Jacinda Ardern has a 6% lead over Bill English as preferred Prime Minister among definite voters.

Among the 860 adult respondents to an August 11-15 Horizon Research poll who are both registered to vote and 100% likely to vote, Ardern leads English by 43% to 37%.

Among all of the 960 respondents Ardern leads 45% to 32%.

Winston Peters is preferred Prime Minister by 15% of all respondents and 14% of definite voters.

James Shaw, the Green Party leader, is preferred by 2%, and David Seymour of ACT and Te Ururoa Flavell of the Maori Party each by 1%.

In general, preference for each of the party leaders as Prime Minister comes primarily from their own parties:

• 90% of those intending to vote National at the September 23 general election preferred Bill English – although 4% of them preferred Jacinda Ardern.

• 91% of those intending to vote for Labour preferred Jacinda Ardern; 1% of them preferred Bill English.

• 80% of intending New Zealand First voters preferred Winston Peters as Prime Minster.

Among voters for the minor parties, high levels of preference for Bill English come from intending ACT voters.

62% of intending Green Party voters had a preference for Jacinda Ardern as Prime Minister, while 23% of them preferred their party leader, James Shaw.

The online survey is weighted to match national 18+ population demographics for age, gender and education level. The survey has an overall margin of error of ±3.2% at a 95% confidence level. The survey complies with Research Association New Zealand’s code for political polls.

ENDS

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