https://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/PA2203/S00168/its-no-longer-an-eternity-its-an-ardernity.htm
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It’s No Longer An Eternity, It’s An Ardernity
Monday, 21 March 2022, 3:45 pm
Press Release: ACT New Zealand
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“Once again the Prime Minister has made an announcement
about an announcement, leaving us waiting an Ardernity for a
decision,” says ACT Leader David Seymour.
“Cabinet
made the decision about restrictions today. Jacinda should
treat us like adults and tell us what it
is.
“Instead, our staged managed Prime Minister has
decided she cares less about New Zealanders desperately
waiting to the hear the decision and more about the podium
time. People have lost their jobs over mandates and are
excluded from parts of society but none of that seems to
matter to Jacinda Ardern.
“This morning on Today FM,
Health Minister Andrew Little did something usually frowned
upon by our Government. He told the truth. When asked “If
restrictions are lifted now, the mandates, the passes, the
gathering limits, will hospitalisations go up?” His answer
was “the modelling shows no.”
“The whole point
of the restrictions was to save the health system. If it’s
no longer doing to that then they should go. There’s no
need to wait for tourists, just do it now.
“This
morning Jacinda told Radio NZ that waiting another 48 hours
“just gives us a bit of time post-Cabinet that any changes
we need to make are all tidied away before we share those
details 48 hours later.”
“If Cabinet has decided,
it has decided. Just tell us what the decision
is.
ACT’s Move On plan
proposes:
- Scanning and contact
tracing: Contact tracing creates relatively minor
costs, but also delivers negligible benefits because it does
not reach enough potential contacts or reach them fast
enough in light of Omicron’s higher transmissibility. It
results in some people isolating because they are
“pinged” but often not in time to prevent them from
transmitting the virus. The resulting isolation that comes
from being pinged is a growing disaster for business and
supply chains. The requirement for businesses to display
codes and have people scan in should be dropped, along with
the requirement to contact trace cases, because it’s just
not working. Dropping these requirements would be an
important symbol that we are moving on and getting our way
of life back. It should be done
immediately.
- Mask requirements:
Well-worn and high-quality masks can help prevent spread.
Mask wearing likely has significant benefits for reducing
the spread of Omicron, although this is sensitive to mask
quality. While extremely irritating, it is one of the few
current policies where it is reasonable to believe that the
benefits outweigh the
costs.
- Boosters: Relative to a
two-shot regimen, booster shots significantly reduce the
likelihood of death and serious illness due to COVID-19.
There is a limited cost. Boosters are an important way to
reduce the costs of the inevitable spread of Omicron through
the community. Nonetheless, given most of the benefits of
booster doses go to those who get boosted, there is little
case for mandating them.
- Vaccine
requirements: It is difficult to justify a
vaccination mandate purely on the grounds that it reduces
hospitalisation risk for unvaccinated people themselves and
thus pressure on the health system. This effect has already
reached saturation. Unless a new requirement for boosters is
introduced, mandating is having negligible effect on vaccine
uptake and should be dropped
immediately.
- Traffic Light
Framework: The Government has dashed large events
and hospitality businesses at enormous cost with little
consideration for what the benefits might be. If they have
cost-benefit analysis for Omicron, they have not presented
it. We have been asked to accept these restrictions with no
idea whether they will leave us better off or by how much.
Unless the Government can show the benefits of restricting
large events in an Omicron environment, in terms of reducing
the peak demand on hospital capacity, the Traffic Light
System should be dumped immediately so we can all move
on.
“It’s time to move on from fear and
control. It’s time to get our lives
back.”
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