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Cablegate: Daily Summary of Japanese Press 07/06/07-1

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PP RUEHFK RUEHKSO RUEHNAG RUEHNH
DE RUEHKO #3099/01 1870802
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 060802Z JUL 07
FM AMEMBASSY TOKYO
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 5252
INFO RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC PRIORITY
RHEHAAA/THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RUEAWJA/USDOJ WASHDC PRIORITY
RULSDMK/USDOT WASHDC PRIORITY
RUCPDOC/USDOC WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHDC//J5//
RHHMUNA/HQ USPACOM HONOLULU HI
RHHMHBA/COMPACFLT PEARL HARBOR HI
RHMFIUU/HQ PACAF HICKAM AFB HI//CC/PA//
RUALSFJ/COMUSJAPAN YOKOTA AB JA//J5/JO21//
RUYNAAC/COMNAVFORJAPAN YOKOSUKA JA
RUAYJAA/CTF 72
RUEHNH/AMCONSUL NAHA 4330
RUEHFK/AMCONSUL FUKUOKA 1910
RUEHOK/AMCONSUL OSAKA KOBE 5494
RUEHNAG/AMCONSUL NAGOYA 1011
RUEHKSO/AMCONSUL SAPPORO 2719
RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 7756
RUEHUL/AMEMBASSY SEOUL 3816
RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 4901

UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 07 TOKYO 003099

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

DEPT FOR E, P, EB, EAP/J, EAP/P, EAP/PD, PA;
WHITE HOUSE/NSC/NEC; JUSTICE FOR STU CHEMTOB IN ANTI-TRUST DIVISION;
TREASURY/OASIA/IMI/JAPAN; DEPT PASS USTR/PUBLIC AFFAIRS OFFICE;
SECDEF FOR JCS-J-5/JAPAN,
DASD/ISA/EAPR/JAPAN; DEPT PASS ELECTRONICALLY TO USDA
FAS/ITP FOR SCHROETER; PACOM HONOLULU FOR PUBLIC DIPLOMACY ADVISOR;
CINCPAC FLT/PA/ COMNAVFORJAPAN/PA.

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: OIIP KMDR KPAO PGOV PINR ECON ELAB JA

SUBJECT: DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 07/06/07-1


Index:

(1) Abe cabinet, political parties, election

(2) Poll: Abe more reliable, but Ozawa outranks in leadership

ARTICLES:

(1) Abe cabinet, political parties, election

YOMIURI (Page 13) (Full)
July 4, 2007

Questions & Answers
(Figures shown in percentage. Some results already reported in the
June 19 edition.)

Q: Do you support the Abe cabinet?

Yes 38.3
No 50.6
O/A 2.8
No answer (N/A) 8.3

Q: Which political party do you support now?

Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) 32.9
Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ or Minshuto) 14.3
New Komeito (NK) 4.0
Japanese Communist Party (JCP) 2.4
Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto) 1.2
People's New Party (PNP or Kokumin Shinto) 0.2
New Party Nippon (NPN or Shinto Nippon) ---
Other political parties ---
None 44.4
N/A 0.7

Q: Then, if there are other political parties you can support or
like, pick as many as you like from among those listed below.

LDP 6.7
DPJ 12.1
NK 4.2
JCP 3.5
SDP 3.8
PNP 2.1
NPN 0.9
Other political parties 0.1
None in particular 68.2
N/A 2.4

Q: Then, pick as many political parties as you wouldn't like to
support or don't like, if any.

LDP 14.4
DPJ 9.0
NK 17.5
JCP 25.7
SDP 8.9
PNP 2.5
NPN 2.2
Other political parties 0.1

TOKYO 00003099 002 OF 007


None in particular 43.3
N/A 0.8

Q: Do you appreciate the performance of Prime Minister Abe and his
cabinet so far on the whole?

Appreciate very much 6.3
Appreciate somewhat 36.3
Don't appreciate very much 37.2
Don't appreciate at all 16.7
N/A 3.4

Q: If there is anything you can appreciate in what Prime Minister
Abe or his cabinet has actually done, pick as many as you like from
among those listed below.

Relations with the US 9.5
Relations with China 14.7
Relations with South Korea 5.8
Efforts for North Korea issues 31.1
Efforts for education reform 15.3
Efforts for social divide 4.4
Efforts for the pension issue 12.7
Efforts for constitutional revision 6.8
Efforts for public service personnel system reform 3.0
Response to politics-and-money issues 1.8
Response to cabinet ministerial gaffe 1.7
O/A 0.3
Nothing in particular (NIP) 38.3
N/A 1.7

Q: If there is anything you cannot appreciate in what Prime Minister
Abe or his cabinet has actually done, pick as many as you like from
among those listed below.

Relations with the US 8.4
Relations with China 7.2
Relations with South Korea 4.7
Efforts for North Korea issues 14.4
Efforts for education reform 13.5
Efforts for social divide 25.0
Efforts for the pension issue 50.2
Efforts for constitutional revision 10.1
Efforts for public service personnel system reform 9.0
Response to politics-and-money issues 49.0
Response to cabinet ministerial gaffe 32.1
O/A 0.5
NIP 13.8
N/A 2.1

Q: Do you trust the government's pension system on the whole?

Yes 7.6
Yes to a certain degree 15.7
No to a certain degree 26.8
No 48.7
N/A 1.3

Q: Are you satisfied with national politics now?

Very satisfied 1.5
Somewhat satisfied 19.8

TOKYO 00003099 003 OF 007


Somewhat dissatisfied 46.7
Very dissatisfied 30.0
N/A 2.1

Q: Are you interested in the upcoming election for the House of
Councillors?

Very interested 32.3
Somewhat interested 35.3
Not very interested 22.9
Not interested at all 8.9
N/A 0.6

Q: What issues would you like political parties or candidates to
take up in campaigning for the upcoming House of Councillors
election? Pick as many as you like from among those listed below, if
any.

Economy, employment 40.6
Fiscal reconstruction 16.2
Tax reform, consumption tax 27.8
Social security, including pensions 65.4
Low birthrate countermeasures, including childcare support 28.1
Education reform 22.3
Administrative reform, including public service personnel system
19.6
Politics-and-money issues 30.9
Social divide, including income gaps 29.3
Yasukuni Shrine 6.0
North Korea issues 21.3
Foreign, security policies 10.2
Constitutional revision 12.4
Crisis management, including disaster prevention 7.9
Public security, crime prevention 17.1
Environmental protection 20.4
Food safety 15.6
O/A+NIP+N/A 5.0

Q: Do you think what you think is important will become a point at
issue in campaigning for the upcoming House of Councillors
election?

Yes 36.0
Yes to a certain degree 29.6
No to a certain degree 14.3
No 13.1
N/A 7.0

Q: Which political party's candidate are you thinking of voting for
in the upcoming House of Councillors election? Pick only one from
among those listed below.

LDP 27.5
DPJ 17.7
NK 3.3
JCP 2.3
SDP 1.1
PNP 0.3
NPN 0.2
Other political parties ---
Independent 0.9
Undecided 45.7

TOKYO 00003099 004 OF 007


N/A 0.9

Q: Which political party's candidate or which political party are
you thinking of voting for in the upcoming House of Councillors
election under the proportional representation system? Pick only one
from among those listed below. (Results from surveys in January and
the following months. No survey conducted in April.)

January
LDP 33.7
DPJ 15.4
NK 3.0
JCP 2.6
SDP 1.6
PNP 0.2
NPN 0.1
Other political parties 0.1
Undecided 42.2
N/A 1.1

February
LDP 31.5
DPJ 13.9
NK 4.0
JCP 1.9
SDP 1.1
PNP 0.5
NPN 0.1
Other political parties ---
Undecided 46.4
N/A 0.7

March
LDP 32.2
DPJ 14.5
NK 2.5
JCP 2.4
SDP 1.1
PNP 0.2
NPN 0.2
Other political parties ---
Undecided 45.6
N/A 1.3

May
LDP 33.9
DPJ 14.1
NK 3.3
JCP 1.7
SDP 0.9
PNP 0.4
NPN 0.1
Other political parties ---
Undecided 44.3
N/A 1.2

June
LDP 25.9
DPJ 17.6
NK 4.1
JCP 2.6
SDP 1.3

TOKYO 00003099 005 OF 007


PNP 0.5
NPN 0.2
Other political parties ---
Undecided 46.8
N/A 1.1

Q: The House of Councillors election this time is the first national
election for the Abe cabinet to go through since its inauguration in
September last year. Do you factor in the Abe cabinet's job
performance so far when you choose a political party or a political
party's candidate to vote for?

Yes 55.5
No 21.7
Can't say which 21.3
N/A 1.5

Q: Do you think Prime Minister Abe should step down to take
responsibility if the LDP and its coalition partner, New Komeito,
failed to retain their current majority of the seats in the House of
Councillors, including those not up for reelection, as a result of
its upcoming election?

Yes 41.4
No 35.3
Can't say which 21.3
N/A 2.0

Q: Do you think DPJ President Ozawa should resign as his party's
head to take responsibility if the opposition camp could not make
the ruling coalition to lose its majority?

Yes 31.3
No 41.7
Can't say which 25.0
N/A 2.0

Q: The Diet is made up of two chambers, the House of Representatives
as its lower house and the House of Councillors as its upper house.
Do you think the House of Councillors now has its own originality
differing from the House of Representatives?

Yes 5.8
Yes to a certain degree 12.0
No to a certain degree 27.8
No 44.2
N/A 10.2

Q: At the time of the last House of Representatives election or the
so-called "general election for postal privatization" that was held
in September 2005 when the Koizumi cabinet was in office, which
political party did you vote for under the proportional
representation system? Pick only one from among those listed below.

LDP 44.5
DPJ 20.3
NK 4.6
JCP 2.9
SDP 1.6
PNP 0.5
NPN 0.1
New Party Daichi (NPD or Shinto Daichi) 0.1

TOKYO 00003099 006 OF 007


Abstained from voting 10.6
Forgot + didn't reach voting age + N/A 15.0

Q: (Only for those who gave a political party to the above question)
When you chose to vote for that political party, did you think much
of its head's political stance or personal character?

Yes 47.7
Yes to a certain degree 25.0
No to a certain degree 11.0
No 15.6
N/A 0.7

Q: When you choose a political party to vote for in the upcoming
House of Councillors election, do you think much of its head's
political stance or personal character?

Yes 42.5
Yes to a certain degree 27.2
No to a certain degree 11.5
No 15.2
N/A 3.6

Q: Do you go to the polls in the House of Councillors election this
time? Pick only one from among those listed below.

Yes, for sure (including early voting) 58.8
Yes, if possible 32.9
Maybe no 5.4
No (abstain from voting) 1.9
N/A 1.0

Q: (Only for those who answered "yes") to the foregoing question) Do
you go to the polls on the election day or go for early voting?

Election day 89.1
Early voting 9.0
N/A 1.9


Polling methodology
Date of survey: June 16-17.
Subjects of survey: 3,000 persons chosen from among all eligible
voters throughout the country (at 250 locations on a stratified
two-stage random-sampling basis).
Method of implementation: Door-to-door visits for face-to-face
interviews.
Number of valid respondents: 1,837 persons (61.2 PERCENT )
Breakdown of respondents: Male-48 PERCENT , female-52 PERCENT ;
persons in their 20s-9 PERCENT , 30s-15 PERCENT , 40s-16 PERCENT ,
50s-22 PERCENT , 60s-23 PERCENT , 70 and over-15 PERCENT ; big
cities (Tokyo's 23 wards and government-designated cities)-21
PERCENT , major cities (with a population of more than 300,000)-19
PERCENT , medium-size cities (with a population of more than
100,000)-25 PERCENT , small cities (with a population of less than
100,000)-23 PERCENT , towns and villages-12 PERCENT .

(2) Poll: Abe more reliable, but Ozawa outranks in leadership

YOMIURI (Page 2) (Abridged)
July 5, 2007


TOKYO 00003099 007 OF 007


The Yomiuri Shimbun recently conducted a third online monitoring
poll of voters and asked about their images of Prime Minister Abe,
who is the president of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party, and
Ichiro Ozawa, who heads the leading opposition Democratic Party of
Japan (Minshuto). Abe was above Ozawa in reliability. However, Ozawa
outranked Abe in leadership. Abe's leadership was bitterly rated
among women and floating voters in particular.

In the survey, keywords were given for Abe and Ozawa. Respondents
were asked if they thought these keywords match their images of the
two party heads.

In reliability, Abe scored 25 PERCENT , with Ozawa at 13 PERCENT .
As seen from these figures, Abe was above Ozawa in reliability. Even
among those who are thinking of voting for the DPJ under the
proportional representation system in the upcoming election for the
House of Councillors, their images of Ozawa were split, with 23
PERCENT saying Ozawa is reliable and 28 PERCENT seeing him as
unreliable.

In leadership, Ozawa stood at 37 PERCENT , getting a big lead over
Abe, who was at 16 PERCENT . Even among those who voted for the LDP
in the 2005 House of Representatives election under the proportional
representation system, the affirmative and negative images of Ozawa
were close to each other, with "yes" accounting for 30 PERCENT and
"no" at 34 PERCENT . When asked whether Abe has leadership, negative
answers outnumbered affirmative ones, with 23 PERCENT answering
"yes" while 45 PERCENT saying "no."

When asked whether Abe has leadership, "yes" accounted for 21
PERCENT among men and 12 PERCENT among women. Among those with no
particular party affiliation, an overwhelmingly large number of
persons were severe about Abe, with "yes" accounting for 5 PERCENT
and "no" reaching 63 PERCENT .

SCHIEFFER

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