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Cablegate: Media Reaction: Western Hemisphere: Venezuela: Chavez And

VZCZCXYZ0025
OO RUEHWEB

DE RUEHSO #0206 0751206
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 161206Z MAR 07
FM AMCONSUL SAO PAULO
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 6582
INFO RHEHNSC/NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHDC IMMEDIATE
RUEHBR/AMEMBASSY BRASILIA PRIORITY 7699
RUEHRI/AMCONSUL RIO DE JANEIRO PRIORITY 7899
RUCPDOC/USDOC WASHDC 2743

UNCLAS SAO PAULO 000206

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

STATE INR/R/MR; IIP/R/MR; WHA/PD

DEPT PASS USTR

USDOC 4322/MAC/OLAC/JAFEE

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: KMDR OPRC OIIP ETRD BR
SUBJECT: MEDIA REACTION: WESTERN HEMISPHERE: VENEZUELA: CHAVEZ AND
GUYANA; GWOT: AL-QAIDA'S INFLUENCE IN ALGERIA; SAO PAULO


1. "The Guyana Factor"

Political columnist Eliane Cantanhede opined in liberal, largest
national circulation daily Folha de S. Paulo (3/16): "President Bush
made rapprochement gestures towards US friends in Latin America
while Chvez poured millions of dollars into Argentina, Paraguay,
Bolivia and will certainly do the same in Ecuador. This attitude
creates, or at least projects, a two-bloc split in the continent:
one pro US (regardless of who the president is) and another pro
Chvez (more than pro Venezuela). And here we have a delicate
factor: Guyana. According to an evaluation by Brazilian intelligence
services, Chvez is direct in his aggressive rhetoric against Bush
because he needs a 'foreign enemy' to mobilize domestic patriotism.
But if he tried to pass from words to action, such an attitude would
not be against Washington or the neighboring Colombia. Chvez is
openly arming Venezuela, buying weapons from Russia, its major
supplier, but he does not have and will not have ammunition (in the
literal sense) to face the military power of the world's largest
power if he decides to attack Washington or Colombia. If he wants to
demonstrate power, he may do so indirectly, and Guyana would be a
perfect target. The pretext: Venezuela has for a long time claimed
possession of 60% of Guyana's territory. The real motive: Guyana
receives significant assistance from the US (and also from Canada
and the UK), and is generous in exchange by offering space and
conditions for US military training and operations near the border
with Brazil and Venezuela. Brazil is not pleased and for years has
just observed. Chvez goes farther than this. He fears that a US
military base may be installed in his backyard. Whether an
exaggeration or not of Brazilian strategists, the fact is that
Chvez has shown that he is not joking. An eventual development
would be that Brazil would certainly be involved, either by air or
by land, not only through diplomacy."

2. "Terror Network Extents Tentacles In Algeria"

Center-right national circuQtion daily O Estado de S. Paulo's Paris
correspondent Giles Lapouge maintained (3/16): "Washington and
London have officially warned that a terrorist attempt may be
carried out by Islamic radicals in Algeria to hit foreign personal
working in the oil and gas industry. The tactic of the terrorists in
the region has evolved.... The attacks today are aimed at the cities
and especially foreign employees, and have a clear goal: to ruin the
local industry and destroy the economic infrastructure in the
Maghreb region.... Al-Qaida has slowly taken control of all
terrorist organizations operating in different Arab zones....
Al-Qaida does not restrict its ambitions only to the Maghreb region
- which involves Algeria, Tunisia, Morocco and Libya. Its network is
also installed in the Middle East nations.... With al-Qaida's
sponsorship, commandos have been infiltrated into Lebanon, coming
from the armed resistance in Iraq, a nation that has become an
important supplier of suicide terrorists to the entire region."
McMullen

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
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