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Newshub-Reid Research Poll Shows Dramatic Battle

Newshub-Reid Research Poll Shows Dramatic Battle at the Top, Greens Continue to Decline

The latest Newshub-Reid research poll* shows that National has climbed to 47.3% - an increase of 4% from just over one week ago**. Meanwhile, Labour has shown its first decrease since Jacinda Ardern took over as party leader to sit on 37.8% - a decline of 1.6%.

The results show a potentially devastating turn of events for the Greens as they drop to 4.9% - a further decrease of 1.2% from the last Newshub-Reid research poll. On that result the Greens would miss out on the five per cent threshold and not make it into Parliament. NZ First is also showing a small decline but is currently tracking ahead of the Greens on 6%.

When it comes to preferred Prime Minister, both party leaders are showing an increase but it appears that the leaders’ debates have swung in favour of Bill English. English (33.1%) is recording a 3% increase, and Ardern (31.7%) is showing a 1.8% increase. Winston Peters meanwhile, is down on previous poll results at 6%.

Newshub political editor Patrick Gower said: “These results are dramatic and devastating. A dramatic rise for National to the top of the table, and devastating for the Greens who would be kicked out of Parliament. The overall outlook in the election is still volatile. The vote is extremely volatile.”

Three’s #Decision17 live election coverage will be available on Three and ThreeNOW from 7.00PM, 23rd September. RadioLIVE will also be covering the results throughout the evening with Mark Sainsbury joined in studio by Chris Trotter as well as a line-up of commentators on rotation throughout the night.

Duncan Garner will be hosting the special, joined by Patrick Gower and The Nation host, Lisa Owen.

Garner said: “The polls are as volatile and as unpredictable as the campaign itself. One poll says Labour, the next says National. It's the most interesting election in decades. No one can call it. Both English and Ardern have campaigned well, but both sides have issues that they're desperate to either keep quiet or expose in this intense arm wrestle to the end."

"The minor parties are collapsing and fighting for their very existence. And that, I sense, means some voters are still making up their minds.”

Three’s #Decision17 Coverage:
7.00PM, 23rd September: Live Election coverage available on Three, online and on RadioLIVE
9.00 AM, 24th September: The Hui post election night 60 minute special
10.00AM, 24th September: The Nation Live show post election night 90 minute special

The latest Newshub-Reid Research Poll was conducted between September 6th - 11th, 2017. For full results please click here.

-ENDS-

*The latest Newshub-Reid Research poll was conducted between September 6th - 11th, 2017. 1,000 people were surveyed, 750 by telephone and 250 by internet panel. It has a margin of error of 3.1 percent.

**The fourth Newshub-Reid Research poll was conducted August 22nd - 30th, 2017. 1,000 people were surveyed, 750 by telephone and 250 by internet panel. It has a margin of error of 3.1 percent.

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Election Day Results


2017 General Election - Preliminary Count

National won 46% of the vote with Labour on 35.8%.

NZ First won 7.5%, with the Greens on 5.8%.

ACT held on to Epsom, but failed to get more MPs.

The Maori Party were wiped out of Parliament.

There are still special votes to be counted, but clearly National is in the box seat to form the next Government.

The Greens can not contemplate a deal with National.

So, Winston Peters will have to make a choice and could back National or a combined Labour/Green coalition.

The most likely result is National and NZ First will reach some sort of deal to form the next government.


Election Night Results

Advance Voting Statistics

General Election Information: Voters - Who, When And Where

 
 

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