Seasonal Climate Outlook
Seasonal Climate Outlook
November 2014 – January 2015 temperatures are likely (35-40% chance) to be average or below average in the north and west of the North Island. Seasonal temperatures are most likely (40-45% chance) to be near average for the remaining regions.
September-November rainfall totals are about equally likely (35-40% chance) to be in the normal or below normal range in the north and east of the North Island. Seasonal rainfall is most likely (40–45%) to be in the near normal range in all remaining regions of New Zealand.
Soil moisture and river flows are most likely (50% chance) to be in the below normal range in the east of the South Island and about equally likely (35-40% chance) to be in the normal or above normal range in the north of the North Island. In the east and west of the North Island soil moisture levels and river flows are most likely (40-45% chance) to be in the near normal range. In the north of the South Island near normal or below normal soil moisture and river flows are about equally likely (35-40% chance). Soil moisture levels and river flows in the west of the South Island are also about equally likely to be in the near normal or below normal range (with 40 to 45 % chance respectively).
ends