Time to prepare for the future of work, but no time to waste
Thursday 12 September 2019
Time to prepare for the future of work, but not time to waste
“Technology adoption supports higher productivity growth, higher income growth and increased resources to pay for the things New Zealanders’ value. But the main problem facing New Zealand today isn’t too much technology, it’s not enough,” says the Productivity Commission.
In its draft report New Zealand, technology and productivity released today, the Commission explores the impacts of technology on jobs. It doesn’t find much support in the available data for claims that widespread disruption is coming soon.
The future of work is not certain. There will undoubtedly be change over the next 10–15 years, but not at unprecedented levels, says the Productivity Commission.
“If the rate of technological change was accelerating, you’d expect to see evidence in the official statistics, such as faster productivity growth, more business start-ups, and more jobs being created and destroyed. But what we see in New Zealand and across the developed world is the opposite.”
“Rates of job destruction have actually declined in New Zealand since 2000. And recent rates of job creation are at a similar level to rates in the early 2000s,” says inquiry director Judy Kavanagh.
“Technology has many effects on jobs and work, and most of these are positive,” “More technology has historically meant more jobs.”
“Technological change may pick up in the future but even so, it will take time to diffuse and affect work in New Zealand”, says Ms Kavanagh. “We do a poor job of picking up technology quickly.”
“Regardless of how fast technology improves and spreads, there is much that can be done now to help New Zealanders to adjust to changes in work and employment, and to encourage the beneficial adoption of technology. The Commission will provide advice on these policy changes in its upcoming three draft reports.”
report is being issued for public and stakeholder review
with the Commission now calling for submissions. Three
further draft reports will follow: Employment, labour
markets and income will be released in October,
Education and skills in November and Preparing New
Zealand for the future in December. A final report will
be presented to the Government in March
Notes for editors
1. The New Zealand, technology and productivity draft report is available at: https://www.productivity.govt.nz/assets/Documents/16fbd1875d/Draft-report-1_NZ-technology-and-productivity.pdf (This link will be live on Thursday 12 September 2019.)
2. Submissions are invited on the draft reports by stakeholders and the public by 20 January 2020. The Commission seeks ideas, opinions and information to ensure this inquiry is well informed and relevant. Submissions can be made at https://www.productivity.govt.nz/have-your-say/make-a-submission/
3. The Commission has a blog on technological change and the future of work for this inquiry: www.productivity.govt.nz/futureworknzblog/ Staff members post regularly. Comments and guest posts are welcome.
4. For this inquiry, the Government asked the Productivity Commission to examine how New Zealand can maximise the opportunities and manage the risks of disruptive technological changes and its impact on the future of work and the workforce. See inquiry terms of reference here.
5. The New Zealand Productivity Commission – an independent Crown entity – was established in April 2011 and completes in-depth inquiry reports on topics selected by the Government, carries out productivity-related research, and promotes understanding of productivity issues.