Paramount Earnings: Are 'Yellowstone' And 'Star Trek' Enough?
Friday, 3 November 2023, 4:33 pm Press Release: Parrot Analytics
Paramount Global has seemingly done everything Wall
Street demanded of Hollywood in recent years.
It
selectively and strategically licensed key titles on the
open market while reclaiming others for its own uses, built
both a growing FAST service to augment its ad revenue and a
mid-sized but growing SVOD service, released a steady stream
of theatrical box office hits throughout the pandemic, and
churned out the most-watched broadcast network and the
most-watched hit on linear TV. All the while, it's used its
linear assets to prop up its direct-to-consumer
ambitions.
In Q3 2023, Parrot Analytics found the
following top-line datapoints for Paramount
Global:
Paramount Global Corporate Demand Share:
11.9% (third place)
Paramount+ US Total Catalog
Demand Share: 10.2% (fifth place)
Paramount+ US
Originals Demand Share: 5.8% (sixth
place)
Paramount+ Global Originals Demand Share:
4.9% (sixth place)
Paramount+’s bets on
Star Trek and Taylor Sheridan series continued to pay
off, as those two franchises accounted for seven of the top
10 series available on Paramount+ in Q3 2023 with US
audiences. Sheridan’s latest, Special Ops: Lioness,
debuted in July and was among the top 2.9% of series across
all platforms in Q3 2023. Paramount+’s originals demand
share did tick down from 6.0% to 5.8%, but this is still
much higher compared to Q3 2022 (5.1%) and Q3 2021
(3.9%).
In an effort to beef up its content offering
amidst the dual labor stoppages, CBS began airing the first
season of Yellowstone in September. This Paramount
Network original streams on NBCUniversal’s Peacock, a
result of the aforementioned pre-2019 licensing
decisions.
Demand for Yellowstone increased 12%
during the five weeks CBS ran season one episodes. In fact,
demand for the series while it aired reruns on CBS was
roughly the same as when it aired new episodes of season
four of Paramount Network in late 2021. This suggests
Yellowstone was able to find a new audiences on CBS
and get repeat viewers to watch the show on a
Paramount-owned entity — in other words, audiences that
Paramount Global could monetize.
And yet, Paramount
Global’s stock price continues to fall since the re-merger
and in a clouded and crowded ecosystem, the path forward
remains uncertain.
Catalog Demand Share by Original
Release Type
Streaming
original content only accounts for a fraction of the overall
TV demand for most major streamers, showing why many legacy
companies are now re-opening up their libraries to licensing
deals after trying to build up walled gardens earlier this
decade.
Paramount+ is the second-most reliant on US
linear TV (broadcast and cable combined) among all the major
streamers, and the second most reliant on cable
specifically.
This data suggests Paramount Global
has successfully leveraged CBS, America’s most-watched
broadcast network, and its legacy cable assets such as
Nickelodeon, Comedy Central, MTV and more into a compelling
SVOD product.
However, a downside of this is that
linear TV is the most directly impacted by the Hollywood
strikes, and Paramount+ may be more vulnerable than most of
its competitors to a lack of new content heading into early
2024 and beyond.
Streamers With Highest Demand
For New Content
Another
look at the data suggests Paramount+ may be in good shape as
the lack of new scripted content drags
on.
Paramount+ is in the middle of the pack when it
comes to demand for shows that have released new episodes in
the last 12 months — 36.4%. Contrast this with Apple TV+,
up at 73.0%.
This means that nearly two-thirds of
the demand for series available on Paramount+ was for
content with no new episodes in the last 12 months,
suggesting consumers are either rewatching old series or
discovering older content for the first time. These are the
types of retention titles that streamers strive for in order
to achieve long term success and
viability.
On-Platform Demand Share
While
demand for original series drives subscription growth,
library content is key for customer retention, an
increasingly crucial element of all streaming strategies as
the market matures and consumers are offered more choice and
easier ways to cancel than ever.
Library content
will also be a crucial short-term asset as Hollywood’s
labor strikes prolong, with new shows and movies likely to
run dry in into early 2024 and beyond.
Paramount+
ticked down in total on-platform share, sitting at 10.2% in
Q3 2023 compared to 11.2% in the previous quarter.
Paramount+ did stay ahead of Disney+ in this ranking, but
fell further behind Amazon Prime Video for
fourth.