Video | Business Headlines | Internet | Science | Scientific Ethics | Technology | Search

 


NIWA Outlook: May-July 2014

NIWA Outlook: May-July 2014

Overview

For the coming three months as a whole, mean sea level pressures are expected to be slightly lower than normal over New Zealand with higher than normal pressures to the south-east and lower than normal pressures to the north of the country. These pressure patterns are expected to produce mixed wind flows over New Zealand with perturbed conditions from time to time.

Sea surface temperatures are expected to be near average for the coming three months around New Zealand.

ENSO-neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) continued in the equatorial Pacific Ocean in April 2014. Above normal sea surface temperatures along the equator now cover a significant part of the central and far eastern Pacific; and these warm anomalies are consistent with developing El Niño conditions. International guidance indicates that ENSO-neutral conditions are the most likely outcome for May-July 2014. However, following this period El Niño appears increasingly likely with 11 of the 14 models monitored by NIWA predicting El Niño conditions over August-Oct 2014.

Outlook Summary

May–July temperatures are most likely (50% chance) to be average for the west of the South Island, above average (50% chance) for the east of the North Island, and average or above average (40-45%) for all remaining regions of New Zealand. Cold snaps and frosts can still be expected in some parts of the country as autumn advances into winter.

May–July rainfall totals are equally likely (40% chance) to be normal or above normal in the east of the South Island, and most likely (40-50%) to be in the near-normal range for all remaining regions.

May–July soil moisture levels are most likely (40-45%) to be normal or below in the north of the North Island and west of the South Island, likely (35-40% chance) to be normal or above normal in the north of the South Island, and most likely (45-50%) to be normal for all remaining regions.

May–July river flows are equally likely (40% chance) to be normal or below normal in the north of the North Island and west of the South Island, likely (35-40% chance) to be normal or above normal in the east of the North Island and the north of the South Island, and most likely (50% chance) to be above normal in the east of the South Island. Finally, river flows are most likely (45% chance) to be normal in the west of the North Island.
ends

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
 
 
Business Headlines | Sci-Tech Headlines

 

Housing: Affordability Drops 14%, Driven By Auckland Prices

Housing affordability across New Zealand fell 14 percent in the year ending November 2014, with Auckland’s lack of affordability set to reach levels it hit during the height of the global financial crisis, according to the latest Massey University Home Affordability Report More>>

ALSO:

The Dry: Fonterra Drops Forecast Milk Volumes By 3.3 Percent

Fonterra Cooperative Group, the worlds largest dairy exporter, reduced its milk volume forecast for the 2014-2015 season by 3.3 per cent due to the impact of dry weather on production in recent weeks. More>>

ALSO:

Strike: Lyttelton Port Workers Vote To Escalate Dispute

Members of the Rail and Maritime Transport Union (RMTU) at Lyttelton Port today voted to escalate their industrial action. Around 200 RMTU members have been operating an overtime ban since 17 December and today they endorsed a series of full withdrawals of labour at the port. More>>

ALSO:

Scoop Business: NZ Dollar Falls To 3-Year Low As Investors Favour Greenback

The New Zealand dollar fell to its lowest in more than three years as investors sold euro and bought US dollars, weakening other currencies against the greenback. More>>

ALSO:

Scoop Business: NZ Govt Operating Deficit Smaller Than Expected

The New Zealand’s government’s operating deficit was smaller than expected in the first five months of the financial year as a clampdown on expenditure managed to offset a shortfall in the tax-take from last month’s forecast. More>>

ALSO:

0.8 Percent Annually:
NZ Inflation Falls Below RBNZ's Target

New Zealand's annual pace of inflation slowed to below the Reserve Bank's target band in the final three months of the year, giving governor Graeme Wheeler more room to keep the benchmark interest rate lower for longer.More>>

ALSO:

Get More From Scoop

 
 
Standards New Zealand

Standards New Zealand
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Sci-Tech
Search Scoop  
 
 
Powered by Vodafone
NZ independent news