https://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/BU2209/S00291/volatility-and-vulnerability-in-the-rural-sector.htm
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Volatility And Vulnerability In The Rural Sector |
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Data released today by the Real Estate Institute of New Zealand (REINZ) shows there were -126 fewer farm sales (-38.2%) for the three months ended August 2022 than for the three months ended August 2021. Overall, there were 204 farm sales in the three months ended August 2022, compared to 255 farm sales for the three months ended July 2022 (-20%), and 330 farm sales for the three months ended August 2021.
1,545 farms were sold in the year to August 2022 — 278 fewer than were sold in the year to August 2021, with 2.6% more Dairy farms, 25.2% fewer Dairy Support, 21.5% fewer Grazing farms, 13.9% fewer Finishing farms and 17.5% fewer Arable farms sold over the same period.
The median price per hectare for all farms sold in the three months to August 2022 was $25,690 compared to $27,170 recorded for the three months ended August 2021 (-5.4%). The median price per hectare decreased by 6.5% compared to July 2022.
The REINZ All Farm Price Index decreased 8.3% in the three months to August 2022 compared to the three months to July 2022. Compared to the three months ending August 2021 the REINZ All Farm Price Index increased 3.6%. The REINZ All Farm Price Index adjusts for differences in farm size, location, and farming type, unlike the median price per hectare, which does not adjust for these factors.
Two regions recorded an increase in the number of farm sales for the three months ended August 2022 compared to the three months ended August 2021; they were Manawatu-Whanganui and Southland (+2 sales). Waikato (-22 sales) and Bay of Plenty, and Canterbury (-19 sales) recorded the greatest decreases in sales. Compared to the three months ended July 2022, one region recorded an increase in sales, West Coast (+3 sales).
Brian Peacocke, Rural Spokesman for REINZ says: “Sales data for the three-month period ending August 2022 reflect a significant reduction in total farm sales compared to the equivalent periods in the previous two years:
“Reasons for such reductions will inevitably be varied but are likely to include an increasing degree of caution mingled with emerging resentment towards central Government, inexorable increases in costs across the board, and widespread volatility in climatic conditions.
“Tasman, Nelson, Marlborough, Taranaki and the Far North are at the forefront of those regions most impacted by the turbulent extremes in weather being experienced more frequently across the country.
“From a financial perspective, strong levels of income in recent seasons have allowed significant debt reduction across much of the rural sector, albeit erosion of the increased equity due to increases in costs is having a sobering effect across the sector.
“Whilst it appears good levels of income are likely to continue in much of the agricultural sector this season, reports of decreasing levels of production from a national perspective combined with the aggressive increases in costs will have a balancing effect, as outlined below:
Other issues of concern in the rural sector include:
In August 2022, Finishing farms accounted for 37% of all sales. Grazing farms accounted for 32% of all sales, Horticulture farms accounted for 10% of all sales and Dairy farms accounted for 9% of all sales. These four property types accounted for 88% of all sales during the three months ended August 2022.
For the three months ended August 2022, the median sales price per hectare for dairy farms was $36,325 (18 properties), compared to $39,290 (23 properties) for the three months ended July 2022, and $41,910 (30 properties) for the three months ended August 2021. The median price per hectare for dairy farms has decreased 13.3% over the past 12 months. The median dairy farm size for the three months ended August 2022 was 99 hectares.
On a price per kilo of milk solids basis, the median sales price was $35.94 per kg of milk solids for the three months ended August 2022, compared to $36.94 per kg of milk solids for the three months ended July 2022 (-2.7%), and $40.93 per kg of milk solids for the three months ended August 2021 (-12.2%).
The REINZ Dairy Farm Price Index increased 10.1% in the three months to August 2022 compared to the three months to July 2022. Compared to August 2021, the REINZ Dairy Farm Price Index increased 4.8%. The REINZ Dairy Farm Price Index adjusts for differences in farm size and location compared to the median price per hectare, which does not adjust for these factors.
For the three months ended August 2022, the median sale price per hectare for finishing farms was $37,180 (75 properties), compared to $35,320 (101 properties) for the three months ended July 2022, and $31,010 (103 properties) for the three months ended August 2021. The median price per hectare for finishing farms has increased 19.9% over the past 12 months. The median finishing farm size for the three months ended August 2022 was 39 hectares.
For the three months ended August 2022, the median sales price per hectare for grazing farms was $13,600 (65 properties), compared to $13,430 (72 properties) for the three months ended July 2022 and $11,610 (96 properties) for the three months ended August 2021. The median price per hectare for grazing farms has increased 17.1% over the past 12 months. The median grazing farm size for the three months ended August 2022 was 147 hectares.
For the three months ended August 2022, the median sales price per hectare for horticulture farms was $402,630 (21 properties), compared to $411,490 (24 properties) for the three months ended July 2022 and $291,640 (46 properties) for the three months ended August 2021. The median price per hectare for horticulture farms has increased 38.1% over the past 12 months. The median horticulture farm size for the three months ended August 2022 was 7 hectares.
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