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Facial Eczema Risk Potential Forecast

MetService News Release
Issued at 11:01am 20-Jan-2004

Facial Eczema Risk Potential Forecast

On the 1st of January 2004 MetService launched a facial eczema risk potential forecast service in time for this years season.

The model has been developed by MetService based on well documented New Zealand weather parameters that are conducive to facial eczema spore growth. The service uses precipitation and minimum grass temperature in association with the previous three day period of forecast and observed weather to provide risk assessment of spore growth conditions. The forecast period is fourteen days and forecasts are updated at least once a day, says Chris Jarvis of MetService.

The model does not predict spore counts or toxicity and should be used in association with actual spore counts that are regularly taken throughout the North Island by veterinarians, farmers and consultants, says Chris Jarvis.

MetService developed the model to fill an information gap that the current spore count service does not provide. Comments made to MetService were that farmers and vets wanted to know the weather forecast when the spore count results were known for the medium to long term to help them assess future risk.

The service provides regional risk potential forecasts for Northland, Waikato, Bay of Plenty, Waikato, Taranaki, Manawatu, Wanganui, Gisborne, Hawkes Bay and the Wairarapa.

The information is available on the internet at, and currently in the Waikato Times, Gisborne Herald, Wanganui Chronicle and New Zealand Farmers Weekly publications.

This service is available to all media on a commercial basis as a supplied graphic.


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