘12/16-month rule’ measure identifies an individual’s migrant status after their travel history is observed over a 16-month follow-up period,” population statistics senior manager Peter Dolan said.

“Independent of the traveller’s legal residence status and the intentions they state on their passenger card, when we compare this new measure with existing migration statistics we find the net permanent and long-term migration measure provides a timely and robust indicator of international migration’s contribution to changes in our resident population.”

Migration statistics measured by PLT and 12/16-month rule

While net migration aligns well for the two measures, both arrivals and departures were consistently estimated at higher levels by the 12/16-month rule. This is mainly due to many New Zealand citizens returning home for a short-term visit, but then choosing to stay longer. Similarly, non-New Zealand citizens who intend a short overseas trip when they depart may remain living away from New Zealand.


Click for big version.

Opportunities of additional migration statistics

The new series of migration statistics represent an opportunity to define additional measures of short- and long-term migration, and better understand migration outcomes.

Implementing the new measure will mean continued improvement of population estimation. It will lead to a harmonised statistical definition of migrant status with Australia, and open opportunities for bilateral analysis of trans-Tasman migration flows. Australia uses the 12/16-month rule for estimating changes in its resident population due to international migration.

Figures in defining migrants using travel histories and the 12/16-month rule finish at March 2015, mainly due to the need to collect migrants’ actual travel movements 16 months after they arrive in or leave New Zealand.

Stats NZ plans to regularly update the 12/16 rule series of migrant arrivals and departures, beginning later in 2017.

Ends

Published 19 May 2017

For more information about these statistics:

• Visit Net migration figures measure up well

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Regional Headlines

Gordon Campbell: On The Navy’s Dealings With Fat Leonard, And Twin Peaks

At an official level, our “she’ll be right” attitude routinely spills over into a keen resentment of anyone who suggests the outcomes may be less than satisfactory. Oversight at any level of performance is not New Zealand’s strong suit – from our one-chamber Parliament on downwards...

The Navy has now gone one step beyond. It won’t even ask itself whether it did a good job. More>>

 

Gordon Campbell: On The Demonising Of Iran

Will New Zealand still be willing to pursue its recent trade overtures to Iran, now that US President Donald Trump has used his speech in Riyadh to single out Iran as the main source of terrorism and instability in the Middle East? More>>

ALSO:

Pre-Budget Offers: Green Party’s New Plan Puts Kiwi Families First

The Green Party has a plan to help all Kiwi kids have a great start to life, by giving parents more financial support and more flexibility at work. More>>

ALSO:

PM's Press Conference: TPP, Meth, Housing

Prime Minister Bill English began today’s press conference with a summary of his trip to Japan, noting Japan’s commitment to the TPP. More>>

ALSO:

Gordon Campbell: On Bill English’s Bizarre New/Old Trade Deal

So, according to the Prime Minister, we all have an obligation to get in behind his zombie TPP deal, because of all the “jobs and income” it will bring in its wake… More>>

ALSO:

 
 
 
 

Opening The Election Supporters

 

LATEST HEADLINES

  • PARLIAMENT
  • POLITICS
  • REGIONAL
 
 

Featured InfoPages

Opening the Election