Cablegate: Cgyool: Unprofor Chief Speaks of Anarchy In

This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.

161505Z Nov 92

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PAGE 02 ZAGREB 02400 01 OF 04 161001Z
CINCUSNAVEUR LONDON UK//N2/N22//
USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GM//ECJ3/ECJ5/ECPLAD//
CTF SIXZERO//N2//
CTF SIXONE//N2//
CTF SIXTWO//N2//
CTF SIXSEVEN//JOCC//
FOSIF ROTA SP
SECDEF WASHDC//ISA/ISP//
CJCS WASHDC

UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 04 ZAGREB 02400

SIPDIS

GENEVA FOR USDEL ICFY -- JACKOVICH; USVIENNA FOR USDEL CSCE

E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR
TAGS: PREL PREF PHUM PREF PHUM PREF PHUM PREF PHUM HR
SUBJECT: CGYOOL: UNPROFOR CHIEF SPEAKS OF ANARCHY IN
- UNPA'S, LACK OF COOPERATION BY KRAJINA SERBS

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SUMMARY
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1. WE REPORT HEREIN FOR THE RECORD RECENT PUBLIC
REMARKS BY UNPROFOR CIVILIAN AFFAIRS DIRECTOR CEDRIC
THORNBERRY REGARDING THE SITUATION IN THE CROATIAN
UNPA'S AND PINK ZONES. REFERING TO SECTORS EAST AND
SOUTH, THORNBERRY DECLARED, "GANGS OF TERRORISTS ROAM
THE AREA, THERE ARE POLICE FORCES WHO DO NOT POLICE,
PROSECUTORS WHO DO NOT PROSECUTE, AND COURTS THAT ARE
AFRAID TO SIT." AT A MEETING WITH AUTHORITIES IN
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KNIN, UNPROFOR REASSERTED ITS AUTHORITY TO CONTROL
BORDER CROSSING POINTS BUT FAILED TO OBTAIN SERBIAN
AGREEMENT TO DRAW BACK FROM FIVE BRIDGES. UNPROFOR
ESTIMATES THAT THERE ARE AT LEAST 5,000 ARMED,
UNIFORMED PERSONNEL IN SECTOR EAST AT THE MOMENT; IN
CLEAR VIOLATION OF THE VANCE PLAN.

2. THORNBERRY WARNED THAT IF THE LOCAL SERBIAN
LEADERS DO NOT ACCEPT THE BASIC ELEMENTS OF
RESOLUTION 762, WHICH CALLS FOR A STEP-BY-STEP
RESTORATION OF CROATIAN AUTHORITY IN THE PINK ZONES,
THE SECURITY COUNCIL WILL HAVE TO BE INFORMED. HE
STATED THAT UNPROFOR HAS NO INTENTION OF BEING AN
ACCESSORY TO THE CONSOLIDATION OF THE RULE OF THE
PINK ZONES BY AUTHORITIES OTHER THAN THOSE STATED IN
THE RESOLUTION.

3. THORNBERRY CONDEMNED THOSE RESPONSIBLE FOR
PUTTING A REPORTED FIFTEEN TONS OF EXPLOSIVES IN THE
CENTRAL LOWER GALLERY OF THE PERUCA DAM. AFTER
FAILING TO OBTAIN MAPS AND DIAGRAMS FROM THE KNIN
AUTHORITIES, UNPROFOR SENT IN A TEAM OF BRITISH
DEMOLITIONS EXPERTS. RECENT PRESS REPORTS INDICATE
THAT THE MINES HAVE NOW BEEN "NEUTRALIZED." END
SUMMARY.
4. THERE FOLLOW EXCERPTS FROM AN OFFICIAL SUMMARY OF
THE UNPROFOR PRESS BRIEFING HELD ON NOVEMBER 5 IN
BELGRADE BY CEDRIC THORNBERRY, DIRECTOR OF CIVILIAN
AFFAIRS AND DEPUTY CHIEF OF MISSION.

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PAGE 04 ZAGREB 02400 01 OF 04 161001Z
SECTORS NORTH AND WEST QUIET, EAST AND SOUTH ANARCHIC
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5. THORNBERRY SAID THAT IN SECTOR NORTH THE
SITUATION IS INCREASINGLY QUIET, BUT THERE ARE
INCIDENTS AROUND THE CEASE-FIRE LINE BECAUSE OF THE

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PAGE 01 ZAGREB 02400 02 OF 04 161003Z
ACTION IO-19

INFO LOG-00 AID-01 CA-02 CIAE-00 C-01 CISA-02 DS-00
EB-01 EUR-01 HA-09 H-01 INRE-00 INR-01 LAB-04
L-03 ADS-00 MFLO-03 M-01 NSAE-00 NSCE-00 OCS-06
OIC-02 OMB-01 PA-02 PC-05 PM-02 PRS-01 P-01
RP-10 SCT-03 SDEL-00 SIL-00 SNP-00 SP-00 SR-00
SSO-00 SS-00 STR-17 TRSE-00 T-01 USIE-00 ASDS-01
RPE-00 /101W
------------------7ACDBD 161003Z /38
O 161505Z NOV 92
FM AMEMBASSY ZAGREB
TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 2698
INFO USMISSION GENEVA IMMEDIATE
USMISSION USUN NEW YORK IMMEDIATE
USEC BRUSSELS IMMEDIATE
USMISSION USVIENNA IMMEDIATE
AMEMBASSY PRAGUE IMMEDIATE
AMEMBASSY BELGRADE PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY MOSCOW PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY STOCKHOLM
AMEMBASSY LONDON
AMEMBASSY ROME
AMEMBASSY BONN
AMEMBASSY ATHENS
AMEMBASSY NICOSIA
AMEMBASSY BUDAPEST
AMEMBASSY VIENNA
USMISSION USNATO
UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

PAGE 02 ZAGREB 02400 02 OF 04 161003Z
CINCUSNAVEUR LONDON UK//N2/N22//
USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GM//ECJ3/ECJ5/ECPLAD//
CTF SIXZERO//N2//
CTF SIXONE//N2//
CTF SIXTWO//N2//
CTF SIXSEVEN//JOCC//
FOSIF ROTA SP
SECDEF WASHDC//ISA/ISP//
CJCS WASHDC

UNCLAS SECTION 02 OF 04 ZAGREB 02400

SIPDIS

GENEVA FOR USDEL ICFY -- JACKOVICH; USVIENNA FOR USDEL CSCE

E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR
TAGS: PREL PREF PHUM PREF PHUM PREF PHUM PREF PHUM HR
SUBJECT: CGYOOL: UNPROFOR CHIEF SPEAKS OF ANARCHY IN
- UNPA'S, LACK OF COOPERATION BY KRAJINA SERBS

PRESENCE THERE OF THE CROATIAN ARMY AND SERBIAN
MILITIAS, AND SOME TERRORISM.

6. SECTOR WEST IS GENERALLY QUIET; IMPLEMENTATION OF
THE VANCE PLAN IS FURTHER ADVANCED THAN IN ANY OTHER
SECTOR. THE PROGRAMME OF VISITS OF DISPLACED PERSONS
FROM BOTH SIDES TO THEIR FORMER VILLAGES IS
PROGRESSING: AS OF LAST WEEK, 1,500 PEOPLE HAD
VISITED 50 VILLAGES TO EXAMINE THE DAMAGES TO THEIR
HOMES AND START PREPARATIONS FOR THEIR REPAIR. THE
AUSTRIAN GOVERNMENT HAS OFFERED 500 TEMPORARY HOUSING
UNITS FOR PEOPLE WHO WISH TO WORK ON THEIR HOUSES
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DURING THE WINTER. IN ONE AREA NEIGHBORING SECTOR
WEST, UNPROFOR HAS PROVIDED INFORMATION RELATING TO
RESOLUTION 780 TO THE WAR CRIMES COMMISSION, WHICH
WAS SCHEDULED TO MEET YESTERDAY FOR THE FIRST TIME.

7. IN SECTORS EAST AND SOUTH, THE TREND TOWARD
ANARCHY CONTINUES. GANGS OF TERRORISTS ROAM THE
AREA, THERE ARE POLICE FORCES WHO DO NOT POLICE,
PROSECUTORS WHO DO NOT PROSECUTE, AND COURTS THAT ARE
AFRAID TO SIT. (UNPROFOR MADE AVAILABLE A PAGE
GIVING EXTRACTS FROM UNCIVPOL REPORTS SUMMARISING
RECENT INCIDENTS FROM SECTORS EAST AND SOUTH). MANY
OF THESE ARE SMALL, NASTY, COWARDLY CRIMES, USUALLY
ETHNICALLY BASED AND AIMED AT OLD PEOPLE LIVING
ALONE. THE MAJORITY ARE AGAINST CROATS LIVING IN
SERB-CONTROLLED TERRITORIES, BUT THERE ARE ALSO SOME
AGAINST SERBS LIVING IN CROAT-CONTROLLED AREAS. IN A
WAY, THERE HAS BEEN SOME IMPROVEMENT, AS THERE ARE
FEWER MURDERS THAN BEFORE.

8. ALONG THE EDGES OF SECTOR SOUTH, SOME CEASE-FIRE
VIOLATIONS, MAINLY BY THE CROATIAN ARMY, ARE PROBABLY
PROVOCATIONS. AS THERE HAS STILL NOT BEEN
DISARMAMANT OF THE SERB MILITIA, THE CROATIAN ARMY
HAS, IN SOME CASES, MOVED BACK UP FROM THE WITHDRAWAL
LINE, TO THE CONFRONTATION LINE, AND THE RELATIVELY
HEAVILY ARMED SERB MILITIA HAVE ALSO MOVED UP TO THAT
LINE.

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1,500 TONS OF EXPLOSIVES REPORTED IN PERUCA DAM
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9. PERUCA DAM, (LOCATED) IN A PINK ZONE, HAS BEEN
UNDER UNPROFOR CONTROL SINCE 14 SEPTEMBER. THE WATER
LEVEL IS NOW 357.62 METRES. THE BRITISH ENGINEERING
TEAM THAT SURVEYED THE DAM LAST WEEK WERE TOLD THAT

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PAGE 01 ZAGREB 02400 03 OF 04 161004Z
ACTION IO-19

INFO LOG-00 AID-01 CA-02 CIAE-00 C-01 CISA-02 DS-00
EB-01 EUR-01 HA-09 H-01 INRE-00 INR-01 LAB-04
L-03 ADS-00 MFLO-03 M-01 NSAE-00 NSCE-00 OCS-06
OIC-02 OMB-01 PA-02 PC-05 PM-02 PRS-01 P-01
RP-10 SCT-03 SDEL-00 SIL-00 SNP-00 SP-00 SR-00
SSO-00 SS-00 STR-17 TRSE-00 T-01 USIE-00 ASDS-01
RPE-00 /101W
------------------7ACDE6 161004Z /38
O 161505Z NOV 92
FM AMEMBASSY ZAGREB
TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 2699
INFO USMISSION GENEVA IMMEDIATE
USMISSION USUN NEW YORK IMMEDIATE
USEC BRUSSELS IMMEDIATE
USMISSION USVIENNA IMMEDIATE
AMEMBASSY PRAGUE IMMEDIATE
AMEMBASSY BELGRADE PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY MOSCOW PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY STOCKHOLM
AMEMBASSY LONDON
AMEMBASSY ROME
AMEMBASSY BONN
AMEMBASSY ATHENS
AMEMBASSY NICOSIA
AMEMBASSY BUDAPEST
AMEMBASSY VIENNA
USMISSION USNATO
UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

PAGE 02 ZAGREB 02400 03 OF 04 161004Z
CINCUSNAVEUR LONDON UK//N2/N22//
USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GM//ECJ3/ECJ5/ECPLAD//
CTF SIXZERO//N2//
CTF SIXONE//N2//
CTF SIXTWO//N2//
CTF SIXSEVEN//JOCC//
FOSIF ROTA SP
SECDEF WASHDC//ISA/ISP//
CJCS WASHDC

UNCLAS SECTION 03 OF 04 ZAGREB 02400

SIPDIS

GENEVA FOR USDEL ICFY -- JACKOVICH; USVIENNA FOR USDEL CSCE

E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR
TAGS: PREL PREF PHUM PREF PHUM PREF PHUM PREF PHUM HR
SUBJECT: CGYOOL: UNPROFOR CHIEF SPEAKS OF ANARCHY IN
- UNPA'S, LACK OF COOPERATION BY KRAJINA SERBS

THERE ARE 15 TONNES OF EXPLOSIVES IN THE CENTRAL
LOWER GALLERY OF THE DAM. UNPROFOR REQUESTED MAPS
AND DIAGRAMS FROM THE KNIN AUTHORITIES, BUT HAS NOT
RECEIVED THEM, ALTHOUGH THE SITUATION IS NOW URGENT.
UNPROFOR DOES NOT KNOW WHO PLACED THE EXPLOSIVES, BUT
CONSIDERING THE IMPLICATIONS IF THE DAM WERE TO BE
DESTROYED, "THE LEVEL OF IRRESPONSIBILITY IN
PREPARING THE DAM FOR DESTRUCTION PASSES
COMPREHENSION." (NOTE: PRESS REPORTS INDICATE THAT
BRITISH DEMOLITIONS EXPERTS HAVE SINCE "NEUTRALIZED"
THE MINES WITHOUT THE HELP OF THE SERBS.)

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PAGE 03 ZAGREB 02400 03 OF 04 161004Z
-------------------------------
MASLENICA BRIDGE STILL ON HOLD:
-------------------------------

10. THE REBUILDING OF MASLENICA BRIDGE, LOCATED IN A
PINK ZONE, HAS THE AGREEMENT OF ALL SIDES, BUT NO ONE
SEEMS TO WANT TO "ROLL UP THEIR SLEEVES AND GET TO
WORK" ON THE PROJECT. IT MUST MOVE AHEAD AS SOON AS
POSSIBLE.
------------------------------------------
5,000 UNAUTHORIZED "POLICE" IN SECTOR EAST
------------------------------------------

11. SECTOR EAST HAS BEEN RATHER QUIET LATELY. AN
ACCOUNT PUBLISHED IN THE BELGRADE PRESS ON EVENTS
AROUND BATINA BRIDGE CAUSED THORNBERRY'S AMAZEMENT,
AND THE CONCLUSION THAT "IF YOU DON'T HAVE ANY FACTS,
GO UP TO THE CRAZIEST PERSON AROUND AND PUBLISH WHAT
HE SAYS."

12. ON A MORE SERIOUS NOTE, UNPROFOR ESTIMATES THERE
ARE AT LEAST 5,000 ARMED, UNIFORMED PERSONNEL IN
SECTOR EAST AT THE MOMENT; IN CLEAR VIOLATION OF THE
VANCE PLAN. UNPROFOR IS NOT SURE WHO IS IN CONTROL
OF ALL OF THESE ELEMENTS. "PERHAPS UNPROFOR BELGRADE
COULD ORGANIZE A TOUR FOR JOURNALISTS SO THEY COULD
SEE FOR THEMSELVES? - SECTOR EAST IS QUITE CLOSE TO
BELGRADE." (NOTE: PRESS REPORTS INDICATE THAT IN
FACT A VISIT BY JOURNALISTS IS NOW BEING ARRANGED.)

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PAGE 04 ZAGREB 02400 03 OF 04 161004Z
KRAJINA SERBS BLOCKING IMPLEMENTATION OF VANCE PLAN
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13. FORCE COMMANDER GENERAL NAMBIAR, THORNBERRY AND
THE DEPUTY FORCE COMMANDER MET WITH LOCAL AUTHORITIES
IN KNIN ON MONDAY, NOVEMBER 2, INCLUDING GORAN HADZIC

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PAGE 01 ZAGREB 02400 04 OF 04 161005Z
ACTION IO-19

INFO LOG-00 AID-01 CA-02 CIAE-00 C-01 CISA-02 DS-00
EB-01 EUR-01 HA-09 H-01 INRE-00 INR-01 LAB-04
L-03 ADS-00 MFLO-03 M-01 NSAE-00 NSCE-00 OCS-06
OIC-02 OMB-01 PA-02 PC-05 PM-02 PRS-01 P-01
RP-10 SCT-03 SDEL-00 SIL-00 SNP-00 SP-00 SR-00
SSO-00 SS-00 STR-17 TRSE-00 T-01 USIE-00 ASDS-01
RPE-00 /101W
------------------7ACE04 161005Z /38
O 161505Z NOV 92
FM AMEMBASSY ZAGREB
TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 2700
INFO USMISSION GENEVA IMMEDIATE
USMISSION USUN NEW YORK IMMEDIATE
USEC BRUSSELS IMMEDIATE
USMISSION USVIENNA IMMEDIATE
AMEMBASSY PRAGUE IMMEDIATE
AMEMBASSY BELGRADE PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY MOSCOW PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY STOCKHOLM
AMEMBASSY LONDON
AMEMBASSY ROME
AMEMBASSY BONN
AMEMBASSY ATHENS
AMEMBASSY NICOSIA
AMEMBASSY BUDAPEST
AMEMBASSY VIENNA
USMISSION USNATO
UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

PAGE 02 ZAGREB 02400 04 OF 04 161005Z
CINCUSNAVEUR LONDON UK//N2/N22//
USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GM//ECJ3/ECJ5/ECPLAD//
CTF SIXZERO//N2//
CTF SIXONE//N2//
CTF SIXTWO//N2//
CTF SIXSEVEN//JOCC//
FOSIF ROTA SP
SECDEF WASHDC//ISA/ISP//
CJCS WASHDC

UNCLAS SECTION 04 OF 04 ZAGREB 02400

SIPDIS

GENEVA FOR USDEL ICFY -- JACKOVICH; USVIENNA FOR USDEL CSCE

E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR
TAGS: PREL PREF PHUM PREF PHUM PREF PHUM PREF PHUM HR
SUBJECT: CGYOOL: UNPROFOR CHIEF SPEAKS OF ANARCHY IN
- UNPA'S, LACK OF COOPERATION BY KRAJINA SERBS

AND MILAN MARTIC, FOR A "REMARKABLY FRANK"
DISCUSSION. WITH REGARD TO RESOLUTION 769, WHICH
REQUIRES UNPROFOR TO CONTROL THE CROSSING POINTS FROM
THE UNITED NATIONS PROTECTED AREAS INTO OTHER PARTS
OF THE FORMER YUGOSLAVIA, THE KNIN AUTHORITIES AGREED
TO MOVE THEIR CHECKPOINTS BACK CA. 500 METRES FROM
THE UNPROFOR CHECKPOINTS AT THE BOUNDARIES, EXCEPT ON
FIVE BRIDGES; THESE ARE STILL UNDER NEGOTIATION.
TALKS ON THE DISARMING OF THE SPECIAL MILITIA WERE
NOT FRUITFUL AND DISCUSSIONS WILL CONTINUE.
REGARDING RESOLUTION 762 ON THE PINK ZONES, WHICH
CALLS FOR A STEP-BY-STEP RESTORATION OF CROATIAN
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AUTHORITY IN THESE AREAS, IF THE LOCAL AUTHORITIES DO
NOT ACCEPT THE BASIC ELEMENTS OF THE RESOLUTION, THE
SECURITY COUNCIL WILL HAVE TO BE INFORMED. UNPROFOR
HAS NO INTENTION OF BEING AN ACCESSORY TO THE
CONSOLIDATION OF THE RULE OF THE PINK ZONES BY
AUTHORITIES OTHER THAN THOSE STATED IN THE RESOLUTION.

14. THE SERIOUS DESIRE FOR PEACE THAT IS APPARENT IN
MANY PARTS OF THE REGION OF THE FORMER YUGOSLAVIA
COULD BE ENDANGERED BY THE BLOCKAGES IN THE
IMPLEMENTATION OF THE VANCE PLAN IN THE SECTORS.

15. AT PREVLAKA, APART FROM A FEW PROBLEMS, THE
IMPLEMENTATION OF THE VANCE PLAN IS PROCEEDING QUITE
WELL. THE YUGOSLAV ARMY HAS WITHDRAWN, IN ACCORDANCE
WITH THE VANCE PLAN, AND MILITARY OBSERVERS ARE NOW
DEPLOYED. THERE HAVE BEEN REPORTS, HOWEVER, OF
CROATIAN ARMY ACTIVITIES IN ADJACENT AREAS.

NEITZKE

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