Gordon Campbell | Parliament TV | Parliament Today | News Video | Crime | Employers | Housing | Immigration | Legal | Local Govt. | Maori | Welfare | Unions | Youth | Search

 

Final Newshub-Reid Research Poll

Final Newshub-Reid Research Poll: All Eyes Are on Winston Peters

Two days out from Election day, the results of the final Newshub-Reid research poll* show that it could all come down to the decision of Winston Peters.

The final poll results show that in the battle at the top, National is leading on 45.8% (down 1.5%**), ahead of Labour on 37.3% (down 0.5%). In the minor party results, both the Greens (2.2% increase) and NZ First (1.1% increase) are sitting on 7.1%, The Opportunities Party (TOP) on 0.9%, Maori Party on 0.4% and ACT on 0.6%.

Taking this into account, National would have 56 seats and Labour, 45. With 62 seats needed to govern, neither Labour nor National could form a government on their own, according to the latest results. And even with governing partners factored in, both parties would still be short.

With NZ First tracking on 7.1%, this means that Winston Peters could be the kingmaker - with his nine seats he could effectively make either Bill English or Jacinda Ardern the Prime Minister of New Zealand.

When it comes to preferred Prime Minister, it would seem that Bill English (34.7%) has won the debate battle with a 1.6% increase over Jacinda Ardern (29.6%) who is showing a 1.1% decrease. Winston Peters meanwhile, is up on previous poll results at 7.1%.

Newshub political editor Patrick Gower said: “The election remains on a knife-edge. National are in the box-seat, but the Labour-Greens are not far away. It could all come down to Winston Peters.”

Newshub’s #Decision17 live election coverage will be available on Three and ThreeNOW from 7.00PM, 23rd September. RadioLIVE will also be covering the results throughout the evening with Mark Sainsbury joined in studio by Chris Trotter as well as a a line-up of commentators on rotation throughout the night.

Duncan Garner will be hosting the special, joined by Patrick Gower and The Nation host, Lisa Owen.

Garner said: “Wow, don't look away! This heavyweight scrap is heading for a deciding round. In the blue corner, National is up on points. Labour's staggering a bit after copping a bloody nose from National's unrelenting attack on its water and income tax policy. It's hurt Labour and sent them onto the ropes. Jacinda Ardern's counter-punching may have come too late. National's below the belt and far from truthful approach looks to have worked for now.'

'But Labour has the Greens in their corner to even up the fight, it's much closer now.'

'So it's now down to two things; the crucial public vote and 72 year-old veteran slugger, NZ First Leader, Winston Peters. The public appears to have given Peters the judge's seat - from where he's likely to pick the winner.'

Three’s #Decision17 Coverage:
7.00PM, 23rd September: Live Election coverage available on Three, ThreeNOW, online and on RadioLIVE
9.00 AM, 24th September: The Hui post-election night 60 minute special
10.00AM, 24th September: The Nation Live show post-election night 90 minute special

The latest Newshub-Reid Research Poll was conducted between September 13th - 20th, 2017. For full results please click here.

-ENDS-

*The latest Newshub-Reid Research poll was conducted between September 13th - 20th, 2017. 1,000 people were surveyed, 750 by telephone and 250 by internet panel. It has a margin of error of 3.1 percent.

**The fifth Newshub-Reid Research poll was conducted between September 6th - 11th, 2017. 1,000 people were surveyed, 750 by telephone and 250 by internet panel. It has a margin of error of 3.1 percent.

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Regional Headlines

Werewolf: What Does Winston Peters Want His Legacy To Be?

A lot of people in New Zealand seem to resent Winston Peters and the power that he appears to have. “Appears” being the operative word. In reality, Peters will have power only up to the point that he uses it.

By next week, he’ll have become just another junior player in an MMP governing arrangement, battling to hold onto the gains he was promised. More>>

 

Rising Toll: Road Safety Needs To Be A Higher Priority

Official advice released to the Green Party under the Official Information Act shows that the previous National Government dismissed an option to make road safety its most important transport priority after being told the road toll was rising. More>>

ALSO:

Wellington.Scoop: Arrests At Blockade Of "Weapons Expo"

“We encourage people in Wellington to get down to the Westpac Stadium now for a day of awesome peace action. There will be plenty of food, music and activities to keep us sustained through the day.” More>>

ALSO:

Rorschach Restructuring: PSA Taking Inland Revenue To Court Over Psychometrics

The Public Service Association will be seeing Inland Revenue in Employment Court over its intention to psychometrically test employees reapplying for their roles at the department as part of its controversial Business Transformation restructuring plan. More>>

ALSO:

Nuclear Disarmament: Nobel Peace Prize 2017 Awarded To ICAN

Congratulations from iCAN Aotearoa New Zealand to international iCAN, the other iCAN national campaigns and partner organisations, and the countless organisations and individuals who have worked so hard for a nuclear weapons-free world since 1945. More>>

ALSO:

Expenses: Waikato DHB CEO Resigns

An independent inquiry has identified that Dr Murray had spent more than the agreed $25K allocated for relocation costs, and other unauthorized expenses involving potential financial breaches of the chief executive’s obligations. More>>

ALSO:

Wellington.Scoop: Sad About The Trolley Buses?

The Regional Council’s MetLink is today spending money to tell us that it really loves Wellington’s trolley buses, even though they’re all being taken off our roads by the end of this month. More>>

ALSO:

Post-Election: Preliminary Coalition Talks Begin

New Zealand First will hold post-election preliminary discussions in Wellington with the National Party tomorrow morning and the Labour Party tomorrow afternoon. More>>

 
 
 
 
 

LATEST HEADLINES

  • PARLIAMENT
  • POLITICS
  • REGIONAL
 
 

Featured InfoPages

Opening the Election