https://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/PA2203/S00121/jacinda-follows-the-political-science.htm
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Jacinda Follows The (Political) Science
Wednesday, 16 March 2022, 7:14 am
Press Release: ACT New Zealand
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“Labour’s Covid-19 response has always followed the
science – political science”, says ACT Leader David
Seymour.
“Three days after a TVNZ
poll found 75 per cent of voters believed we should open
the borders to negative tested travellers immediately,
Labour has brought its reopening date for visitors forward
by six months.
“Jacinda is making up the rules as
she goes along and none of it is based on
evidence.
“While it’s welcome news, today’s
announcement should be accompanied by an apology. Tourism,
and parts of the country that depend critically on tourism,
have been devastated by the Government’s refusal to
reconnect with the rest of the world.
“Two weeks
ago, I asked Jacinda Ardern two simple
questions.
“How many cases and hospitalisations
would result from opening the border to all travellers
immediately? She didn’t know.
“How many
hospitalisations were admitted to hospital due to Covid-19
and how many were admitted for something else and tested
positive while there? She didn’t know.
“If border
decisions are being made to protect the hospital system, the
Prime Minister should be able to explain what analysis of
the costs and benefits is driving her
decisions.
“The reality is, Jacinda has been playing
politics with people’s lives.
“It’s time to move
on from Covid-19.
“We should not keep ineffective
and costly rules because they make us feel comfortable if
there’s no evidence that they work. If rules are not
useful they should go, and it should be up to the Government
that imposes them on us to explain why they should stay.
It’s time to stop the fear and the control. It’s time to
move on.”
ACT’s Move
On plan proposes:
- Scanning and
contact tracing: Contact tracing creates relatively
minor costs, but also delivers negligible benefits because
it does not reach enough potential contacts or reach them
fast enough in light of Omicron’s higher transmissibility.
It results in some people isolating because they are
“pinged” but often not in time to prevent them from
transmitting the virus. The resulting isolation that comes
from being pinged is a growing disaster for business and
supply chains. The requirement for businesses to display
codes and have people scan in should be dropped, along with
the requirement to contact trace cases, because it’s just
not working. Dropping these requirements would be an
important symbol that we are moving on and getting our way
of life back. It should be done
immediately.
- Mask requirements:
Well-worn and high-quality masks can help prevent spread.
Mask wearing likely has significant benefits for reducing
the spread of Omicron, although this is sensitive to mask
quality. While extremely irritating, it is one of the few
current policies where it is reasonable to believe that the
benefits outweigh the
costs.
- Boosters: Relative to a
two-shot regimen, booster shots significantly reduce the
likelihood of death and serious illness due to COVID-19.
There is a limited cost. Boosters are an important way to
reduce the costs of the inevitable spread of Omicron through
the community. Nonetheless, given most of the benefits of
booster doses go to those who get boosted, there is little
case for mandating them.
- Vaccine
requirements: It is difficult to justify a
vaccination mandate purely on the grounds that it reduces
hospitalisation risk for unvaccinated people themselves and
thus pressure on the health system. This effect has already
reached saturation. Unless a new requirement for boosters is
introduced, mandating is having negligible effect on vaccine
uptake and should be dropped
immediately.
- Traffic Light
Framework: The Government has dashed large events
and hospitality businesses at enormous cost with little
consideration for what the benefits might be. If they have
cost-benefit analysis for Omicron, they have not presented
it. We have been asked to accept these restrictions with no
idea whether they will leave us better off or by how much.
Unless the Government can show the benefits of restricting
large events in an Omicron environment, in terms of reducing
the peak demand on hospital capacity, the Traffic Light
System should be dumped immediately so we can all move
on.
- Ban on importing RATs: There
are no benefits to the ban, but the costs are considerable.
The Government should adopt ACT’s policy that New
Zealanders can import any test that is approved by
authorities in Australia, the United Kingdom, the United
States, or the European
Union.
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