World Video | Defence | Foreign Affairs | Natural Events | Trade | NZ in World News | NZ National News Video | NZ Regional News | Search

 

NEDA retracts Ohio Exit Poll Analsysis

Press Release: National Election Data Archive

NEDA retracts Ohio Exit Poll Analsysis


November 03, 2005

The National Election Data Archive's paper analyzing the Ohio exit poll data has been temporarily withdrawn due to an error in the assumed definition of data given in the ESI report. In other words, NEDA’s Ron Baiman incorrectly assumed that ESI was giving the maximum and minimum of “vote” counts in its table of exit poll data, and ESI was actually giving the maximum and minimum of “exit poll results” if all non-responders to the exit poll in its sample had hypothetically completed the polls.

A solid independent analysis of Ohio's exit poll studies still must be done. Earlier the Election Science Institute's analysis of its Ohio exit poll data has been mathematically proven to be invalid. http://uscountvotes.org/ucvAnalysis/US/exit-polls/ESI/ESI-hypothesis-illogical.pdf

NEDA’s analysis, using the corrected definition of “non-responders” will be redone and reposted - but our volunteer schedules do not permit us to do this soon.

A copy of ESI's data can be found here. NEDA welcomes any independent analysis of this Ohio exit poll data.

http://uscountvotes.org/ucvAnalysis/US/exit-polls/ESI/ESI-Mitofsky-files/ESI-OH-data-2004.pdf



If you would like to be notified when NEDA's paper is re-released, please email either:

uscv_press-subscribe@uscountvotes.org

or

election-subscribe@uscountvotes.org

We apologize for any inconvenience our error may have caused.

Sincerely,

Kathy Dopp, kathy@uscountvotes.org

National Election Data Archive, President

This public withdrawal of our Ohio exit poll analysis paper can be found at: http://electionarchive.org/ucvAnalysis/OH/Ohio-Exit-Polls-2004.pdf

FURTHER Clarification on our withdrawal

On November 2, 2005, NEDA released an analysis of the 2004 precinct level Ohio exit poll data entitled “The Gun is Smoking: Ohio Exit Poll Data Provides Virtually Irrefutable Evidence of Vote Miscount”. The analysis used data provided in the Election Sciences Institute (ESI) report of June 6, 2005.

On November 3, 2005 NEDA realized that its interpretation of the definition for the term “nonresponders” to the exit poll, as used by ESI, was incorrect.

What this means is most likely that the Ohio exit poll data is:

1. inconsistent with voter exit poll response explanations as put forth wrongly by Mitofsky in his Jan 19th paper

2. highly suspicious and very consistent with vote fraud explanations

but does "not" contain "virtually irrefutable" evidence of vote fraud.

In a positive sense, notice that NEDA withdrew its incorrect analysis within 24 hours, whereas ESI and Mitofsky, whose analysis has clearly been proven mathematically to be balderdash, has yet to show the integrity to withdraw its own analysis, which it has wrongfully let stand since June, and presented in October to the American Statistical Association fall conference in Philadelphia.

Anyone who has used our press release from yesterday, please substitute this press release instead:

http://electionarchive.org/ucvInfo/release/ESI-hypothesis-illogical-press-release.pdf

It is very important to get the word out that the Mitofsky/ESI analyses are bunk.

http://uscountvotes.org/ucvAnalysis/US/exit-polls/ESI/ESI-hypothesis-illogical.pdf

This above math proof still stands as 100% correct, has been reviewed by PhD mathematicians and physicists, and the "under construction" in its appendix should be removed from the appendix as we've checked it and found it correct.

ENDS

© Scoop Media

 
 
 
World Headlines

 

Gordon Campbell: On Collective Punishment In Venezuela

Yemen, Venezuela, Iran, Gaza… beyond the particulars of their suffering, each of these countries currently share one thing in common: their ordinary citizens are being subjected to collective punishment, in order to bring about regime change. More>>

Widely Ignored Report: 40,000 Dead Venezuelans Under US Sanctions

A new report on April 25 by a respected think tank has estimated that US sanctions imposed on Venezuela in August 2017 have caused around 40,000 deaths... Additional sanctions imposed in January 2019 are likely to lead to tens of thousands of further deaths. More>>

ALSO:

Gordon Campbell: On The Left-Wing Victory In Spain

Portugal and Spain continue to be striking exceptions to the rise of rightwing populism in Europe, a fact that’s commonly explained by the relatively recent experience both countries have had of living under fascist regimes. (Franco in Spain, and Salazar in Portugal.)

That horrific past still seems very much alive in the minds of voters... More>>

Easter Bombings Kill Hundreds: UN, World Leaders Condemn Sri Lanka Attacks

More than 200 have been killed and hundreds injured by a series of explosions inside churches and hotels in Sri Lanka, as Christians gathered for services to celebrate Easter.. More>>

ALSO: